Go Back   Winnipesaukee Forum > Winnipesaukee Forums > General Discussion
Home Forums Gallery Webcams Blogs YouTube Channel Classifieds Calendar Register FAQDonate Members List Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 03-03-2018, 08:37 AM   #1
MikeF-NH
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 317
Thanks: 2
Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts
Default 2018 Ice Out Progress

Like many who begin getting anxious this time of year and check the webcams several times a day for "clues" of signs of a pending ice out...I am now on the constant web cam watch looking for the sign I find most telling. That sign is from the Black Cat cam where there is a set of rocks in the lower center of the shot. In general, when there is open water out to those rocks, we are on a two weeks to ice out phase. As open water begins...that shot becomes one of my focal points. To this point, there is NO open water even around the rocks telling me we definetly won't see ice out for the April 1 opener.

I'm wondering what others use to guage their ice out estimates and where they now think we are at. Are there any clues that recent rains and wind is accelerating our progress? Any hope for ice out in the first week or two of April???

The ice out watch has begun!
MikeF-NH is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-03-2018, 09:17 AM   #2
sluggo
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 168
Thanks: 13
Thanked 70 Times in 43 Posts
Default

I was out checking water depths this morning for a couple of jobs in and around the black cat island area and we have a firm 22 inches of ice on the lake. It may differ in other locations but not by much. My best guess at this point for ice out will be the first week of April.
sluggo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-03-2018, 10:08 AM   #3
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeF-NH View Post
Like many who begin getting anxious this time of year and check the webcams several times a day for "clues" of signs of a pending ice out...I am now on the constant web cam watch looking for the sign I find most telling. That sign is from the Black Cat cam where there is a set of rocks in the lower center of the shot. In general, when there is open water out to those rocks, we are on a two weeks to ice out phase. As open water begins...that shot becomes one of my focal points. To this point, there is NO open water even around the rocks telling me we definetly won't see ice out for the April 1 opener.

I'm wondering what others use to guage their ice out estimates and where they now think we are at. Are there any clues that recent rains and wind is accelerating our progress? Any hope for ice out in the first week or two of April???

The ice out watch has begun!
Based on what I have seen and experienced on the ice this year, I do feel the ice will go out much quicker than normal. For the past couple weeks old ice fishing holes are opening up to become 2’ - 4’ in diameter making the lake very unsafe to be out on without extreme caution. While this is a normal occurrence, it doesn’t usually happen as quickly as it happened this year. I believe there are a couple of factors that have caused this. The first is the lack of snow cover on the ice for most of the season. The suns rays have really been able to work deep inside the ice weakening it immensely. Digging a hole in the ice a week or so ago at my bob house I couldn’t believe how soft that 20” of ice was! The second reason I believe is the water in the lake is warming quickly. It doesn’t take much just a degree or two to really work at the ice from below and I believe that is happening.

I still think I will be at my Camp come April 1st just not sure if ice out will be declared by then...it will be close.

Dan

Here’s a pic of what the ice looks like today in the broads. Still has a ways to go but as you can see it’s getting that dark gray color....
Attached Images
 
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-03-2018, 12:58 PM   #4
Shrimpbrain
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2017
Posts: 39
Thanks: 5
Thanked 17 Times in 7 Posts
Thumbs up

I always use LILY POND as an Ice Out Indicator. When Lily Pond starts to go, Ice out will be soon. When Ice is Totally off Lily Pond, Winnie will declared ICE-OUT within 7 or 8 days. Not 9 or 10, 7 or 8...
Shrimpbrain is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-04-2018, 08:13 AM   #5
MikeF-NH
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 317
Thanks: 2
Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
I still think I will be at my Camp come April 1st just not sure if ice out will be declared by then...it will be close.
Wow...I just requested to pick up my boat from storage on April 6 in hopes of spashing her on April 7. I may have to push that up a week if this prediction is true. I'm suprised how many are anticipating IceOut at the beginning of April given reports of 20" of ice. Can't imagine we lose 20" in just 24 days but I like the optimism. I'm hearing a major storm may hit Wed. If heavy snow...I'm hoping that may accelerate Ice Out by pushing the ice underwater but am thinking it could insulate it and slow the process.
MikeF-NH is offline   Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links
Old 03-04-2018, 09:22 AM   #6
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeF-NH View Post
Wow...I just requested to pick up my boat from storage on April 6 in hopes of spashing her on April 7. I may have to push that up a week if this prediction is true. I'm suprised how many are anticipating IceOut at the beginning of April given reports of 20" of ice. Can't imagine we lose 20" in just 24 days but I like the optimism. I'm hearing a major storm may hit Wed. If heavy snow...I'm hoping that may accelerate Ice Out by pushing the ice underwater but am thinking it could insulate it and slow the process.
Mike,

I think a storm with significant snowfall on Wednesday would be a game changer as it would definitely insulate and impede the thawing process by blocking the suns rays.

Usually I love and want snow but at this point I’m ready for open water and spring salmon!

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-04-2018, 10:44 AM   #7
Eyeboat
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 52
Thanks: 0
Thanked 2 Times in 2 Posts
Default

The warm weather really opened up the water near the shore around Cattle landing. open water extending a good 20 feet or more. It seemed like it happened in a matter of 3-4 days.
Eyeboat is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-04-2018, 05:27 PM   #8
Music Man
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 104
Thanks: 37
Thanked 25 Times in 16 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
Mike,

I think a storm with significant snowfall on Wednesday would be a game changer as it would definitely insulate and impede the thawing process by blocking the suns rays.

Usually I love and want snow but at this point I’m ready for open water and spring salmon!

Dan
Currently looks like 8"-12" of snow this Wednesday-Thursday.

Of course, they were also saying 3"-5", or 1"-3", or just rain... depending on what time you looked at the reports.


