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03-14-2013, 06:48 PM | #1 |
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Official 2013 Ice-Out Thread
This is the official 2013 Ice-Out thread. If you reply to this thread all of the information about this year's ice-out will be easily accessible. Post your observations, concerns, pictures and whatever else comes to mind re: ice-out.
The Ice-Out page is up at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm. There you will find all of the images to watch the ice melt as well as links to special ice out features such as Saunder's Bay daily picture with information about previous year's ice out. Ice-out has occured in recent years from 39-41 degrees as reported by the Winnipesaukee Dataphone at the Lakeport Dam. You can also observe the 2 ft and 10 ft temps rising at http://www.blackcatnh.com/ (just under the Black Cat Island Weather Cam picture)
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03-14-2013, 07:40 PM | #2 |
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Thanks IG....you're the best.
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03-14-2013, 09:12 PM | #3 |
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Tick, rock
Now it officially begins. Met with island neighbors and friends tonight and planned first island party for right after Ice Out to begin season. can't wait
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03-15-2013, 03:40 AM | #4 |
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It will be a while.
Channel 7 yesterday said to expect below normal temps and above normal precipitation through the end of this month. It is only March!
Possible major snow or rain storm for Monday into Tuesday. 16 degrees out here in Belmont as I head out to my morning gym routine.
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03-15-2013, 05:55 AM | #5 |
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Lets hope for rain...I am sticking with my guess of April 8th for ice-out.
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03-15-2013, 06:10 AM | #6 |
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03-15-2013, 06:16 AM | #7 |
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By the looks of today's ice, it doesn't look good but change can happen quickly.
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03-15-2013, 07:22 AM | #8 |
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Well, we're planning on leaving Florida on April 4th and arriving at the lake on the 5th -- weather permitting! As long as there is no snow on our little private road, we'll be there! Do you think we're nuts?
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03-15-2013, 09:45 AM | #9 |
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No one coming to the lake is crazy
Our passion knows no bounds! Then again, you might want to bring a shovel. This is New England!
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03-15-2013, 09:49 AM | #10 |
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"T" minus 10 and counting!
Just knowing the ice out thread is on the forum is enough to get me excited.
Counting the days
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03-15-2013, 12:39 PM | #11 |
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I was thinking April 13th a few days ago but if the long range predictions stick it could drop back into the April 20s. I didn't get my guess into the contest this year because the link never showed on the Ice Out page...bummer.
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03-15-2013, 08:27 PM | #12 |
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03-16-2013, 12:06 AM | #13 |
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I drilled a hole in Alton Bay this morning and there was still 16" of solid ice...
I'd say its gonna be a while before ice out! |
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03-17-2013, 09:36 AM | #14 |
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Certainly a long stretch of well below normal temps, and it's going to last until Wednesday or Thursday! No March ice-out this year!
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03-17-2013, 05:19 PM | #15 |
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This winds were clearing the lake of snow today but there will be plenty of snow added on Tuesday. I was in Alton Bay and even the Merrymeeting River entering the Bay had a thin skim of ice around noon today. Ice Out is a ways off.
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03-17-2013, 05:28 PM | #16 |
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Walked to Sleepers
My wife and I walked over to Sleepers Isl yesterday (Saturday) with the dog from near the West Alton sandbar area. The ice was snow covered so the walking was easy and took no more than 10 mins or so. We didn't drill any holes but I used a heavy ice scraper to check it. It sure looked as though the ice was plenty thick the whole way across. Honestly, we probably could have drove over in the truck!!!! We felt that safe. Ice out will probably be a while sorry to say.
Anyway is was good to get out there and check things out and think about the season to come.
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03-18-2013, 09:00 AM | #17 |
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This is from the Farmer Almanac...I always just like to look at it.
