Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread

[Island Girl]

This is the official 2015 Ice-Out Thread. If you reply to this thread all of the information about this year's ice-out will be easily accessible to our forum friends.

Today is the first day of Spring (6:45 PM EDT)

Post your observations, concerns, pictures and whatever else comes to mind re: ice-out. Did I say pictures? We love your pictures.

The Ice-Out page is up at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm. There you will find all of the images to watch the ice melt as well as links to special ice out features such as Saunder's Bay daily picture with information about previous year's ice out. (I will post link when it is available. this link if for 2014 and previous years)

Ice-out has occurred in recent years when the lake temperature is from 39-41 degrees as reported by the Winnipesaukee Dataphoneat the Lakeport Dam. Today the temp is 33 degrees. Previous years include 2014-35 degrees, 2013-37 degrees and in 2012-41 degrees! We have a lot of warming up to do.

Many anticipate a late Ice-out this year, so we need some rain dancers... and some warming up to prove them wrong.

Let's get on with our favorite activity ... Ice-Out!

[smith point boater]

If we could get some warm temps to go along with todays wind we wouldn't have to worry about a late ice out!!! Very windy out there today 3 degrees here with wind chill

[trfour]

My ice out guess date, since FOREVAH, has been May 5th and it's look'in good so far this year. The last Ice Out Date on May 5th was back in 1956 when Global Warming was just a glimmah in Al G's eye.
Funny how two of my Brother's that live, one in North Carolina, and the other lives in Georgia got snowed in this winter. So who knows, but if I should win I'll be donating my prize to one of the earlier guess contendahs...

Terry
________________________________

[Paugus bay girl]

A lot of rain, wind and warm temps forecasted for Wed night/ Thursday into Friday. This will certainly speed up the ice/snow melt. Bring on summer! I have been ready since November!

[Chaos]

shows the lake temps rising. Looks to be almost 2 degrees at both depths since last week!

[Katy D]

I am going with April 22nd

[gokart-mozart]

If you picked March 25 - you lost!

[Rattlesnake Gal]

The ice is starting to look different!

Lake Winnipesaukee Weathercam

Water Temperature at 2 ft: 34.8°F

Water Temperature at 10 ft: 36.8°F

[Chaos]

chunks of ice moving around on the Weirs Cam and Anchor Marine Cam Time lapse videos. Even if they are small ones.

[Accipiter290]

Echo Shores time lapse cam shows the edge of the ice slowly but consistently receding! I have high hopes that it won't be a record late ice-out.

[Grant]

Definitely getting the splotchy, mottled look. Puddles. Clock is ticking. When will the Silver Sands annual cam go live? I keep checking.

[DRH]

Originally Posted by Accipiter290

Echo Shores time lapse cam shows the edge of the ice slowly but consistently receding! I have high hopes that it won't be a record late ice-out.

The Echo Shores Webcam time-lapse feature allows the user to select the time frame to be displayed. The default setting is "Today", but you can also select "24 hours", "Yesterday", "One Week" or "One Month".

Give the "One Week" and "One Month" settings a try - they are quite interesting!

[nhcatrider]

The ice on the Merrimuck river in Concord disappeared over the last 24 hours, so it shouldn't be much longer.

[LadyJane]

my April 27 guess isn't looking too bad

[Irish Choppers]

April 22nd!

[Paugus bay girl]

Wow looking at the lake today, looks still solid as a rock. I have a feeling the Mount will have to cancel or postpone its Mothers Day cruise this year.This is outside my house on Paugus Bay at 4:30 today.

[GodSmile]

Despite the dire comments still hoping for an April ice out. A little global warming wouldn't hurt

[PaugusBayFireFighter]

All it takes is a few mild days and some rain and wind. Last year proved that.

[2DAMTS]

Wow looking at the lake today, looks still solid as a rock. I have a feeling the Mount will have to cancel or postpone its Mothers Day cruise this year.This is outside my house on Paugus Bay at 4:30 today.


Sheesh! Still waiting for my pool to have ice out! Still one solid block of ice!

[Merrymeeting]

Originally Posted by GodSmile

Despite the dire comments still hoping for an April ice out. A little global warming wouldn't hurt

Like this? Warmer than New Durham today!

http://www.examiner.com/article/anta...place-on-earth

[Happy Gourmand]

Ice out was declared this morning at 8:13 AM. Let summer begin!!

[Island Girl]

The last time the lake temp was this low on April 1 was in 2001 (4-2-01 34 degrees)

Ice-Out that year was May 2.

