Ice-Out Watch 2006

Bizer · 03-16-2006, 10:37 AM

I was looking at Don's Ice-out page. For those of us that like statistics:

Historicly, for the past 119 years, the average ice-out date has been April 20th with a standard deviation of 9 days.

For 285 guesses for the 2006 ice-out contest:

The average date was April 9th
The standard deviation was 10 days
Nobody guessed May even though ice-out has occasionally occurred in May.
28 people (10%) guessed that the 2006 ice-out would occur before March 28th, the earliest ice-out on record.

03-16-2006, 10:37 AM	#11
Bizer Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Massachusetts Posts: 336 Thanks: 0 Thanked 243 Times in 82 Posts	Statistics I was looking at Don's Ice-out page. For those of us that like statistics: Historicly, for the past 119 years, the average ice-out date has been April 20th with a standard deviation of 9 days. For 285 guesses for the 2006 ice-out contest: The average date was April 9th The standard deviation was 10 days Nobody guessed May even though ice-out has occasionally occurred in May. 28 people (10%) guessed that the 2006 ice-out would occur before March 28th, the earliest ice-out on record.