March 2013 16th-19th. Unsettled, gusty winds, with mixed rain and wet snow. 20th-23rd. A major coastal storm with strong winds and heavy precipitation. 24th-27th. Showers from Virginia and Maryland to New England, then fair. 28th-31st. Another coastal storm! More wind, rain and snow, just in time for Easter. April 2013 1st-3rd. No fooling: very unsettled Mid-Atlantic States through New England, then fair. 4th-7th. More wetness. 8th-11th. Pleasant spell. 12th-15th. Rain unfortunately coincides with Patriot's Day in Massachusetts and Maine. 16th-19th. Sunny skies. 20th-23rd. Windy and showery; squalls along the coast; heavy rain for Mid-Atlantic States. Followed by improving weather. 24th-27th. Sunny and pleasantly mild. 28th-30th. Heavy rains, followed by fair skies. May 2013 1st-3rd. Fair and dry. 4th-7th. Scattered thunderstorms for Mid-Atlantic States; showers into New England; all followed by clearing. 8th-11th. Very unsettled; widespread thunderstorm activity for Maryland, Virginia. 12th-15th. Clearing and pleasant.
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03-18-2013, 12:44 PM | #18 |
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Cold temps just keep pushing the date further out
Daytime highs in the lower 30's, nighttime lows of 10-15 simply isn't good ice-out weather lately, is it? I'm beginning to wonder which will come first -- ice-out, or bike week?
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03-15-2013, 04:45 PM | #20 |
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Ice
With the temps as cold as they were last night I noticed areas around Black Cat that were open refroze and the ice looked pretty thick.
Looking at the next week the ice should be rebuilding with those temps down in the mid to low teens at night and only on the mid to low 30's during the day. As for the storm a lot of us are still looking for that money that last winter shorted us. I'm hoping for a couple of more storms myself.
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03-19-2013, 01:16 PM | #21 |
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New England's varied weather
How's this for an example of how different New England's weather can be from year to year...
The April Fool's Blizzard - March 31 - April 1, 1997 - dumped 27 inches at my house in Reading, MA. One year later, almost to the day - March 30, 1998 - it was 88 degrees! |
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03-19-2013, 01:29 PM | #22 | |
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Quote:
I'm rooting for late May Come on old man winter, don't let me down.
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03-19-2013, 02:18 PM | #23 |
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Whoa BR!!!
I just paid my dock fee for the summer, and boat is to go in the water the 1st week in May!!!!!
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03-19-2013, 02:54 PM | #24 | |
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Yes but
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Channel 7 just extended the below normal temps and above normal precipitation into the first week of April.
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"better to have a short life that is full of what you like doing, then a long life spent in a miserable way.." Last edited by Belmont Resident; 03-19-2013 at 03:53 PM. |
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03-19-2013, 04:24 PM | #25 |
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thanks BR
By then, I should be able to get under the bridge (hopefully) and do a chug chug cruise out to Sandy Point and back, or at least to the Bandstand and back.
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03-19-2013, 06:22 PM | #26 |
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Why under the bridge and out to the bandstand is one of the first areas to open up. You will be taking mini rides while my boat is still hanging up at Fay's!
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03-19-2013, 09:33 PM | #27 |
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Getting "under the bridge" can be an issue for some boats when the lake level is high. That is often the case in the spring.
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03-20-2013, 08:00 AM | #28 | |
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Very Interesting.......
Quote:
As for Ice Out....I didn't get my guess in on time so ...My boat goes in the water May 4th. As long as I can float at my dock with a beverage in hand (mittens on or not) I think it's a win. Before too long we'll be complaining about the excessive heat and humidity Wave 'cuz I'll be wavin' back The Breeze Last edited by sum-r breeze; 03-20-2013 at 02:17 PM. Reason: spelling error |
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03-20-2013, 09:36 AM | #29 | |
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What gets me are the nuts who say "Don't burn that oil" are the same ones who also complain about it getting warmer. Frankly, there is only one thing I would miss if we never, ever had another Ice-In on Winni -- the official Ice-Out thread! |
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03-20-2013, 09:58 AM | #30 |
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Can we PLEASE keep this thread to the joy and fun of ice-out anticipation, and take the commentary on global warming to another place and time?
