Quote:
Originally Posted by SailinAway
For me personally, the logical corollary to those odds is that I do whatever I can to mitigate them: go grocery shopping at 6:30 a.m., wear two masks (found in studies to offer more protection), practice social distancing. Although the emotional terror of the pandemic isn't the same as it was in spring 2020, I'm treating the risk as the same now as it was then. Yes, I'm vaccinated but as the effectiveness of the vaccine declines to 50% over 6 months, vaccination alone isn't enough to mitigate the odds. These other measures will be the norm for me for the foreseeable future.
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I agree with your corollary--fewer potential exposures definitely translates to reduced odds to getting sick.
I think you may be too pessimistic when you say efficacy declines to 50%. The numbers I've seen are mid 70s or 80s for Pfizer--still quite good--and maybe no decline for Moderna.