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CanisLupusArctos · 02-28-2008, 03:55 PM

The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch for the lakes region for Friday night and Saturday. This is for all of New Hampshire except for Manchester and Keene areas, and all of Maine.

Models are showing well over half-inch of QPF (an umbrella term that means either rain or the melted equiv. of snow) coming... and perhaps up to an inch. With the cold dry air in place (it's 15 on Black Cat right now, after a high of 17) we'll see more of a fluff factor with this storm. The average amount of liquid the models are giving us is 0.75" which would translate into about 10 inches of snow with the fluff factor.

In terms of roof collapses and flood issues I'm becoming more concerned about late Sunday through Tuesday as another snow-to-rain event is looking more likely. If that storm must come we'd be better off with a fluff factor as tomorrow night's storm should have.

The February precipitation total (includes melted equivalent of snow) is now 6.11 inches... about the same amount that produced the Mother's Day Flood of 2006. Friday night could bring it closer to 7 inches. It's all still on the ground, combined with what fell prior to this month, waiting to be unleashed by warmth and rain.

...March means the start of meteorological spring...

At this point it's a pretty sure bet the lakes and rivers are all going to be very high this spring. The only question is whether or not they'll be floodingly high or just high enough to make us nervous. The answer depends on whether or not spring comes quickly or gradually... and we can't predict that... so if you have property to protect, it would be best to form your plan now and monitor this year's winter-to-spring transition as though it were your favorite TV show.

02-28-2008, 03:55 PM	#1
CanisLupusArctos Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Center Harbor Posts: 1,049 Thanks: 15 Thanked 472 Times in 107 Posts	March '08 to come in like a lion The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch for the lakes region for Friday night and Saturday. This is for all of New Hampshire except for Manchester and Keene areas, and all of Maine. Models are showing well over half-inch of QPF (an umbrella term that means either rain or the melted equiv. of snow) coming... and perhaps up to an inch. With the cold dry air in place (it's 15 on Black Cat right now, after a high of 17) we'll see more of a fluff factor with this storm. The average amount of liquid the models are giving us is 0.75" which would translate into about 10 inches of snow with the fluff factor. In terms of roof collapses and flood issues I'm becoming more concerned about late Sunday through Tuesday as another snow-to-rain event is looking more likely. If that storm must come we'd be better off with a fluff factor as tomorrow night's storm should have. The February precipitation total (includes melted equivalent of snow) is now 6.11 inches... about the same amount that produced the Mother's Day Flood of 2006. Friday night could bring it closer to 7 inches. It's all still on the ground, combined with what fell prior to this month, waiting to be unleashed by warmth and rain. ...March means the start of meteorological spring... At this point it's a pretty sure bet the lakes and rivers are all going to be very high this spring. The only question is whether or not they'll be floodingly high or just high enough to make us nervous. The answer depends on whether or not spring comes quickly or gradually... and we can't predict that... so if you have property to protect, it would be best to form your plan now and monitor this year's winter-to-spring transition as though it were your favorite TV show.