We could use some incredibly warm days. The 10-day forecast is not promising for 03810.

[JakeLake]

Originally Posted by Island Girl

The last time the lake temp was this low on April 1 was in 2001 (4-2-01 34 degrees)

Ice-Out that year was May 2.

We could use some incredibly warm days. The 10-day forecast is not promising for 03810.

Friday Into Saturday holds some promise.. sustained winds around 20MPH for a couple hours in Laconia on Saturday following a warm Friday.. Still a long way to go. (May 5th-10th )

[Steveo]

I wish this was an April's Fools joke but it is not...

Pictures taken from scenic view on Rt 11 in Alton and my home in the middle of Alton Bay. This stuff will never melt, at least a month to go:

[Chaos]

Just checked the BlackCat cam and the water temp is trending nicely upward. I realize the sun has a big effect, but at these temps, the ice has to be melting from below, please someone agree

[Island Girl]

Chaos, I agree that the ice will melt from the bottom as well as the top. The rising temps indicate we are on the way... a slow start for sure. The reading from the Winnipesaukee Data Phone is 34 degrees. That is up a degree from earlier in the week.

[PaugusBayFireFighter]

Mild and raining last night after a sunny day. Today we come close to 70 with sun and more rain to follow tonight. Lots of wind tomorrow afternoon, 30mph+ and some sun. Temps for next week are in the 40's with the pattern turning milder towards weeks end.
Patriot's Day is looking better and better for ice out.
Lake temp up a couple degrees since last week. Lake level rising too.

[Blue Thunder]

Great write up by Barry at Silver Sands.
http://nhboat.com/Nhboat/Features/ice/ice-out2015.htm
BT

[Paugus bay girl]

Was out by Paugus today you could see the heat waves rising off the ice! Sign of serious melting, then rain and wind tonight and early morning tomorrow!

[Steveo]

I look forward to Silver Sands cam shots and Barry's forecast every year and can't wait to follow the evolving cam shots. I really appreciate that they show the previous years so you get excited that it might happen earlier than it is looking.

Thanks Barry and Silver Sands!!!

[Blue Thunder]

Today's MODIS view shows just a hint of darkening on the Big Lake. Sebago, however is looking way ahead at this point with a couple of areas of open water visible in the center of Big Bay.

[Ms Molly McKever]

Mr Web Master, Can I change my ice out guess I have may 8. I think we will be swiming by then. Ha Ha

[Just Sold]

Just saw a Boston Whaler running around in the open water at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club. Also saw a golden jump in from the dock after the Whaler went off camera heading toward where the boat went. There was a boy and a woman on the dock with it before it jumped in. Sorry I did not have enough time to grab the photo.

[Chaos]

Time lapse. If you look at it you can actually see the ice melt and the surface change, and it's only several hours of coverage.

[Just Sold]

Just saw a Boston Whaler running around in the open water at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club. Also saw a golden jump in from the dock after the Whaler went off camera heading toward where the boat went. There was a boy and a woman on the dock with it before it jumped in. Sorry I did not have enough time to grab the photo.

[Rob M]

Yesterday/Last night the ice disappeared on Lake Massabesic in Manchester, this usually occurs one week before the big Lake opens up. The lake was covered yesterday morning with very little open water. With these warm temps it would not surprise me to see the big Lake broken up and navigable by this weekend.

[radar4401]

While it has been warm down in Manchester area, we have had cool nights before this week. I doubt the big lake will be navigable this weekend. Some of the coves will take more time to open up.

[WINNIPESAUKEEBOB]

Originally Posted by island girl

this is the official 2015 ice-out thread. If you reply to this thread all of the information about this year's ice-out will be easily accessible to our forum friends.

Today is the first day of spring (6:45 pm edt)

post your observations, concerns, pictures and whatever else comes to mind re: ice-out. Did i say pictures? We love your pictures.

The ice-out page is up at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm. There you will find all of the images to watch the ice melt as well as links to special ice out features such as saunder's bay daily picture with information about previous year's ice out. (i will post link when it is available. This link if for 2014 and previous years)

ice-out has occurred in recent years when the lake temperature is from 39-41 degrees as reported by the winnipesaukee dataphoneat the lakeport dam. Today the temp is 33 degrees. Previous years include 2014-35 degrees, 2013-37 degrees and in 2012-41 degrees! We have a lot of warming up to do.

Many anticipate a late ice-out this year, so we need some rain dancers... And some warming up to prove them wrong.