Salmon - yum!
Music Man is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-06-2018, 12:51 PM   #9
MAXUM
Senior Member
 
MAXUM's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Kuna ID
Posts: 2,755
Thanks: 246
Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts
Default

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to
impossible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 16 inches are
expected.


This would have been nice a couple months ago, now not so much.
MAXUM is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-06-2018, 01:21 PM   #10
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MAXUM View Post
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to
impossible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 16 inches are
expected.


This would have been nice a couple months ago, now not so much.
Gotta go and get more shear bolts for the snowblower...
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-06-2018, 02:01 PM   #11
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Music Man View Post
Currently looks like 8"-12" of snow this Wednesday-Thursday.

Of course, they were also saying 3"-5", or 1"-3", or just rain... depending on what time you looked at the reports.


Salmon - yum!
Yup...could really screw up the early ice out I was hoping for!

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-06-2018, 02:44 PM   #12
SAB1
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Tuftonboro
Posts: 1,165
Thanks: 182
Thanked 297 Times in 220 Posts
Default

Good news. Fire up the sled.............
SAB1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-06-2018, 03:36 PM   #13
jeffk
Senior Member
 
jeffk's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Center Harbor
Posts: 1,130
Thanks: 201
Thanked 421 Times in 239 Posts
Default Winter fun is pretty much over

The thing is about snow this time of year, it is more of an annoyance. There are a lot of bare spots showing and a foot of snow will not be enough to groom or make the ice safe. The high temps after the storm are supposed to be around 40 for the next 5 days so melting will continue. Yeah, it might slow ice out a bit but no hard freeze is in the forecast. Accuweather only predicts one day through the end of March that will be below freezing for a high temp.

I have a dirt driveway and it is muddy now. The guy who plows will not be able to clear it fully because he would dig up the mud. So he will clear the upper layer and pack down the rest. All the rest will be slush the next day.
jeffk is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-06-2018, 06:20 PM   #14
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jeffk View Post
The thing is about snow this time of year, it is more of an annoyance. There are a lot of bare spots showing and a foot of snow will not be enough to groom or make the ice safe. The high temps after the storm are supposed to be around 40 for the next 5 days so melting will continue. Yeah, it might slow ice out a bit but no hard freeze is in the forecast. Accuweather only predicts one day through the end of March that will be below freezing for a high temp.

I have a dirt driveway and it is muddy now. The guy who plows will not be able to clear it fully because he would dig up the mud. So he will clear the upper layer and pack down the rest. All the rest will be slush the next day.
Yes, my driveway is dirt as well. I plow wth a blade on my Kubota and will need to keep the blade lifted a few inches to avoid the muddy mess below. As you say, the snow will pack well.
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 07:59 AM   #15
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default Oh Well...

So much for my hopeful thoughts of an early April ice out! With the snow cover we received yesterday and the upcoming 10 day forecast for lows in the teens and low to mid 20's, things are definitely not looking good!! Possibly more snow on Monday now too!!

Here is a pic from this morning

Sheesh!...

Dan
Attached Images
 
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 08:08 AM   #16
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

It ain’t over til the fat lady sings, Dan!
Attached Images
 
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 08:42 AM   #17
PaugusBayFireFighter
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 837
Thanks: 361
Thanked 674 Times in 264 Posts
Default

Congratulations....way to ruin another thread with your insatiable desire to inject politics into any topic!
PaugusBayFireFighter is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 10:40 AM   #18
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by PaugusBayFireFighter View Post
Congratulations....way to ruin another thread with your insatiable desire to inject politics into any topic!
No politics...just an old saying with a pic of a fat lady! First one that came up when I googled fat lady!
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 11:23 AM   #19
fatlazyless
Senior Member
 
fatlazyless's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 8,525
Blog Entries: 1
Thanks: 295
Thanked 957 Times in 698 Posts
Default

From the water temperature page, 39-degrees on March 6 is a lot warmer than other years, so what's warming up the water?

Is there a new nuclear power plant hidden away somewhere in Tuftonboro, that discharges warm water in the lake, or what?
__________________
... down and out, liv'n that Walmart side of the lake!
fatlazyless is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 11:34 AM   #20
SAB1
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Tuftonboro
Posts: 1,165
Thanks: 182
Thanked 297 Times in 220 Posts
Default

There were active water bars flowing water to the lake the weekend of the Winni Derby and they never refroze. Earliest I recall seeing them in many years.
SAB1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 11:42 AM   #21
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fatlazyless View Post
From the water temperature page, 39-degrees on March 6 is a lot warmer than other years, so what's warming up the water?
Your right! ...The last time the temperature was this warm at this time of year was in 2012 and ice out occurred on March 23rd! This recent storm and upcoming colder weather is what will extend ice out unfortunately!!

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 11:44 AM   #22
Rusty
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,028
Thanks: 603
Thanked 687 Times in 425 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fatlazyless View Post
From the water temperature page, 39-degrees on March 6 is a lot warmer than other years, so what's warming up the water?

Is there a new nuclear power plant hidden away somewhere in Tuftonboro, that discharges warm water in the lake, or what?
Nuclear reactors don't discharge warm water, the cooling towers takes some of the steam/water vapor and turns it back into water. This water along with fresh water is fed back into the reactor and starts the process all over again.
You must of seen the big cooling towers near the reactor.
__________________
It's never crowded along the extra mile.
Rusty is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 01:30 PM   #23
lakershaker
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Rattlesnake Isl. - Simsbury, CT
Posts: 271
Thanks: 90
Thanked 44 Times in 26 Posts
Default Cooling towers.... not always

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rusty View Post
Nuclear reactors don't discharge warm water, the cooling towers takes some of the steam/water vapor and turns it back into water. This water along with fresh water is fed back into the reactor and starts the process all over again.
You must of seen the big cooling towers near the reactor.
Some nuclear plants have cooling towers, but others (like nearby Seabrook Station) don't. Seabrook has a massive tunnel going into the ocean to cool the water.

