Here's a
video tour of the entire lake, taken from around 4,000 feet. The dark areas are cloud shadows, not thin ice. You won't see much water. In fact, the most notable new water we observed was on the Witches, but that happens every year. I have to go with Dave Emersons recent analysis (see the Laconia Citizen article
here)-
IceOut will happen the latter part of April. - which is really too bad, 'cause I chose April 16th.