Winnipesaukee Forum - View Single Post - Storm for March 15-16?

Rose · 03-13-2008, 08:05 AM

Yesterday's 12Z run of the GFS had it agreeing with most other models and took the storm just to our south so that only the south coast of New England and the islands might see a bit of precip from the fringe of the storm. But the 00Z run brought it a little further north, and the 06Z brought it even further north than that. So the trend of the GFS is toward a stormier solution, although less so for northern New England.

The 00Z and 06Z WRF have the majority of New England seeing a decent storm. The European and Canadian models have it well to our south, but yesterday's 12Z run of the Canadian had it hitting us. So, as you can see, the models are still all over the place on this one.

03-13-2008, 08:05 AM	#5
Rose Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 498 Thanks: 62 Thanked 71 Times in 32 Posts	Is the trend your friend? Yesterday's 12Z run of the GFS had it agreeing with most other models and took the storm just to our south so that only the south coast of New England and the islands might see a bit of precip from the fringe of the storm. But the 00Z run brought it a little further north, and the 06Z brought it even further north than that. So the trend of the GFS is toward a stormier solution, although less so for northern New England. The 00Z and 06Z WRF have the majority of New England seeing a decent storm. The European and Canadian models have it well to our south, but yesterday's 12Z run of the Canadian had it hitting us. So, as you can see, the models are still all over the place on this one.