Thank you. Now back to our regularly scheduled discussions about ice-out... |
03-20-2013, 10:41 AM | #31 | |
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So, my advice is to let it be. Stop jumping in to complain about any and all posts you don't like. Instead, complain to the web master so that all us offending people can be banned, never to be heard from again. |
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03-20-2013, 11:20 AM | #32 |
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A little Zanex anyone?
I thought the re-direct at the end of my post was going to cover my behind enough to at least be humorous. Oh well ....can't please em all. Thanks TnT
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03-20-2013, 01:34 PM | #33 |
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These guys couldn't wait for Ice-Out....make sure to zoom in:
https://maps.google.com/maps?q=43.58...t=h&gl=us&z=17 |
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03-20-2013, 03:13 PM | #34 |
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One year ago today we made our first 2012 trip to Welch, raised the flag and lowered the seasonal dock. Calm day maybe about 60 degrees.
Today we had a very nice time skiing on fresh powder at Gunstock. Fantastic conditions. Now we would rather have been boating over to Welch but as they say, if life gives you lemons make lemonade. BTW, we were on the second chair at opening but we were the 1st skiers (except for ski patrol) down Gunsmoke crossing to middle Recoil. Someday I'll learn to ski in several inches of fresh powder without landing on my face at least once. |
03-20-2013, 03:16 PM | #35 |
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Slickcraft Bend the knees. Powder is a great way to ski, but you have to watch the changing conditions. I learned the hard way too, with many mothfuls of snow.
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03-20-2013, 05:57 PM | #36 |
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What is a mothful??
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03-20-2013, 06:06 PM | #37 |
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It's without "U"
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03-19-2013, 02:22 PM | #38 | |
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Quote:
From this to this
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03-20-2013, 06:18 AM | #39 |
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Yes, a year ago we had temps in the 60's and were waiting for the official word...I had just pulled the boat out of the garage to get it ready for opening day.
Here we are 3/23/12 putting the dock in. And then there is today...still snowing |
03-20-2013, 10:49 PM | #40 |
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It sure is a lot different this year. We had two trips in by the end of March last year. Let's hope for a warm April...
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03-21-2013, 12:02 PM | #41 |
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Today's Weirs Cam
What an amazing day at the lake today! The shot from the Weirs Cam tells it all! Way off in the distance near Eagle Island the ice looks dark and maybe water. Is there anyone out on Governors or at Dockham Shores with a view out that direction. Maybe some open water between Governors and Eagle?
The Breeze Wave 'cuz I'll be wavin' back |
03-21-2013, 12:32 PM | #42 | |
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Quote:
Someone closed the curtain on the Varney Point Cam Last edited by codeman671; 03-21-2013 at 01:32 PM. Reason: removed black cat comments-it was shadows |
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03-21-2013, 01:49 PM | #43 |
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View From Welch
Here's today's view from Welch... I plan on walking out this weekend as there is still plenty of ice.
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03-22-2013, 10:27 AM | #45 |
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Keep in mind though it is not just a contest, you need to book them to do work for you. If you win the contest, the job or a portion thereof depending on services desired, is free.
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03-22-2013, 03:12 PM | #46 | |
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Quote:
It also applies to mooring inspections and swim raft spring installations. -Mike
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03-22-2013, 04:13 PM | #47 | |
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Phil indicted for fraud
OK the death penalty may be a little harsh but the rascal should not get off with just a slap on the paw.
Quote:
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03-22-2013, 04:25 PM | #48 |
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Phil
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03-22-2013, 05:57 PM | #49 |
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I always thought that when Phil saw his shadow there wouild be 6 more weeks of winter and jf he didn't see his shadow then there would be a month and half more of winter. So far it works as good as the other way.
