My wife and I bought a house in Moultonborough in 2010 for quite a bit under your budget. It was built in 2007, has 3.5 baths, 3 bedrooms, and a finished basement.
We live across the street from the lake. No water views due to trees and have an access to the lake via a town-owned easement (Enough to walk down to the water, but that's about it). A smaller, older house up the street that is on the water sold for about $900K last year so that gives you an idea of what water front/water views add to the price.
Bottom line, if you're willing to give up the water front/water views, I think you could find something near the water that would work in your price range.
FYI - taxes are great in Moultonborough.
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