From the picture link, you can see - no tower! But, I don't think it is close enough to the lake to be the root cause
lakershaker is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-09-2018, 01:31 PM   #24
codeman671
Senior Member
 
codeman671's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 3,360
Thanks: 210
Thanked 764 Times in 448 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rusty View Post
Nuclear reactors don't discharge warm water, the cooling towers takes some of the steam/water vapor and turns it back into water. This water along with fresh water is fed back into the reactor and starts the process all over again.
You must of seen the big cooling towers near the reactor.
Seabrook Station discharged warm water back into the ocean after the cooling process. There are intake and discharge lines that extend a few miles offshore. There used to be good fishing in that area

https://www.researchgate.net/publica...charge_tunnels

Looks like someone beat me to it!
codeman671 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-03-2018, 05:28 PM   #25
Slickcraft
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Welch Island and West Alton
Posts: 3,218
Thanks: 1,173
Thanked 2,001 Times in 915 Posts
Default

I had picked April 10th for ice out, now it looks at least a week earlier than that. Large dark patches are forming meaning that the ice candles are forming. Each sunny day will melt more ice from the bottom up and the structure will weaken.


Sent from my iPad using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app
Slickcraft is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-03-2018, 10:17 PM   #26
LadyJane
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: northern Ct.
Posts: 335
Thanks: 129
Thanked 50 Times in 33 Posts
Default

I was just wondering if there were still any fishing shanties out on the lake, like in Meredith Harbor, and is there a particular date that they have to be removed? I see from the photos that the ice is beginning to have that look. I appreciate the photos, thanks.
LadyJane is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-04-2018, 12:31 AM   #27
GTO
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1,072
Thanks: 336
Thanked 342 Times in 158 Posts
Default Only saw one

Quote:
Originally Posted by LadyJane View Post
I was just wondering if there were still any fishing shanties out on the lake, like in Meredith Harbor, and is there a particular date that they have to be removed? I see from the photos that the ice is beginning to have that look. I appreciate the photos, thanks.
As of Saturday afternoon, I only saw one hut out in Ctr Harbor. All huts have been removed from Meredith Bay. Saw them tryiing to get one off the ice earlier in the week using a flat bed at the ramp in Meredith. They extended the ramp of the flatbed out as far as they could but there was still about 10 feet of water between the end of the ramp and edge of the ice. Even with all of the straps and chains, the
Hut literally became a "bob" house until they were able to somehow get it up and out.
Good news though, the ice looked pretty well cleaned off of trash.
__________________
GTO
GTO is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-04-2018, 07:13 AM   #28
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by LadyJane View Post
I was just wondering if there were still any fishing shanties out on the lake, like in Meredith Harbor, and is there a particular date that they have to be removed? I see from the photos that the ice is beginning to have that look. I appreciate the photos, thanks.
Bobhouses have to be off any lake by April 1st. I would imagine that means before midnight on March 31st! April fools!🤡
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-28-2018, 06:36 AM   #29
joey2665
Senior Member
 
joey2665's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Meredith Bay & LI, NY
Posts: 3,220
Thanks: 1,206
Thanked 1,007 Times in 648 Posts
Default

Very interesting insight and information Blue Thunder. Thank you.


Sent from my iPhone using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app
joey2665 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-28-2018, 07:10 AM   #30
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default Ice

Not to depress anyone, but I have a friend who was ice fishing somewhere off Spindle Point this past weekend. He informed me that there was still 18" of solid ice there!!...

I did see a few ATV's and snowmobiles traveling across the broads all weekend. While there may be plenty of ice, I have seen the size of some of the holes that have formed now covered by a little snow I certainly would not be out there!

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-28-2018, 10:04 AM   #31
garysanfran
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: San Francisco/Meredith
Posts: 1,490
Thanks: 604
Thanked 629 Times in 320 Posts
Default Last year....

I was on the deck discussing the, what looked like a still solid ice pack, with my brother. The wind picked up and got very strong. All of a sudden everything broke loose in a fury. Huge ice bergs traveling very fast. It was an amazing scene. I remember the news the next day said a lot of docks, left in with circulators, were destroyed.
__________________
Gary
~~~~_/) ~~~
~~~~~~~~
garysanfran is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-28-2018, 10:12 AM   #32
Rich
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Derry / Gilford
Posts: 1,220
Thanks: 68
Thanked 341 Times in 231 Posts
Default

Could it have been Candle Ice, or some other type of Rotten Ice?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candle_ice

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rotten_ice

Things like this always makes me leery when someone says "It's safe, the Ice is 2 feet thick, this is more than enough to be safe!"
__________________
Don't listen to me, obviously I don't understand what I'm talking about!
Let's help each other save time and money: WinniGas.com
Rich is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-28-2018, 03:20 PM   #33
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: SOMERVILLE, MA & WEIRS BEACH
Posts: 19
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default No "Ice-out" signs near Weirs Beach, Laconia