Let's get on with our favorite activity ... Ice-out!

my condo is at rocky ledge (weirs beach) facing meridith..ice is getting very dark, and moving away from irwins pier and most of the shoreline. I'm guessing another week, and we'll see some major open water.

[Island Girl]

Please post if you have news on ice-out on Lily Pond.

[Chaos]

The Echo Shores web cam now has a large ice sheet that broke off and is moving around. Also looks like the Alton Bay runway may go at any time.

[nicelydunn]

Almost time to leave my winter paradise and return to my summer paradise.

[Just Sold]

Melvin Village Marina web cam shows some ice breaking up and moving around.
http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

[Rattlesnake Gal]

Silver Lake in Hollis is almost always one week ahead of Lake Winnipesaukee. Ice-out happened overnight or early this morning. One more week!!! Winnpiesaukee Data Phone is still reporting 38° at the dam. Black Cat Island is recording 41.8° at 2 feet and 40.2° At 10 feet.

[MDoug]

How's the ice at Cattle? Anyone out that way?

[Winni_Bay]

Hello paugusbayfirefighter
if possible when paugusbay is clear of ice post it here
what happened to our docs last year was terrible
hope we get through this year without damage
Im located at shipahoy condos 301 weirs blvd
if its ice free for saturday i will head up and get the boat lift in

Thank You
Dave

[PaugusBayFireFighter]

Originally Posted by Winni_Bay

Hello paugusbayfirefighter
if possible when paugusbay is clear of ice post it here
what happened to our docs last year was terrible
hope we get through this year without damage
Im located at shipahoy condos 301 weirs blvd
if its ice free for saturday i will head up and get the boat lift in

Thank You
Dave

Dave, I'll keep you updated. Hopefully the ice just dissapears. It appears to be rotting into candle ice... Crossing my fingers for both of us.

[PaugusBayFireFighter]

Paugus Bay is ready to go. I would be very surprised if there was any ice left on the Bay by weeks end. The ice is black/green. Yesterday and today have steady winds from the south and west. This cam shot is looking south towards Lakeport.
Water temp 39 @1.5 feet. Water level rising fast, typical of previous years.

[PaugusBayFireFighter]

Originally Posted by Island Girl

Please post if you have news on ice-out on Lily Pond.

IG. Lily Pond is BLACK. Much darker than yesterday with open water around the shore line and steel light towers. I wouldn't be surprised if Lily's ice is gone tomorrow. This picture was taken driving down the bypass, not a great shot but you get the picture!

[ishoot308]

Here's a couple pics from my deck overlooking the broads. That's Welch island in the first pic, the second is looking just east of Welch directly at the broads. No open water, just looks like it but it is very dark in places!!

[ishoot308]

Come on ice out!!!!!

[meredith weekender]

15mph winds tomorrow afternoon and night. This could definitely do some damage to the ice, hopefully not the docks.

[rgilfert]

FYI, from today's Union Leader .....

[Steveo]

Is out to the bandstand

[Chaos]

We've got an Ice breaker at Black Cat !

[PastorT]

Wow, I guess someone just can't wait till ice-out... hahahaha

[Pine Island Guy]

much more exciting than watching grass grow or paint dry

[AmericanBoatClub]

Melt!
Over looking Akwa Marina Yacht Club towards Meredith

[jazzman]

Not much melting on the Broads side of Big Barndoor Island...

[PaugusBayFireFighter]

This is Lily Pond about 1/2 an hour ago. Gusty wind out of the NE is ripping it apart. This morning it was all ice, now two thirds of Lily is water!

Winni_Bay. The ice along Weirs Blvd. is starting to break up. The winds are in your favor today although the ice is very close to your posts. The slab that's close is not huge and probably thin, the wind is helping. I'll take another look later.

[fatlazyless]

Looks like the ice sheet is getting mushy ..... changing from white to grey to black.....watched an eagle land on the ice sheet earlier this morning, about 10' from open shoreline water .... only to see it break through the slushy ice and fall into the water.....weighing maybe five pounds .....did not seem to bother the eagle one little bit....it took it all in stride....it happened again in another nearby spot and this eagle was totally nonchalant about it ..... the eagle was stepping along......slowly walking across the ice and seemed to be scanning the water depths......when all of a sudden it broke through the slushy ice......must have been stalking a fish or something to eat....at the time?


And no, it was not wearing a pfd!

[Tired of Waiting]

Originally Posted by WINNIPESAUKEEBOB

my condo is at rocky ledge (weirs beach) facing meridith..ice is getting very dark, and moving away from irwins pier and most of the shoreline. I'm guessing another week, and we'll see some major open water.