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03-22-2013, 07:41 PM | #50 |
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Historical Ice-Out Dates
In case anyone needs this information, this is the list of Ice-out dates since records have been kept (since 1888). We have a ways to go before we hit the normal, expected ice-out date.
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03-23-2013, 01:42 PM | #51 |
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Plenty of Ice
We are definitely looking at a late April ice-out, I just came off the ice and checked thickness in several place 12-14" of good ice.
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03-23-2013, 05:29 PM | #52 |
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I am switching marinas this year (no trailer) and the old one is splashing on the 11th of May. Don't want to be dodging sheets of ice going from one to the other. Late April would be great for me.
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03-25-2013, 02:38 PM | #53 |
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Skied to the island on Sunday
Just a quick update that the ice is still pretty thick between the Rattlesnake Island landing and the island itself. I skied out late yesterday afternoon, testing with an ice ax several times and was never able to break through. My cousin was talking with an ice fisherman in Alton Bay on Saturday who said it was about 12" in the bay.
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03-25-2013, 02:55 PM | #54 |
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16" on the Tuftonboro side of Cow Island about 4-5" of snow on top, Fishing was decent for the first time in a long time in our area. real quite on the Island this weekend
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03-25-2013, 06:48 PM | #55 |
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due to unforseen circumstances.....Ice out has been cancelled this year
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03-25-2013, 07:20 PM | #56 |
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22 inches at the mouth of twenty mile bay Saturday. Trucks still on the ice.
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03-26-2013, 07:50 AM | #57 |
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Starting today some stronger sun and higher temps through the weekend will provide some good melting. By April 1 there shouldn't be any snow left here, in Laconia, other than some dirty snow banks (no foolin'). Last year at this time the lake was wide open after a very mild March. This weeks temps are slightly warmer than last year and the lake temp is about 4 degrees cooler. We are looking at 3 more weeks till "ice-out".
Putting the bass boat in the water Sunday. Let the pre spawn fishing begin! |
03-26-2013, 08:25 AM | #58 |
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so I guess my guess of April 4th is out
que the red sox theme (and even possibly the Patriots these past few years) "there's always next year"
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03-26-2013, 03:11 PM | #59 |
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80 In The Sun!
Temps like this today in the sun will certainly speed things up!! Wish the heck I was out there!
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03-26-2013, 03:52 PM | #60 |
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Sat in the sun on the dock for a couple hours today. It was great seeing the lake bottom. I saw a few spiders and got buzzed by a flying insect. Two minuscule things that scream spring. Canadian geese were patrolling the shore looking for a yard to do their thing. I made sure they saw my two large Maine Coons who were inquisitively watching them.
Spring has sprung! |
03-27-2013, 06:56 AM | #61 |
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I do believe I heard a bat squeaking in my barn last night...the first of the year.
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03-27-2013, 10:18 AM | #62 |
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Going to be ROUGH trolling Monday!
I was just watching a man ICE FISHING, on my Paugus Bay camera. I guess that means I won't be out there in my fishing boat Good Stuff, on Monday, for opening day, trolling along, sun sparkling off the water, loving life, wondering how I got so lucky to be able to take part in the opening day expectations............LOL....
Last edited by Broken Glass; 03-27-2013 at 10:19 AM. Reason: forgot a word |
03-27-2013, 12:31 PM | #63 | |
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Quote:
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03-27-2013, 11:10 AM | #64 |
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Not so fast!
From a mile up over Gunstock, we shot the entire lake. I don't think you'll see much open water. Ice out does not look to be soon. The full screen version is at http://tinyurl.com/Winnipesaukee. You can scroll from Meredith to Alton. |
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03-27-2013, 11:21 AM | #65 |
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Great picture of the entire lake - thanks Flyguy
I have a large format color copier I will try and print it out. |
03-27-2013, 11:47 AM | #66 |
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I second that....awesome picture. Where was something like this during ice-in
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03-27-2013, 03:27 PM | #67 | |
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03-28-2013, 02:06 PM | #68 |
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View from Alton Bay bridge
Still a long ways from the bandstand but a tiny bit of a start. Recent snow has mostly melted, still grey slush on most of the lake. Hopefully we will see some darkening of the ice soon.