I own a condo on the "west-facing" shoreline of Weirs Beach, and I have a "Web-Cam" facing down the lake towards Meredith. Other than the shoreline being ice-free from the gas dock to about 100 yards out, and about 30 to 50 feet from the entire shoreline....the lake is solid ice all the way to Meridith. Looks like a good 2+ weeks till "ICE OUT"... Can't wait WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-28-2018, 05:02 PM   #34
MikeF-NH
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 317
Thanks: 2
Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts
Default

trying to remain an optimist but I think Bob has the over/under on the nose at two weeks. I'm hoping we can trim a few days off that estimate. While cameras I use to mark some milestones (Alton Bay and Black Cat) are no longer online, I do see that on most web cams the snow cover has now melted from the ice allowing the "more directly overhead" sun to shine its intensity directly onto the ice and into the surface water below it. Sometimes things happen very fast once we are in this state as open water at edges allows for some ice movement such that some wind can cause things to begin to break up and move around. A good rain storm wouldn't hurt either. Next few days in 50s so I'm expecting visible progress. If anyone has a webcam link in Alton Bay...please post it.
MikeF-NH is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 06:09 AM   #35
webmaster
Moderator
 
webmaster's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2002
Posts: 2,434
Blog Entries: 1
Thanks: 439
Thanked 3,726 Times in 824 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeF-NH View Post
If anyone has a webcam link in Alton Bay...please post it.
This is the only one I know of:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tM9_0q2Wkbg
webmaster is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 07:15 AM   #36
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default Progress

Yesterdays 60 degree weather definitely did a number on the surface snow that was on the ice! This morning the ice is darker and wet with surface water. The usual large fissure that occurs between Welch island and Lake Shore Park is now visible. Lily pond was still solid as a rock even at the shoreline yesterday afternoon.

My two week indicator (Massabesic Lake) still had some minor ice in the coves yesterday morning which will hopefully be gone in the next few days. Ice out now looks like somewhere around April 20th...

With the upcoming rain, that should move things along nicely!

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 08:05 AM   #37
joey2665
Senior Member
 
joey2665's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Meredith Bay & LI, NY
Posts: 3,220
Thanks: 1,206
Thanked 1,007 Times in 648 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
Yesterdays 60 degree weather definitely did a number on the surface snow that was on the ice! This morning the ice is darker and wet with surface water. The usual large fissure that occurs between Welch island and Lake Shore Park is now visible. Lily pond was still solid as a rock even at the shoreline yesterday afternoon.

My two week indicator (Massabesic Lake) still had some minor ice in the coves yesterday morning which will hopefully be gone in the next few days. Ice out now looks like somewhere around April 20th...

With the upcoming rain, that should move things along nicely!

Dan
Dan you have this down to a science.
joey2665 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 08:31 AM   #38
8gv
Senior Member
 
8gv's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,009
Thanks: 61
Thanked 701 Times in 455 Posts
Default

This thread has caused me to think long and hard about my future.

When ice out is declared on the exact time and day that I have predicted there will be calls for me to run for public office.

To clarify my position on that...

If nominated, I will not run.

If elected, I will not serve.

If re-elected, I will again, not serve.

Think I nailed it!

Last edited by 8gv; 03-29-2018 at 02:46 PM.
8gv is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 12:13 PM   #39
Outdoorsman
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 815
Thanks: 113
Thanked 193 Times in 126 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 8gv View Post
This thread has caused me to think long and hard about my future.

When ice out is declared on the exact time and day that I have predicted there will be calls for me to run for public office.

To clarify my position on that...

If nominated, I will not run.

If elected, I will not serve.

If re-elected, I will again, not serve.

Think I nailed it!
Before I can decide to NOT vote for you, I will need to know your position on a few more pressing issues.
......

Where do you stand on using noodles as a life saving device for snowmobilers

How often do you use a noodle as a rowing vessel

What is your position on using Emergency (specifically fire rescue) boats as a pickle ball court

How far do you drive for free coffee, internet or toilet paper

Can you build a M/S Mt. Washington II for under $6.00

........
As it stands right now, I am writing you in
Outdoorsman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 09:14 PM   #40
8gv
Senior Member
 
8gv's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,009
Thanks: 61
Thanked 701 Times in 455 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Outdoorsman View Post
Before I can decide to NOT vote for you, I will need to know your position on a few more pressing issues.
......

Where do you stand on using noodles as a life saving device for snowmobilers

How often do you use a noodle as a rowing vessel

What is your position on using Emergency (specifically fire rescue) boats as a pickle ball court

How far do you drive for free coffee, internet or toilet paper

Can you build a M/S Mt. Washington II for under $6.00

........
As it stands right now, I am writing you in

I have decided to skip tonight’s $1,000/plate campaign fundraiser in my honor.

I do think I may have nailed ice out though...

Last edited by 8gv; 04-01-2018 at 09:48 PM.
8gv is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 09:16 PM   #41
Top-Water
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 674
Thanks: 1,535
Thanked 714 Times in 431 Posts
Default

NH Boat Museum Hosts 2018 Ice-Out Celebration

http://newenglandboating.com/nh-boat...t-celebration/
Top-Water is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-02-2018, 09:51 AM   #42
sum-r breeze
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Burlington Ma / Laconia NH
Posts: 396
Thanks: 155
Thanked 201 Times in 97 Posts
Default Hmmm....

Quote:
Originally Posted by Top-Water View Post
NH Boat Museum Hosts 2018 Ice-Out Celebration

http://newenglandboating.com/nh-boat...t-celebration/
Do you think they know something we don't? Maybe they have some inside information from the weather gods? Inquiring minds woul love to know...

The Breeze
Wave 'cuz I'll be wavin' back
sum-r breeze is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-02-2018, 05:38 PM   #43
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default Wow!

Going by Lily Pond tonight I couldn’t believe how much melting had occurred! Half of Lily Pond is now open water and should be ice free in a day or two!

Wont be long!

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-02-2018, 07:39 PM   #44
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
Going by Lily Pond tonight I couldn’t believe how much melting had occurred! Half of Lily Pond is now open water and should be ice free in a day or two!

Wont be long!

