|
Home | Forums | Gallery | Webcams | Blogs | YouTube Channel | Classifieds | Calendar | Register | FAQ | Donate | Members List | Today's Posts | Search |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
02-26-2017, 07:50 AM | #1 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
Posts: 5,930
Thanks: 2,287
Thanked 4,940 Times in 1,916 Posts
|
And just like that...
...the ice is gone!
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!! |
The Following 15 Users Say Thank You to ishoot308 For This Useful Post: | ||
allmostthere (02-26-2017), BaileyBecca (02-27-2017), bclaker (02-26-2017), Biggd (02-26-2017), Broken Glass (02-27-2017), Chaos (02-26-2017), CTYankee (02-26-2017), DRH (02-26-2017), FlyingScot (02-26-2017), HAMPTONS (02-27-2017), MAXUM (02-26-2017), nhjenny (02-26-2017), Slickcraft (02-26-2017), Top-Water (02-26-2017), upthesaukee (02-26-2017) |
02-26-2017, 08:44 AM | #2 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Gilford, NH
Posts: 387
Thanks: 6
Thanked 79 Times in 62 Posts
|
Here's a look from water side. The first with ice was yesterday around 2pm, then the open water one was taken just now, at 8:45. What a difference Rain and wind will make. Hope everyone has gotten their bobhouses off the ice!!
The pics are looking over toward Scenic Drive and Locke Island. |
The Following User Says Thank You to chachee52 For This Useful Post: | ||
BaileyBecca (02-27-2017) |
02-26-2017, 09:05 AM | #3 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 674
Thanks: 1,535
Thanked 714 Times in 431 Posts
|
Thanks for the post, was really wondering what the condition of the ice was.
Was driving by Lake Massabesic in Auburn yesterday and it has a large opening up of the ice as well and could not help but wonder if someone would post something about winni soon. Great news for us folks that can't wait to get back out on the water. |
02-26-2017, 09:21 AM | #4 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 6,408
Thanks: 719
Thanked 1,380 Times in 956 Posts
|
That's amazing! Thanks for posting! I think it is going to be an early ice out.
|
02-26-2017, 09:36 AM | #5 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Kuna ID
Posts: 2,755
Thanks: 246
Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts
|
And it's windy today that's going to really start ripping that ice up good. Could be another year where permanent docks take a beating. There may not have been a ton of ice out there this year but get big enough slabs of solid ice breaking free and smashing into things will certainly wreck whatever is in it's path.
|
Sponsored Links |
|
02-26-2017, 10:23 AM | #6 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Welch Island and West Alton
Posts: 3,218
Thanks: 1,173
Thanked 2,002 Times in 915 Posts
|
Walking on Belknap Point Road this morning I could see that the open water extended to the north east side of Welch. There is still ice between Belknap Point and Welch.
|
02-26-2017, 11:12 AM | #7 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 510
Thanks: 234
Thanked 88 Times in 73 Posts
|
If that is LSP then my grandparent's cottage is right next to the yellow one ( to the left of it) in this picture. Many a summers spent there.
|
02-26-2017, 01:19 PM | #8 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Gilford, NH
Posts: 387
Thanks: 6
Thanked 79 Times in 62 Posts
|
|
02-26-2017, 01:50 PM | #9 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Moultonboro, NH
Posts: 1,657
Blog Entries: 1
Thanks: 342
Thanked 618 Times in 278 Posts
|
Guessing with models
While pouring over data to make my 2017 ice out guess (which is rarely close), here is an interesting trend line over the last 130 years to share. I used a 5'th order polynomial trend line, keeping in mind that all models are wrong, some are useful. :-)
__________________
-lg |
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Lakegeezer For This Useful Post: | ||
Diana (02-28-2017), Slickcraft (02-26-2017) |
02-26-2017, 03:20 PM | #10 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Welch Island and West Alton
Posts: 3,218
Thanks: 1,173
Thanked 2,002 Times in 915 Posts
|
lg: It looks like the variance has been fairly constant over time.
|
02-26-2017, 03:57 PM | #11 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Tuftonboro and Sudbury, MA
Posts: 2,209
Thanks: 1,111
Thanked 934 Times in 576 Posts
|
Looks like steady climate change
Quote:
The chart actually shows 40 years of warming from the the 1970s to today. |
|
02-26-2017, 08:17 PM | #12 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Rattlesnake Isl. - Simsbury, CT
Posts: 271
Thanks: 90
Thanked 44 Times in 26 Posts
|
Quote:
|
|
02-27-2017, 12:18 AM | #13 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Tuftonboro and Sudbury, MA
Posts: 2,209
Thanks: 1,111
Thanked 934 Times in 576 Posts
|
Puh-lease...
Quote:
Wind speed, precipitation, sunshine, and other factors that have not shown steady trends over the decades would be likely causes of the sharp year-to-year variability. That's another reason why the smoothing is helpful. |
|
02-27-2017, 02:11 PM | #14 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Eastern MA & Frye Island/Sebago Lake, Maine
Posts: 935
Thanks: 247
Thanked 323 Times in 148 Posts
|
And the ice conditions referenced above look like this today...
__________________
" Live for today because yesterday is gone and tomorrow may never come" |
02-27-2017, 02:14 PM | #15 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 5,075
Thanks: 215
Thanked 903 Times in 509 Posts
|
Hi BT.Can you provide that direct link to those daily sat pics?Thanks.
__________________
SIKSUKR |
02-27-2017, 02:56 PM | #16 |
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Litchfield/Gilford
Posts: 828
Thanks: 233
Thanked 224 Times in 131 Posts
|
|
02-27-2017, 03:11 PM | #17 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Eastern MA & Frye Island/Sebago Lake, Maine
Posts: 935
Thanks: 247
Thanked 323 Times in 148 Posts
|
The above is correct. You then click on the northeast pic (pics are taken at different times of the day as the satellite passes by) Then select 250m and you'll get a pretty high resolution pic you can zoom in on. Typically those are the pics I post here. Pic is usually available between noon and 1pm depending on DST or EST
BT
__________________
" Live for today because yesterday is gone and tomorrow may never come" |
The Following User Says Thank You to Blue Thunder For This Useful Post: | ||
Wiezy (02-27-2017) |
03-03-2017, 10:31 AM | #18 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 5,075
Thanks: 215
Thanked 903 Times in 509 Posts
|
Thanks guys. For some reason I'm not getting any pic at all, just an outline of the states.
__________________
SIKSUKR |
03-03-2017, 10:46 AM | #19 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 87
Thanks: 192
Thanked 38 Times in 19 Posts
|
per Blue Thunder post above
Pic is usually available between noon and 1pm depending on DST or EST
|
03-07-2017, 10:23 AM | #20 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 5,075
Thanks: 215
Thanked 903 Times in 509 Posts
|
I'm getting it now. Thanks
__________________
SIKSUKR |
Bookmarks |
|
|