Going from 48-degrees on May 1, to 63-degrees on May 31, for the top five feet of surface water in Lake Winnipesaukee is totally accurate.
When the surface water temp is below 60-degrees, the smallies will go dive deeper, hibernate, do very little, and eat almost nothing. They basically chill out, and wait for the water to warm up to 60+, starting on or about June 1, and they get hungry for something to eat.
Look'n to catch smallies before June 1 is a waste of time, and you is better off going to the McDonald's to catch a filet-o-fish sandwich.
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... down and out, liv'n that Walmart side of the lake!
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