Dan
April 15th was my guess...hope it’s sooner though...
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-02-2018, 09:01 PM   #45
Descant
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Merrimack and Welch Island
Posts: 4,031
Thanks: 1,211
Thanked 1,511 Times in 983 Posts
Default

What about CrystlLake in Gilmanon? That is supposed to be a 10 day warning.
We really need a list of lakes and ice out dates for the last 50(?) years. Of course, if it gets too scientific, it loses the magic. No surprise that the Old Farmer's Almanac can predict weather but not ice out.
My grandfather used to race horses on Lake Champlain ice. Do they go through this agony every spring too?
Descant is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-04-2018, 06:56 AM   #46
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default Lily Update

Went by Lily Pond this morning and about 1/3rd of the pond still has ice on the north side. Should be all gone by Friday...

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-04-2018, 08:36 AM   #47
MikeF-NH
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 317
Thanks: 2
Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts
Default

the rain has ice in many cams looking very dark gray. I am certain many areas still have over a foot of ice but the color is similar to what it looks like when we begin to see cracks or openings in the ice. Shoreline ice also appears to be receding very nicely at Weirs and West Alton.

Has anyone been by Alton Bay recently? Is the ice receded to past the gazebo yet? How far is it out at that location?
MikeF-NH is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 10:52 AM   #48
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by joey2665 View Post
Dan you have this down to a science.
Before moving to Gilford a number of years ago, I lived in Chester and had to ride around Massabesic Lake every day to get to work. Being ever so anxious to get out on the island, I started counting the days from when I could see no ice whatsoever on Massy to when ice out was declared on Winni. It was 14 days like a watch almost every year.

Edited to add these pics I just took from Claire's landing at Massabesic. While the Manchester side of the Lake is wide open, the Auburn side still has some ice. Probably about 4 days worth left... Ice out on Winni will be the week of April 16th...

Dan
Attached Images
   
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!

Last edited by ishoot308; 03-29-2018 at 12:18 PM.
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 09:19 AM   #49
MAXUM
Senior Member
 
MAXUM's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Kuna ID
Posts: 2,755
Thanks: 246
Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
Yesterdays 60 degree weather definitely did a number on the surface snow that was on the ice! This morning the ice is darker and wet with surface water. The usual large fissure that occurs between Welch island and Lake Shore Park is now visible. Lily pond was still solid as a rock even at the shoreline yesterday afternoon.

My two week indicator (Massabesic Lake) still had some minor ice in the coves yesterday morning which will hopefully be gone in the next few days. Ice out now looks like somewhere around April 20th...

With the upcoming rain, that should move things along nicely!

Dan
Massabesic is a pretty accurate 2 week indicator for the big lake. I agree somewhere around the third week of April is what it's looking like. However I have the first sign spring has arrived. From the wife's garden.
Attached Images
 
MAXUM is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 10:15 AM   #50
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MAXUM View Post
However I have the first sign spring has arrived. From the wife's garden.
There is hope!!!
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 01:43 PM   #51
MAXUM
Senior Member
 
MAXUM's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Kuna ID
Posts: 2,755
Thanks: 246
Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
There is hope!!!
I know it - first flower of the season means time to pull the commuter boat out of the back yard and get it fired up this weekend.

I still haven't gotten my '18 boat registrations back in the mail.
MAXUM is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-29-2018, 03:44 PM   #52
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Can’t wait!!
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 07:32 AM   #53
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default Lily Pond

The edges of Lily Pond were just starting to give yesterday afternoon.

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 09:40 AM   #54
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: SOMERVILLE, MA & WEIRS BEACH
Posts: 19
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default Fog .....is chewing up the ice

Plenty of fog this morning on Winni. Temp at 42 and climbing. . Fog loves to "CHEW" on ice....I see lots of "CHUNK" ice breaking away at Weirs Beach area and foating down the Paugus Bay chanel near Thurston's Marina.
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 10:41 AM   #55
pault842
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Alton Bay
Posts: 14
Thanks: 24
Thanked 6 Times in 3 Posts
Default

Solid ice here on Alton Bay with just a little open water around some docks. Sleds still out running over the bay 2 nights ago and again today. I guess someone knows the thin spots real well or perhaps they like to live dangerously.
pault842 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 10:44 AM   #56
joey2665
Senior Member
 
joey2665's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Meredith Bay & LI, NY
Posts: 3,220
Thanks: 1,206
Thanked 1,007 Times in 648 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pault842 View Post
Solid ice here on Alton Bay with just a little open water around some docks. Sleds still out running over the bay 2 nights ago and again today. I guess someone knows the thin spots real well or perhaps they like to live dangerously.
Stupidity at its best. Is it really worth it if you end up going through the ice. I just do not understand people sometimes.
joey2665 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 12:12 PM   #57
Bootkie2
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 34
Thanks: 1
Thanked 8 Times in 6 Posts
Default

Why wait for Ice Out? Apparently someone has a really bad case of Spring fever.

https://www.instagram.com/p/Bg7IW2AnoKX/
Bootkie2 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 12:49 PM   #58
kawishiwi
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 519
Thanks: 227
Thanked 167 Times in 108 Posts
Default So...

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
The edges of Lily Pond were just starting to give yesterday afternoon.

Dan
Speak to us about what that means for ice out oh great Ice-trodamus!
__________________
"I don't take responsibility at all."
kawishiwi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 01:49 PM   #59
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by kawishiwi View Post
Speak to us about what that means for ice out oh great Ice-trodamus!
Well, it means Lily is finally starting to melt and when the ice is off Lily Pond we usually have one week to go on Winni...
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 04:03 PM   #60
codeman671
Senior Member
 
codeman671's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 3,360
Thanks: 210
Thanked 764 Times in 448 Posts
Default

Sounds like a possible truck through the ice near Mark Island. Unreal.
codeman671 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 04:25 PM   #61
MikeF-NH
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 317
Thanks: 2
Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts
Default

I thought the truck that went through the ice in that area happened several weeks ago. Anyone with a truck on this ice at this point is trying to prove Darwin was right!

