Quote:
Originally Posted by Resident 2B
The only question remaining is wind direction, NE if Taunton is right and SE if Gray is correct.R2B
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All this model talk, I just had to take a peek. I'm seeing cold air damming (CAD...I wasn't calling R2B a cad in the subject line
) and I've never known cold air damming to happen with a SE wind. Just taking a quick look at Gray's discussion, it looks like they're model hugging, i.e. treating the model as if it's correct, so that when it flips from one solution to another, they flip the forecast to follow. This can be very dangerous in terms of blowing a forecast...I would have liked to see more qualifying comments in the discussion.
When I hear a meteorologist talking as if a forecast has verified even before the event has begun, it's like hearing nails on a chalkboard. Since Harvey Leonard moved over to Channel 5 from 7 (Boston for those not in the area), I try my hardest not to watch Channel 7. The final straw for me was listening to Pete Bouchard during a heatwave in 2002 saying there was no way that we'd break 90 degrees that day and that the official heatwave would be over. Not only was the 90 degree mark broken, it was shattered into a million pieces. As a meteorologist, unless you live someplace like San Diego where the biggest decision to make is whether the clouds will come in off the ocean at 10:00 or 10:30, never, never, never speak in absolutes when forecasting.