Welcome to the forum.

Now go get a VERY BIG shaker of salt cause you'll be tossing some over your shoulder around here! Cause of folks like me.


Lots of good folks with lots of help and info.


ToW

[party.of.five]

My web cam showed significant change today in the channel between moultonborough bay and Ambrose. The ice much darker just since yesterday. I'llcheck again in the morning and post a picture.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Pine Island Guy]

it won't be long now, if we get a good breeze, it should disappear in a heartbeat!!

Out to the island!! -PIG

[Merrymeeting]

Looking at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club cam, it appears that the whole ice pack has shifted toward the docks (not a good thing for any structures if the pack is moving fast and still has all that mass). So things are shifting.

Interestingly, other views are very different. Snake Eyes view still looks very locked in. The view there is similar to what I see out my windows on Merrymeeting. Still fairly solid looking and not quite dark enough yet.

I hope all of this softens and breaks up more before the predicted winds over the weekend or else there could be a lot of damage.

[riverat]

[Island Girl]

A view of Rattlesnake Island this morning, April 17, 2015. You are seeing all ice.

[Island Girl]

Sometimes people change the address of their webcams and it takes me a while to find them again. Today the Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm has three cams restored, Cow Cam, Winnipesaukee.net cam (middle of Alton Bay), and the Channel Cam at the Wiers channel.

I am still looking for Overlook Cam in Paugus Bay and the Welch Island Cam. If you know the addresses of any Winnipesaukee Cams please let me know on this thread.

Some of us just can't get enough!

For those of you with private cams, please take a shot of your view from time to time and post here so we can see the state of ice-out.

Thanks
IG (and the rest of the anxious ice-out watchers.

[Blue Thunder]

As an aside I always marvel at how fast the "views" of this thread escalate as we near ice out. It's well over 1,000 views per day at this point.

BT

[Just Sold]

Originally Posted by Island Girl

Sometimes people change the address of their webcams and it takes me a while to find them again. Today the Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm has three cams restored, Cow Cam, Winnipesaukee.net cam (middle of Alton Bay), and the Channel Cam at the Wiers channel.

I am still looking for Overlook Cam in Paugus Bay and the Welch Island Cam. If you know the addresses of any Winnipesaukee Cams please let me know on this thread.

Some of us just can't get enough!

For those of you with private cams, please take a shot of your view from time to time and post here so we can see the state of ice-out.

Thanks
IG (and the rest of the anxious ice-out watchers.

IG you should ad the Melvin Village Marina Web Cam - http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

[Island Girl]

Originally Posted by Just Sold

IG you should ad the Melvin Village Marina Web Cam - http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

Scroll down the page. Since this cam is a live view and not an image, I don't display on the page as it would take too long to load and mobile users don't like that. I link to the cams that are video bases below the images. Corinthian is another live cam you will find there. Just click on the image for those cams and the video will begin.

Some live cams also display an image to which I can link. I cannot find that for the Melvin Village Cam.

Thanks for taking the time to post

IG

[Broken Glass]

Originally Posted by Island Girl

Sometimes people change the address of their webcams and it takes me a while to find them again. Today the Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm has three cams restored, Cow Cam, Winnipesaukee.net cam (middle of Alton Bay), and the Channel Cam at the Wiers channel.

I am still looking for Overlook Cam in Paugus Bay and the Welch Island Cam. If you know the addresses of any Winnipesaukee Cams please let me know on this thread.

Some of us just can't get enough!

For those of you with private cams, please take a shot of your view from time to time and post here so we can see the state of ice-out.

Thanks
IG (and the rest of the anxious ice-out watchers.

Hi Island Girl
The Paugus Bay camera was mine when I had a place at Overlook in Paugus Bay. We now have a place on Rattlesnake so the Paugus Bay Camera is no longer active.
Thank you for all the work you do with Ice Out. It is addictive but in a good way!!
Dan

[depasseg]

Can you add this to the iceout page? It's a view of the Long Island Bridge. It's temporarily public to watch iceout.
http://dropc.am/p/vdYmGT

[depasseg]

Here's a timelapse in front of the Long Island Bridge from yesterday (4/16). There's a lot of changes.
https://youtu.be/Owg5CAl9Xps

[SteveA]

I have April 19th 2.15PM.. I think I'm a little too early with that quess!

[riverat]

Originally Posted by SteveA

I have April 19th 2.15PM.. I think I'm a little too early with that quess!

