Quote:
Originally Posted by Winilyme
[I could be wrong but I'm not sure that's the way the odds work. Assuming it's true that you you have a 1 in 1,000 chance to contract COVID on a given day then I believe it's always going to be a 1 in 1,000 chance per day. Each day is a singular event. Your risk doesn't build up over time. If it did, then you'd eventually get to a point where you'd essentially be guaranteed to get COVID. Again...I'm not a mathematician so I could be entirely off base.
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Just speaking intuitively, the more you do something the higher your chances of an adverse event, as in if you jump out of a plane with a parachute once versus every day for 10 years. I've noticed this, for example, over a lifetime of hiking and kayaking.