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-   -   Official 2020 Ice Out Thread (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=25436)

Island Girl 03-19-2020 05:45 AM

Official 2020 Ice Out Thread
 
Here you go folks. Post here about this year’s ice out. I think it will be quite early. You can watch the progress on the lake’s many web cams at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/watch.htm

Post your pics and videos on this thread.

The lake temp is warm enough for the ice to go out and there is water along many shores. It’ coming soon!

IG

Garcia 03-19-2020 05:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Island Girl (Post 328273)
Here you go folks. Post here about this year’s ice out. I think it will be quite early. You can watch the progress on the lake’s many web cams at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/watch.htm

Post your pics and videos on this thread.

The lake temp is warm enough for the ice to go out and there is water along many shores. It’ coming soon!

IG

Now there's some good news to get the day started!

gwhite13 03-19-2020 06:21 AM

I'm already looking at the buffer and polish.

CaptT820 03-20-2020 09:05 AM

Ice Movement
 
I think we will see some serious movement between today and tomorrow. Expected high temperatures this afternoon, along with rain (possible thunderstorms) and a bit of wind. The wind duration will be the key.

WJT2 03-20-2020 12:46 PM

Ice Out
 
Can someone give an update to Ice Conditions on Lily Pond in Gilford?

TiltonBB 03-20-2020 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Top-Water (Post 328468)
I hope you are correct ,,,,,,,,,,,, I think we all need a boat ride right about now, for a variety of reasons.

Yes, but if you bring the family you will need a good sized boat to keep up with "social distancing".

AC2717 03-20-2020 12:55 PM

Just saw a small aluminum out on the bear island cam

hope he was the ice breaker lol

Hillcountry 03-20-2020 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WJT2 (Post 328481)
Can someone give an update to Ice Conditions on Lily Pond in Gilford?

I heard that someone went through the ice at Lily...no other details otherwise.

upthesaukee 03-20-2020 02:28 PM

Fat bike rider
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hillcountry (Post 328488)
I heard that someone went through the ice at Lily...no other details otherwise.

Union Leader reported that a man riding a fast bike went through the ice 250-300 ft from shore. Turns out that would be rte 11B (?). Fact is that he broke through maybe 60 ft from right below the Bypass of ramp. Yesterday it was still overall ice locked.

Dave

Mink Islander 03-20-2020 04:05 PM

Getting closer
 
1 Attachment(s)
Fog eats ice...

ishoot308 03-20-2020 05:33 PM

Lily
 
Lily pond is 50% open water as of 6:00 PM today.

From my vantage point overlooking the broads, ice will be going out very soon and I see no reason why I won’t be quarantined on Welch island next Saturday!!

Dan

P.S. Don can you combine the other ice out thread with this one...

SandwichPM 03-21-2020 06:05 AM

Easter on East Bear???
 
Does this seem like a possibility given the current conditions / forecasts?....

steve-on-mark 03-21-2020 06:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SandwichPM (Post 328534)
Does this seem like a possibility given the current conditions / forecasts?....

We are shooting for Easter on Mark... I think it'll happen!

Bear Islander 03-21-2020 06:48 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Open water between Pine and Bear islands.

codeman671 03-21-2020 06:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by steve-on-mark (Post 328537)
We are shooting for Easter on Mark... I think it'll happen!

Guaranteed at this rate. May be gone by the end of the month. Hopefully your boat is socially distanced in storage.

steve-on-mark 03-21-2020 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by codeman671 (Post 328544)
Guaranteed at this rate. May be gone by the end of the month. Hopefully your boat is socially distanced in storage.

Not to worry... I had a premonition about this whole virus thing and had them wrap it with Lysol wipes...

ishoot308 03-21-2020 07:10 AM

Ice out
 
1 Attachment(s)
Lots of open water in the broads this morning! The wind is really making things move!

Get your boats ready!!

Dan

IslandRadio 03-21-2020 08:09 AM

Yeah, the warmer weather is helping, and the wind is really doing its thing! The ice on Mirror Lake is disappearing before my eyes.

Check out the Webcam: http://www.mirrorlakenh.com/cam.htm

It may be possible to kayak all the way around the lake at this point. Wouldn't want to fall in !! That water is C-O-L-D :D

Hillcountry 03-21-2020 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308 (Post 328546)
Lots of open water in the broads this morning! The wind is really making things move!

