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Old 02-01-2024, 07:29 AM   #1
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Exclamation 2024 Ice-Out Guess Contest Now Open


The 2024 winnipesaukee.com Ice-Out Guess Contest is now open and accepting guesses.

There are a few small changes this year:

1. Only the closest guess will win a prize (in the past the 3 closest guesses would win a prize).

2. If Ice-In does not occur in February the contest will be cancelled.

3. If Ice-Out is declared in February the contest will be cancelled.
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Old 02-01-2024, 07:50 AM   #2
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I predict no ice-in this year


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Old 02-01-2024, 09:44 AM   #3
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Center Harbor was pretty locked in as of yesterday, so technically the Mount is iced in. Ice out may come in February at this rate.
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Old 02-01-2024, 10:37 AM   #4
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The Mount route is only for Ice Out being declared by Emerson.
The lake has to coat over for him to declare Ice In.
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Old 02-01-2024, 12:02 PM   #5
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It's the "Ice out" contest not the "ice in" contest and the Mount is definitely iced in.
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Old 02-01-2024, 12:23 PM   #6
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With it design, size, weight and power, don't you think the M.S. Mount Washington would have the easy ability to cut and move through that relatively thin, weak slushy ice just like a can opener if it really had to do it?

With this in mind, its not really iced in enough to keep it from escaping to open water just like a Coast Guard ice breaker in north Canada waters.
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Old 02-01-2024, 06:08 PM   #7
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Default 2024 Ine-Out Contest

Dear, dear FLL, I understand your observations about the M/V Mount Washington being able to power its way through the current ice conditions in Center Harbor (and probably most of the Lake), but this Forum has grown used to the annual Ice-Out Contest, and in order to have 'ice-out' there first must be an 'ice-in'. So, even this year, as questionable as 'ice-in' may be, we must hope for it so we can have he much anticipated annual "Ice-Out Contest.
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Old 02-01-2024, 01:14 PM   #8
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The rules of the contest requires Emerson to declare Ice In.
He only does that when the lake is completely glazed over.

He only uses the Mount route when declaring Ice Out.

The Ice Out contest rules requires him to declare Ice IN.
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Old 02-01-2024, 02:37 PM   #9
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I just drove by Meredith, ice as far as I could see today. Same for Center Harbor. Snowmobiles on the side of 104. Trees covered with snow. Nice day.
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Old 02-01-2024, 03:58 PM   #10
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Obviously not enough for Emerson to make the declaration.

Per Rule #2, he has the month of February to do so.
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Old 02-01-2024, 04:48 PM   #11
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It's been crappy flying weather for at least a week, should be better by Saturday, maybe he'll get up then. Can't forget the rules...
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Old 02-01-2024, 06:12 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by John Mercier View Post
Obviously not enough for Emerson to make the declaration.

Per Rule #2, he has the month of February to do so.
Let’s hope for ice in so you don’t have to obsess about it any longer…
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Old 02-01-2024, 07:34 PM   #13
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I'm not obsessed.
Just read the rules and understood what the Webmaster meant by them.
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Old 02-06-2024, 01:47 PM   #14
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Default No Ice In

Emerson Aviation declared no Ice In today...Just an FYI
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Old 02-06-2024, 03:14 PM   #15
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If there is no contest...technically, does this mean my streak of losing the contest ends?!
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Old 02-06-2024, 03:15 PM   #16
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Congratulations


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Old 02-06-2024, 03:54 PM   #17
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I have March 1st 12:01AM

Emerson told WMUR still a chance if we get some cold by the end of February...
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Old 02-06-2024, 04:15 PM   #18
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I was skiing on Gunstock both yesterday and today. Yesterday most of the Broads was still wide open and with no sign of any floating ice. Today there were patches of shell ice floating fairly widespread all over the open water, so my guess would be if we hold the cold nights until the end of the week the Broads may finally have a chance to freeze over.
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Old 03-01-2024, 09:37 AM   #19
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My summary of this year's guesses:
Fine print: two guesses for 2023 were changed to 2024
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Old 03-04-2024, 11:54 AM   #20
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This morning's observations:

Alton Bay - short section of open water from the bridge half way to the bandstand. Then ice up past the scenic overlook.

Rt 11 to Diamond and Rattlesnake, open with many small chunks of floating ice.

Glendale Bay, open but ice around the town docks.

Smith Cove and Fay's - iced in

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Old 03-04-2024, 01:23 PM   #21
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Default Harbingers?

Lily Pond? Crystal Lake?
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Old 03-04-2024, 01:38 PM   #22
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Quote:
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Lily Pond? Crystal Lake?
Early this morning Lily Pond was only about 10% open.
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Old 03-04-2024, 03:35 PM   #23
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Quote:
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Early this morning Lily Pond was only about 10% open.
It’s about 75% open now…just went by…

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Old 03-05-2024, 01:31 PM   #24
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Is ice out getting close
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Old 03-05-2024, 01:37 PM   #25
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Default more ice?

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Is ice out getting close
I will be de-winterizing my ice maker soon and expect plenty of ice well before the end of March.
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Old 03-05-2024, 01:48 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by phoenix View Post
Is ice out getting close
Pretty confident I'll be enjoying green beer on Bear Island by St. Patricks Day.

I can see open water in the distance from my cameras on East Bear. The Glendale docks should be freed up by the weekend.
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Old 03-05-2024, 02:19 PM   #27
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Default Friday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by codeman671 View Post
Pretty confident I'll be enjoying green beer on Bear Island by St. Patricks Day.

I can see open water in the distance from my cameras on East Bear. The Glendale docks should be freed up by the weekend.
I already picked up my Eastern and plan on having an umbrella drink this Friday on Welch!!

Dan
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Old 03-05-2024, 04:49 PM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ishoot308 View Post
I already picked up my Eastern and plan on having an umbrella drink this Friday on Welch!!

Dan
Must be nice! My pontoon is at the canvas shop until the end of next week. I need it in the water to access the island until my dock goes in, and since my slips are still locked up with ice the Eastern will sit as well.
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Old 03-06-2024, 10:12 AM   #29
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Anyone have reports on the condition of the ICE on the norther portion of the lake? (Winter Harbor, Moultonborough Bay etc. )
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Old 03-06-2024, 04:05 PM   #30
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Default Moultonborough Ice

View from my webcam right now. Still iced in, but very dark. That is Spectacle Island - with 19 and 20 mile bay out of view behind it.
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Old 03-06-2024, 04:57 PM   #31
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Default Graying ice

The ice in Moultonboro Bay is getting grayer, but the cracks and bubbles aren't moving around yet. The rain tonight and wind tomorrow could start the end-game. Here's a shot looking north, with the Ambrose Cove barn visible just left of mid-picture.
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Old 03-15-2024, 08:46 AM   #32
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