Same here Steve, I have April 19th at 3:05pm

[JerseyGuy]

Here's a Skype shot from our camp taken across Wentworth Cove just now. That's Governor's Island across the way. The GI bridge is to the left and Saunder's Bay would be to the right.

[AkwaMarina]

Just activated our webcam for the season.

http://akwamarina.com/Home/WebCam

May 15th can't get here fast enough!

[Misha888]

is out there trying to break up the ice out towards the broads in Gilford.

[MGWillia]

Looks like Bay ice will be past Sandy Point by the end of the weekend... Lots of fisherman in small craft

[Merrymeeting]

Drove by Sunset Lake this afternoon, a man-made lake in Middleton. Yesterday it was still totally ice covered. Today almost ice free.

It's usually a week or so ahead of the bigger lakes.

[Island Girl]

Originally Posted by depasseg

Can you add this to the iceout page? It's a view of the Long Island Bridge. It's temporarily public to watch iceout.
http://dropc.am/p/vdYmGT

You can now view this cam from the Snake Eyes Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm. Scroll down under the section labeled Live Video Cams

[Island Girl]

Originally Posted by Broken Glass

Hi Island Girl
The Paugus Bay camera was mine when I had a place at Overlook in Paugus Bay. We now have a place on Rattlesnake so the Paugus Bay Camera is no longer active.
Thank you for all the work you do with Ice Out. It is addictive but in a good way!!
Dan

Thanks, Dan and welcome to Rattlesnake Island, drop by and say hello!

IG

[party.of.five]

I'm a little later with this than I'd planned but it was super foggy this morning and you couldn't see anything from the webcam. Those rocks beyond the dock were surrounded by ice yesterday. It's getting there!

(This is the channel between Ambrose Cove and Moultonborough Bay)


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[rscalzo]

Right here.

http://www.winnipesaukee.com/index.php?pageid=iceout

[ishoot308]

Saunders bay was still locked in solid last night.

Fay's boatyard had a few boats in the water but they weren't going anywhere as there was still ice 25 yards out from the docks.

Here's a few more shots taken this morning off my deck. Everything south of Welch is very black and ready to break up with some help from the wind. Everything North of Welch still looks white and more solid.

[ishoot308]

Looking at broads...

[ishoot308]

Southern broads....

[Mink Islander]

Any day now....

[Pine Island Guy]

Came out to the island this morning and it was pretty clear all the way around... however now a pretty good breeze from the south has brought the ice back in... We'll see what it is like Monday morning when we try to leave for work... "I'm sorry, can't get off island until the ice melts"

-PIG

[Winni_Bay]

Paugus bay firefighter
how's the ice doing on paugusbay
didn't have time to get up there today looks like ligh winds

[pjard]

It was hard to tell for sure because the ice is the same color as the water but it looked totally clear from Ames Farm all the way to Diamond Island!

[Merrymeeting]

Looking at WeirsCam and Wolfeboro cams, there are significant change going on. The ice pack in those areas seems to be breaking up and disintegrating, while places on the northern side of the lake still seem more solid.

[upthesaukee]

Alton bay out to the markers at Sandy Point and beyond.

Sent from my GT-P5210 using Tapatalk

[Mink Islander]

Latest from the north side of Mink Island

[DRH]

The ice in our cove is receding quickly now, and the remaining ice is getting darker each day. Here's an image from the Echo Shores Webcam taken just before 6 PM this afternoon:



(The islands are Sleepers (on left), Cub, and Treasure, with Rattlesnake in the background.)

[jeffatsquam]

Originally Posted by DRH

The ice in our cove is receding quickly now, and the remaining ice is getting darker each day. Here's an image from the Echo Shores Webcam taken just before 6 PM this afternoon:



(The islands are Sleepers (on left), Cub, and Treasure, with Rattlesnake in the background.)

That is a very interesting image I don't think I recall seeing one quite like that before, the reflection so perfect on the calm water and then none on the ice.

[Island Girl]

Minge Cove Marina is out to nearly the mouth. I will post more pics tonight of our trip to the lake today.

[Misha888]

by the time the sun went down there was about 200' of more blue. It is still solid between VP and Lockes. There is still a patch of ice between Fay's and the first channel marker. I'm feeling confident about my guess.

[Island Girl]

Ice-water line at Sandy Point in Alton Bay.

[Island Girl]

Minge Cove was completely iced in on Thursday. Today, Saturday, the marina is clear and the ice line is nearly to the blinking light\marker.