Ice has gotten awefully gray on many cams. While I down doubt there is still over a foot of ice in many spots I am betting the integrity of that ice is degrading quickly. Also see a few open fissures on Bear Cam toward Pine and possibly a fissure forming from an old pressure ridge from the camera pointed at Sheps. Rain should speed things even with the temps not helping much the next week or so. Picking up boat next week in hopes of being able to splash her on the 13th....yep Friday the thirteenth.
MikeF-NH is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 04:36 PM   #62
codeman671
Senior Member
 
codeman671's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 3,360
Thanks: 210
Thanked 764 Times in 448 Posts
Default

Reports are that this is a new one. Airboat from tuftonboro is on the way. It's is on facebook. Gotta be true if it's on the internet!
codeman671 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-30-2018, 08:23 PM   #63
fatlazyless
Senior Member
 
fatlazyless's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 8,525
Blog Entries: 1
Thanks: 295
Thanked 957 Times in 698 Posts
Default

Say hey ..... I saw an air boat slowly going along the west side of Mark Island, on top of the ice, this evening at about 5:30 from a distance of about a mile away.

Was outside raking leaves, and heard the very loud, exhaust sound of a V8-engine with no muffler that goes with an airboat, so's I stopped raking to take a better look with the binoculars. It had some bright yellow panels in the area of the cage that encloses the front area of the large propeller in the stern of the vessel.

Thought ...... 'oh well' ...... and went back to raking the wet leaves .... gotta rake these old leaves!

On August 24, 2006, the Charlestown NH fire rescue inadvertently drowned 64-year old Virginia Cunningham, from Vermont, while transporting her on the Connecticut River in a flat bottom, air boat. Her injury requiring her to be transported was only an ankle injury, and she was drowned dead while secured in a stokes litter, in the bow of the rescue boat.

So's, how's about that ...... talk about a major boo-boo ...... whoopsie-doopsie ....... so sorry!

Whenever I hear the very loud exhaust of an air boat, I recall that 2006 drowning incident and think to myself, dang, that was not a happy ending for a rescue.
__________________
... down and out, liv'n that Walmart side of the lake!

Last edited by fatlazyless; 03-31-2018 at 07:34 AM.
fatlazyless is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-31-2018, 06:36 AM   #64
raydoe1
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Moultonborough
Posts: 48
Thanks: 27
Thanked 5 Times in 4 Posts
Default

Getting back to ice-out progress!

There is still about 12 inches of ice at the beginning of Braun Bay in
front of Far Echo Harbor.
raydoe1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-31-2018, 09:47 AM   #65
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: SOMERVILLE, MA & WEIRS BEACH
Posts: 19
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default My boat's in the water yay !!!

Nick @ Thurstons' Marine put my "Toon" boat in the water @ Weirs chanel yesterday. I'll be up the lake on tuesday mornin, fishing.... YAAAAAAYYYY !!!!

Winnipesaukeebob
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-31-2018, 09:54 AM   #66
MAXUM
Senior Member
 
MAXUM's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Kuna ID
Posts: 2,755
Thanks: 246
Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by WINNIPESAUKEEBOB View Post
Nick @ Thurstons' Marine put my "Toon" boat in the water @ Weirs chanel yesterday. I'll be up the lake on tuesday mornin, fishing.... YAAAAAAYYYY !!!!

Winnipesaukeebob
Good luck, let us know what you get!
MAXUM is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-31-2018, 05:54 PM   #67
SAB1
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Tuftonboro
Posts: 1,165
Thanks: 182
Thanked 297 Times in 220 Posts
Default

Fished today out in front of 20 mile bay, 19 mile bay and whortleberry island. Good 20 inches of ice. Game wardens stopped by. They rode sleds from Alton up thru the broads past barbers pole to our area. Said the broads had consistent 10-12 inches of ice.
SAB1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-31-2018, 06:02 PM   #68
tis
Senior Member
 
tis's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 6,408
Thanks: 719
Thanked 1,380 Times in 956 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SAB1 View Post
Fished today out in front of 20 mile bay, 19 mile bay and whortleberry island. Good 20 inches of ice. Game wardens stopped by. They rode sleds from Alton up thru the broads past barbers pole to our area. Said the broads had consistent 10-12 inches of ice.
Did they check your license? On that show "North Woods Law" they ALWAYS check licenses! They seem to be more interested in "catching" somebody than helping. It's just the way they come across in that show. The Maine F&G don't seem to sneak around so much to catch people. Is that me or has anybody else noticed?
tis is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-31-2018, 06:21 PM   #69
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by tis View Post
Did they check your license? On that show "North Woods Law" they ALWAYS check licenses! They seem to be more interested in "catching" somebody than helping. It's just the way they come across in that show. The Maine F&G don't seem to sneak around so much to catch people. Is that me or has anybody else noticed?
I always thought just the opposite...then maine wardens are the sneakiest around. And it goes without saying, they check licenses every time in my experience.
What boggles my mind is them using snowmobiles this time of year...
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 06:36 AM   #70
tis
Senior Member
 
tis's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 6,408
Thanks: 719
Thanked 1,380 Times in 956 Posts
Default

Interesting Hill. I have only seen a couple of them so maybe that's why. It just seemed to me that most of what they did was try to sneak up on somebody to see if they were hunting or fishing without a license.
tis is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 07:57 AM   #71
MAXUM
Senior Member
 
MAXUM's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Kuna ID
Posts: 2,755
Thanks: 246
Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts
Default

So are you all actually complaining that the F&G is doing their job?!?

I for one hope they bust as many people as they can who don't or won't purchase a license. I've had my license checked by them while both hunting and fishing. These guys have always been super nice and I'm happy they do. If they have to use some quasi stealth tactics to catch people so be it, shouldn't care if you're doing it right and legal.
MAXUM is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 02:54 PM   #72
kawishiwi
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 519
Thanks: 227
Thanked 167 Times in 108 Posts
Default +1

Quote:
Originally Posted by MAXUM View Post
So are you all actually complaining that the F&G is doing their job?!?