It will probably be shoulder to shoulder Monday on the bridge as well as the Mt. Washington dock. |
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03-28-2013, 03:39 PM | #69 | |
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03-28-2013, 04:24 PM | #70 |
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Sorry Mike
Alton Bay cam appears to be down, and will be staying down for the foreseeable future.
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03-29-2013, 11:53 AM | #71 |
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Observing from far away....
That's why I put in a thank you to Slickcraft for his picture from the bridge. Being 300 miles away, I miss the Alton Bay webcam and appreciate the photos taken by those who are there year-round. Will have to wait 4-5 weeks more to see that view in person again.
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03-29-2013, 12:37 PM | #72 |
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Just back from a drive from Alton to Gilford and back. It's going to be awhile. Still no dark areas showing. I didn't even see any cracks that would normally be showing water seepage.
But most of the shoreline is showing retreat, and areas that have bubblers are expanding. The nice and sunny weather the next few days will help. But we most likely have 2-3 weeks to go. |
03-29-2013, 02:03 PM | #73 |
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First Boat of The Season
Saw a pontoon boat on the Wiers Cam at 10:29 AM today when you do the time lapse play back. http://www.winnipesaukee.com/index.php?pageid=weirscam
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03-29-2013, 03:03 PM | #74 |
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My local pond
that I use as a reference usually ices out about 3 weeks before Winni. It was ice free on Wednesday. Lets hope it's not longer!
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03-29-2013, 03:21 PM | #75 | |
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I noticed that you live in Danville. Do you mean Long Pond?
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03-29-2013, 08:32 PM | #76 |
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similar sign
There are some nearby rocks in the middle of the lake that heat up and start a plume of melt to the south three weeks before ice-out. The plume has appeared. Looking at around the third week of April. We'll see.
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03-30-2013, 08:25 AM | #77 |
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Just Sold
Not Long Pond. It's a small pond on Rt. 111 that some folks do stand up jet ski slalom courses on in the summer. I don't even know what the name is. Just south of the Gulf gas station. Also, Cobbetts pond seemed all but free of ice yesterday
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03-30-2013, 05:47 PM | #78 |
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View From above
Todays image from space shows a lot of grey ice. Thought you all would like to see it
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03-30-2013, 06:32 PM | #79 |
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Know it well -Old sand pit in Salem. Privately owned with 2 homes on it.
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Just Sold At the lake the stress of daily life just melts away. Pro Re Nata Last edited by Just Sold; 03-31-2013 at 06:16 AM. |
03-30-2013, 06:41 PM | #80 |
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Lots of gray spots on the lake today.
Top to bottom: Sandy Point Alton Bay, from Lincoln Park, Mt Washington, Lilly Pond, Fay's Boat Yard channel in Gilford and Alton Bay from Rt 11 Bridge
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03-30-2013, 06:51 PM | #81 |
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Awesome pics JustSold. Thanks !!!
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03-31-2013, 06:12 AM | #82 |
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Look how much of the shoreline is gone, this picture is from Lakes Region Seaplane.
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03-31-2013, 03:29 PM | #83 |
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I was on the ice a good part of yesterday with friends who were fishing. They reported a solid 12" in most areas, and they were riding sleds all over. There was a lot of slush on top but it was solid underneath. No real signs of seepage or weakening.
I took a walk on it this afternoon too. If anything, it's more solid than yesterday. The mushy slush that was on top yesterday solidified over night and didn't weaken much today. |
03-31-2013, 05:37 PM | #84 |
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It's melting lets just all keep thinking positive!!! :):):)
Last edited by soupyjr8; 03-31-2013 at 07:13 PM. |
03-31-2013, 06:43 PM | #85 |
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soupyjr8, I just noticed that you are fairly new to posting on the forum and glad you have joined us. Have fun and enjoy the Winni Forum while making many new friends.
