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Old 12-10-2007, 05:50 PM   #2
Resident 2B
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Exclamation Beware of the last storm in a series

I agree with what Rose has posted.

There are several mini-events of snow/ice/rain, the first of which we got last night and today, associated with a front that is relatively stationary over us extending back to the southwestern US. The start of the weekend looks like we will have the last in this series of weather systems. The models show activity, but they are showing different impacts for the lakes region, five days out.

The GFS has a poor record in the five to six day range, so that model for now may be wrong with a weak system passing south.

The model with the biggest punch is the fairly accurate Euporean Model. It looks somewhat "overblown" to me, but if it is correct, we get one heck of a storm late this week or early in the weekend.

Other models are somewhere in between as are the ensembles.

With all the activity, it will be an interesting and slippery week, and it could end with a big white bang this weekend. Looks like winter starts in the traditional manner this year, unlike what we have had the past few years.

As usual, time will tell!

R2B

Last edited by Resident 2B; 12-10-2007 at 09:05 PM.
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