I for one hope they bust as many people as they can who don't or won't purchase a license. I've had my license checked by them while both hunting and fishing. These guys have always been super nice and I'm happy they do. If they have to use some quasi stealth tactics to catch people so be it, shouldn't care if you're doing it right and legal.
I agree with the point that this is F&G doing their job, and, I wish they did this a lot more often.
Also, it seems that much of what people complain about on this forum is basically "people being jerks while 'fill in the blank'". Boating, sledding, fireworks, etc. Many of those behaviors are also violations of rules & laws that are grossly under enforced. Yeah, yeah, I know some of you will complain about enforcement as "fun police", or bad "cus FREEDOM!" but most of these violations result in a loss of fun & freedom for those of us who are responsible in our various activities.
__________________
"I don't take responsibility at all."
kawishiwi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 03:54 PM   #73
Top-Water
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 674
Thanks: 1,535
Thanked 714 Times in 431 Posts
Default Open water photos please.

We will return to our regularly scheduled topic when a few photos of new open water get posted.
Top-Water is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 07:14 PM   #74
kawishiwi
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 519
Thanks: 227
Thanked 167 Times in 108 Posts
Default Ouch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Top-Water View Post
We will return to our regularly scheduled topic when a few photos of new open water get posted.
Busted by the thread police! I didn't see you hiding there but I can assure you officer Topwater that I have a license but I left it at home....
__________________
"I don't take responsibility at all."
kawishiwi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 08:03 AM   #75
Top-Water
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 674
Thanks: 1,535
Thanked 714 Times in 431 Posts
Default Massabesic

For those folks that keep an eye on Massabesic as an indicator for ice out on Winni.

Massabesic is 99.8 % open with a few boats on it yesterday. The only ice on it was some broken up wind blow ice stacked against the shore south of Claire's landing on RT 121. Very likely it will have no ice at all by tonight.


Thanks again everyone for all the different ice out reports.
Top-Water is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 08:07 AM   #76
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Top-Water View Post
For those folks that keep an eye on Massabesic as an indicator for ice out on Winni.

Massabesic is open with a few boats on it yesterday. The only ice on it was some broken up wind blow ice stacked against the shore south of Claire's landing on RT 121


Thanks again everyone for all the ice out reports.
Thanks for that report!....if All holds true we should now see ice out on Winni April 13 + or -

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 08:12 AM   #77
Top-Water
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 674
Thanks: 1,535
Thanked 714 Times in 431 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
Thanks for that report!....if All holds true we should now see ice out on Winni April 13 + or -

Dan
I really hope you are correct ............ I picked April 14
Top-Water is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 11:31 AM   #78
MikeF-NH
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 317
Thanks: 2
Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts
Default

I'm hoping the 13th estimate is spot on also. I have that day off and expect to spend the entire day trolling the big lake. Even if not officially declared Ice Out...I regularly am able to troll many areas in the week leading up to ice out so I expect to be on the lake on the 13th.
MikeF-NH is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 11:26 AM   #79
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: SOMERVILLE, MA & WEIRS BEACH
Posts: 19
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default Plenty of Rainbows in Weirs chanel

Hi;

one of my buddies went up to the Weirs Beach chanel this morning. There were about 20 guys fishing along the various docks on the chanel, and everyone was catching nice "Bows"

WINNIPESAUKEE BOB
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 11:34 AM   #80
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: SOMERVILLE, MA & WEIRS BEACH
Posts: 19
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default Plenty of Rainbows in Weirs channel today

Quote:
Originally Posted by MAXUM View Post
Good luck, let us know what you get!
One of my buddies went up this am, and reported lots of nice rainbows and a few salmon were being caught in the Weirs Beach channel this am. About 20 guys were fishing the channel.
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-01-2018, 12:39 PM   #81
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by WINNIPESAUKEEBOB View Post
One of my buddies went up this am, and reported lots of nice rainbows and a few salmon were being caught in the Weirs Beach channel this am. About 20 guys were fishing the channel.
When you say “various docks” where exactly do you mean? Do the marinas allow fisherman to fish from their docks when they’re closed?
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-2018, 06:00 PM   #82
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: SOMERVILLE, MA & WEIRS BEACH
Posts: 19
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default Check out my new "live web cam" at weirs beach

HI FOLKS:

I Decided to hook up my "LIVE WEB CAM" to the internet, so "click on the link", and you can get a look down the bay from WEIRS BEACH to MERIDITH BAY. I made it password free, so everyone can see what I see from my front porch.

https://video.nest.com/live/cfVEpKU9JY

The view is from my condo, which is about 300 yards from the Weirs Beach looking down the bay NW to Meridith... "Spindle Point" is off to the right. As you can see, the ice is getting farther out each day. The sun sets on the left..

I have over 50 years with my family from this location. So, now, you all can enjoy my view as often as you like.

The firrst picture, below, is a grouper which I caught in florida, but the rest of pics are me and friends at Winni. Sorry fot a couple of upside down and sideways pics, but the is due to picture size that the Winni Forum can't correct.