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04-01-2013, 12:06 PM | #86 |
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The pace of melting seems to have accelerated in the past 24 hours. I'm sure the rain last night helped.
On a walk this morning I noticed many new areas of open ground, and the snowbanks along our road were noticeably smaller than yesterday. The ground seemed firmer, indicating that the frost is leaving in many areas, and the local streams are running full force. The ice pack hasn't visually changed much. But I sense that the corner has turned, the next few nights temps notwithstanding. While there's some time to go, we should start to see noticeable change in the ice over the next few days. |
04-01-2013, 12:19 PM | #87 |
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Lilly Pond
I seem to remember that someone said Lilly Pond was some sort of 2 week warning. It looks very slushy and has water pretty much all around it's shoreline.
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04-08-2013, 05:49 PM | #88 |
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From Last Saturday
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04-08-2013, 06:23 PM | #89 |
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I just saw my first loon of the season in the open water off Weirs Beach. I'll be on the deck listening for calls tonight.
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04-10-2013, 02:31 PM | #90 | |
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04-10-2013, 03:08 PM | #91 |
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Couple Pics
One pic from my camp deck and one pic from my dock.
You can really see open water forming now. With the heavy winds coming in hopefully this ice will mostly blow away for the weekend and allow some fishing and accessibility to our camps!! Still keeping my fingers crossed! Dan |
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04-10-2013, 03:44 PM | #92 |
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Northeast corner is iced out
From Melvin Bay up through Moultonborough Bay, the ice is gone. It went out yesterday in the afternoon and by 5PM, my dock was in
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04-10-2013, 03:46 PM | #93 |
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Nice to see open water again, next Friday will be our opening day.
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04-18-2013, 03:27 PM | #94 |
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Lake Winnipesaukee Ice-Out, Analyzing The 127 Years Of Data
Lake Winnipesaukee Ice-Out, Analyzing The 127 Years Of Data — To Celebrate Yesterday’s, i.e., April 17, Ice-Out For 2013.
http://nhlife.wordpress.com/2013/04/...-out-for-2013/ I did some quick analysis. One thing I quickly noticed is that people don’t pay enough attention to LEAP YEARS. In terms of days into the year, March 23 & March 24 are both 82 days in — depending on whether it is a leap-year or not. So to say that last year was the earliest ice-out is wrong in a way. You can read this blog post for some number crunching for ice-out on Lake Winnipesaukee. Enjoy! |
04-18-2013, 07:35 PM | #95 |
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Ice Out 2013
We are soooo excited about Ice Out, Last year we purchased our very 1st Formula and the week after suffered a major setback as a family where we went from elation to mourning, and putting life in perspective. Meaning we can always enjoy the lake and the wonderful people we know there, but life is fleeting, and you need to spend it with the ones you love. For us ice out is about paying remembrance to the ones we have lost and elation of the ones we still get to share the beauty of the lake with the ones we hold close, friends and family.
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04-19-2013, 11:48 AM | #96 |
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soupyjr8, I just noticed that you are fairly new to posting on the forum and glad you have joined us. Have fun and enjoy the Winni Forum while making many new friends.
Hope you enjoy wonderful summer months.
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03-29-2013, 05:41 PM | #97 | |
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03-28-2013, 02:05 PM | #98 | |
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03-30-2013, 07:38 AM | #99 |
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purchase
flyguy - Will you print this and make it available to purchase. Would you consider taking the same shot during the Spring Summer with the beautiful blue water
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04-05-2013, 06:06 PM | #100 |
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Paugus Bay looks ready to open up a bit...
Looking south toward Lakeport.
I've also noticed a few inches of water level increase over the last couple of days. |
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