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#1 |
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Join Date: Apr 2004
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Is the data valid given the number of drivers in the 12 and under category? Is it a large enough sample size?
I imagine that you'd also find a perfect record for children 6 and under but I don't think anyone would be pushing for them to drive either. Same for age 95+. I don't have a strong feeling on the age restriction one way or the other, but I'm not sure your argument holds water--based on data. Possibly based on other anecdotal evidence, but not the accident records you cite... |
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#2 | |
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No accidents of any kind involving operators age 13 and under for the last 6 years in the State of New Hampshire. A perfect record! This is a perfect example of trying to fix a problem that does not exist. |
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#3 | |
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Who knows, maybe he is on the house committee that would be look'n at this new bill and could support an "inexpedient to pass" opinion, and possibly influence some other state reps what with his minority leader status. You could offer to take him and a couple state rep buddies out fishing or something next May.
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... down and out, liv'n that Walmart side of the lake! |
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#4 | |
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I think all he is trying to say is that the sample size is small so therefore we cant say how accurate a measure it is of the safe boating habits of the age group. It's a very small group of operators and therefore a low number of accidents. Regardless it means that there doesnt seem to be any issue with boaters of that age group either due to the small population or whatever the reasons may be. |
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#5 | |
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I understand about small samples. However there isn't a small number of accidents. There are NO accidents in the age group in question. Zero is a very accurate measure of safe boating habits. Seaplane Pilot - You could apply that statement to speed limits. But you would be wrong. |
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#6 |
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#7 |
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I have finally received the data from the Marine Patrol on underage summonses and warnings. I took an extra couple of weeks for them to compile this data.
It is unbelievable to me that the Marine Patrol would request legislation without even taking a cursory glance at the THEIR OWN statistics on the age group they wish to exclude. However that is what has happened. The under 12 age group that will lose operator privileges under this proposed legislation has a total of 9 warnings and 0 summonses, state wide, over the last three years. The 12 to 15 age group that will retain operator privileges has had 97 warnings and 12 summonses, state wide, over the last three years. So age 0 to 11 years have 0 accidents, 9 warnings and 0 summonses state wide. I'm thinking I should ask for the data on operators over 70 years of age. I'm willing to bet their stats are worse than these and should therefore lose their operator privileges as well. |
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#8 | ||||
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![]() So far, the only source for ANY Marine Patrol request is SBONH-NHRBA, whose "press release" "stands behind" Rep. Christensen's bill. Quote:
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#9 |
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Moultonborough & CT
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Well then that sums it up no accidents, no tickets for that age group, who's to worry? I worry. Despite the data, and despite what I am sure are some very responsible under 12 year olds, I would feel safer without them operating alone. I don't know what those 9 warnings were, but they could have been very dangerous incidents that by sheer luck didn't result in a tragedy for either the operator or someone else.
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Seaplane Pilot (12-22-2010) |
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#10 |
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Texas, Lake Ray Hubbard and NH, Long Island Winnipesaukee
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Statistics are not the only thing that you should be looking at when considering a law like this. While the statistic don't lie and BI is correct this seems like this legislation is trying to fix a problem that isn't there. One must take a step back and think about things. 1st for an accident to have to be legally reported to the Marine Patrol, there needs to be X-amount of damage... (sorry I don't know what that limit currently is)... Now if the damage is under the limit, then guess what there is no record officially of it. So now we need to guestion how many kids take a rowboat with a 10 h.p. motor, and bump into things, and Dad and Mom, then pay for the repair? Now top that off on how often the Marine Patrol puts out a verbal warning to kids and parents, once again this doesn't get logged, in the statistic mentioned here....
Additionally I believe this legislation is aimed at solving problems in the insurance industry... how many people have damage to their rowboats and docks because Junior doesn't dock well, a law like this will give insurance companies a chance to fall back on something, when they are dealing with frivolous claims.... In short it takes more then statistics, to back things up, at times, and this is one of those times... now I am sure that someone is going to take issue with the fact that the speed limit opposition always trys to sit on these types of statistics, and that is true... But you know what that is an issue, that is hard to cloud over the statistic with.... Don't compare the two... the issues are different
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#11 |
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I think there are two factors that are being somewhat overlooked.
1) The bill, as I understand it, will require boater safety education for those children that are 12-15. The MP statistics show that it is precisely this age group that needs the education. 2) Kids under 12 are rarely boating without at least a fair amount of parental supervision. My kids and their friend have grown up on and around the lake. None of us allowed our 12 year old kids to be running their boats unless they were right under our eye. When they hit 14 and 15, they gained much more freedom, and frankly, that's when they get cocky, do dumb things and get pulled over by the MP. |
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#12 |
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I understand the fear that young children do not have the experience or judgment to take a boat out on the lake without direct adult supervision. However there a few points to consider along those lines.
Firstly, this legislation is not just for Winnipesaukee, it is state wide including low horsepower boats on small ponds. Secondly, this legislation does nothing to prevent an 8 year old from taking out a sailboat, of ANY size, onto the lake where they can sail around the entire lake all day or all night. If a 5 HP skiff requires adult supervision then so does a catamaran on the broads. Lastly, despite our reasonable fears about the need for adult supervision the simple fact is that there IS NO PROBLEM for this legislation to fix. The present level of adult supervision must be working. Zero accidents and zero summonses is about as good as you can get. |
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#13 | |
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"Under-12" Education:
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#14 |
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