ENJOY

WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
Attached Images
       

Last edited by WINNIPESAUKEEBOB; 04-18-2018 at 06:31 PM. Reason: add url
WINNIPESAUKEEBOB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-2018, 06:23 PM   #83
daveschappell
Member
 
daveschappell's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2017
Location: Wolfeboro, NH
Posts: 48
Thanks: 26
Thanked 19 Times in 11 Posts
Default

nice cam! (and great photos!)
daveschappell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-2018, 06:28 PM   #84
Hillcountry
Senior Member
 
Hillcountry's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: In the hills
Posts: 2,346
Thanks: 1,591
Thanked 763 Times in 457 Posts
Default

Very nice Bob! Did you change the view? Seems like earlier today it was a much wider angle shot up the lake...a small suggestion; perhaps you could center the camera in a window so the frame isn’t in the picture!
Hillcountry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-07-2018, 10:31 PM   #85
Grady223
Senior Member
 
Grady223's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: New Hope, PA & Barndoor Island
Posts: 464
Thanks: 93
Thanked 24 Times in 18 Posts
Default




Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
Grady223 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-08-2018, 06:12 AM   #86
joey2665
Senior Member
 
joey2665's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Meredith Bay & LI, NY
Posts: 3,220
Thanks: 1,206
Thanked 1,007 Times in 648 Posts
Default

Forecast doesn’t look to promising to accelerate the process either. Temps many nights still below freezing. The only hope is the rain they are predicting for Tuesday and Thursday


Sent from my iPhone using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app
joey2665 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-08-2018, 07:09 AM   #87
8gv
Senior Member
 
8gv's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,009
Thanks: 61
Thanked 701 Times in 455 Posts
Default

These guys may be able to help.

The action starts around 2:00.



https://youtu.be/F2bgZ4PTGhY
8gv is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-08-2018, 05:55 PM   #88
Paugus bay girl
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 47
Thanks: 2
Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts
Default maybe time to give up on it every being spring.

Maybe time to just take up a winter sport, as winter seems to have prevalence over summer weather the last few years.
Paugus bay girl is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 07:19 AM   #89
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default Cold!!

These cold nights (low 20's) have really really put a damper on any ice melt. Very little if any progress in the last few days...so much for fishing this upcoming weekend!!

Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 07:42 AM   #90
Biggd
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Waltham Ma./Meredith NH
Posts: 3,749
Thanks: 1,962
Thanked 1,070 Times in 675 Posts
Default

I want to do some yard work and I still have huge piles of snow.
Biggd is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 09:18 AM   #91
Top-Water
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 674
Thanks: 1,535
Thanked 714 Times in 431 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Biggd View Post
I want to do some yard work and I still have huge piles of snow.
Me too ...... all the more reason to go fishing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
These cold nights (low 20's) have really really put a damper on any ice melt. Very little if any progress in the last few days...so much for fishing this upcoming weekend!!

Dan
I was also thinking a few weeks back that "maybe" Ice-Out would come a little eary this year.

Out of curiosity. Anyone know When squam usually gives up all or most of its ice to get some fishing in.

Is it a few days ahead or behind of winnie?
Top-Water is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 12:43 PM   #92
Beauport
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 31
Thanks: 0
Thanked 29 Times in 7 Posts
Default Squam

I drove around much of Squam yesterday and it looked totally socked in. No idea what the ice thickness is, but to my eye, it looked like it was behind Winni.

Jim
Beauport is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 01:16 PM   #93
Top-Water
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 674
Thanks: 1,535
Thanked 714 Times in 431 Posts
Default

@ Beauport

Thanks for the squam lake ice information
Top-Water is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 03:21 PM   #94
Slickcraft
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Welch Island and West Alton
Posts: 3,218
Thanks: 1,173
Thanked 2,001 Times in 915 Posts
Default

The view today from Belknap Point is essentially the same as 5 days ago. All ice except for a small area off south Welch.

Our Eastern is in the water at Fay’s and Smith Cove is mostly open so I suppose we could do laps around the cove ☹️


Sent from my iPad using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app
Slickcraft is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 06:17 PM   #95
Paugus bay girl
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 47
Thanks: 2
Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts
Default Lily Pond

Lily Pond is ICE FREE. 10 days. I'm thinking April 19th. Typical 3rd week of April Ice out.
Paugus bay girl is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-09-2018, 06:42 PM   #96
MikeF-NH
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 317
Thanks: 2
Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts
Default

Chaos, any updated pictures from Alton Bay? I'm hoping for ice to pull back to Sandy Point and I will be on the water Friday. I think it would take a small miracle. A nice start would be rain and no snow from tomorrows front. We get 50s and 60s the rest of the week around my neck of the woods but nighttime temps just aren't low enough to sustain rapid melting. Only hope is those warming waters coming into the Bay.
MikeF-NH is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-10-2018, 07:11 AM   #97
Chaos
Senior Member
 
Chaos's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Danville, NH and West Alton Marina
Posts: 134
Thanks: 111
Thanked 32 Times in 20 Posts
Default MikeF-NH

Sorry, nothing new. I won't be up again until my boat is unwrapped and I start the multi-day polish and wax before launch. My guess, with the weather we've had, it's not much past the bandstand since I took that picture last week. Ugggh!
Chaos is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-10-2018, 08:34 AM   #98
upthesaukee
Senior Member
 
upthesaukee's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Alton Bay
Posts: 5,547
Blog Entries: 2
Thanks: 2,398
Thanked 1,918 Times in 1,061 Posts
Default Only just barely past the bandstand

Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeF-NH View Post
Chaos, any updated pictures from Alton Bay? I'm hoping for ice to pull back to Sandy Point and I will be on the water Friday. I think it would take a small miracle. A nice start would be rain and no snow from tomorrows front. We get 50s and 60s the rest of the week around my neck of the woods but nighttime temps just aren't low enough to sustain rapid melting. Only hope is those warming waters coming into the Bay.
There are narrow openings along the shoreline, and from the bridge it is still open only just barely post the bandstand.

Dave
__________________
I Live Here... I am always UPTHESAUKEE !!!!
upthesaukee is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-10-2018, 01:23 PM   #99
Taz
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 345
Thanks: 3
Thanked 68 Times in 46 Posts
Default Ice out

Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?
Taz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-10-2018, 01:27 PM   #100
ishoot308
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Taz View Post
Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?
Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
ishoot308 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:19 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

This page was generated in 1.11614 seconds