Warm Water and Strong Winds
Although warm water certainly is a major factor, I believe the biggest factor is strong winds to go along with the warm water. Once the small areas around the shore and around rocks starts to open, the wind is what rips the ice apart.
Early next week is looking like it will be a bit on the windy side and it looks like it will also be windy from April 6th to April 10th.
It could be an early ice out.
R2B
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