Cancelling or not is a REALLY tough one ....... to start with, the accuracy of long range forecasts around the Lakes Region is like going to Foxwoods.
With that said ........... Lightning & boating DO NOT MIX !!
The other factor, as you say, it could be a late afternoon T-storm roll in and you get the better part of the Day to enjoy ........
If it were I -- which it is not -- I would wait until the very last minute .... take an eye to the sky, a dash of weather radar (via phone APP) and make a final decision.
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A bad day on the Big Lake (although I've never had one) - Still beats a day at the office!!
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