Get your boats ready!!

Dan

The "aliens" are getting restless, Dan!

Mink Islander 03-21-2020 02:18 PM

Progress
 
1 Attachment(s)
I’m guessing ice out in less than two weeks....

WinnisquamZ 03-21-2020 03:02 PM

Hopefully. Passing time with a line in the water is a positive


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Pine Island Guy 03-21-2020 04:50 PM

Busted!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AC2717 (Post 328486)
Just saw a small aluminum out on the bear island cam

hope he was the ice breaker lol

I promise I was well more than 6’ from anyone!!

I did make it to Pine and them broke through the ice to get to Bear... still some pretty thick parts... but shouldn’t be too long now... although the forecast for the beginning of next week isn’t looking so positive

It is officially spring!! -PIG

JMR 03-21-2020 05:05 PM

Rattlesnake Landing today
 
1 Attachment(s)
This afternoon at Rattlesnake’Landing

umbrellapoint 03-22-2020 07:43 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Broads - Wolfeboro Neck looking out to Rattlesnake.

After lots of progress and ice movement yesterday, it was in the teens last night and only now cracking 20 degrees, so most open areas have a thin skim back on.

Senter Cove Guy 03-22-2020 08:02 AM

Better?
 
1 Attachment(s)
Looked Good Enough To Rotate

smith point boater 03-22-2020 10:58 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 15701


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smith point boater 03-22-2020 11:01 AM

1 Attachment(s)
From Smith Point 3/22Attachment 15702Attachment 1[ATTACH]1[/ATTACH


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ishoot308 03-22-2020 11:20 AM

Ellacoya
 
3 Attachment(s)
A few pics from Ellacoya this morning...

ishoot308 03-22-2020 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Top-Water (Post 328697)
@smith point boater, and ishoot308, Thanks for the photos .......... :):)

I wonder what the actuall water temp is? With all that ice I would guess 32.01 degrees F :) But I don't know the real answer.

It’s almost always 34 degrees at this point. I have taken water temps through an ice fishing hole in the past and again it was 34 degrees.

Dan

ishoot308 03-22-2020 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Top-Water (Post 328700)
Thank you ......... I always find the water temp fascinating. I do understand it but ,,,,,,,,, otherwise there would be no fish.

Thanks for your experienxce. :)

Honestly, I don’t understand why the water under a frozen lake isn’t 32.1 degrees but it never is...always seems to be 34.

I too am fascinated and follow water temps religiously through the season mainly to target salmon. It’s amazing what just a couple degrees difference can make especially during early spring fishing.

Dan

SAB1 03-22-2020 11:57 AM

Still guys fishing on it up in tuftonboro my buddy said.

ACME on the Broads 03-22-2020 01:25 PM

401K Going The Wrong Way!
 
Agree, now if we can only afford the gas in a few weeks!

welch-time 03-22-2020 07:54 PM

1 Attachment(s)
North side of Welch opening up.

Mink Islander 03-23-2020 12:52 PM

Rain on the way
 
1 Attachment(s)
Rain, rain, come our way, rid the lake of ice today....

Hillcountry 03-23-2020 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mink Islander (Post 328825)
Rain, rain, come our way, rid the lake of ice today....

Snow snow on the way..
Insulate the ice for a longer stay!
:D

JEEPONLY 03-23-2020 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Top-Water (Post 328703)
I love watching the nature shows and once, I had seen it explained so perfectly.

:liplick::liplick: I guess I'm not alone when it comes to some of these questions.

I do know why it floats .......... but its not the easiest thing to explain. A lot of the explanation has to do with understanding what happens at 39 degress f. Note that I typed 39 not 32.

I know a techie that has a T-shirt- "I can explain it to you, but I can't understand it for you!"

Very frustrating- You know how THEY are! :emb:

smith point boater 03-24-2020 06:04 AM

1 Attachment(s)
After the snow
Attachment 15716


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Y2K 03-24-2020 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JEEPONLY (Post 328851)
I know a techie that has a T-shirt- "I can explain it to you, but I can't understand it for you!"

Very frustrating- You know how THEY are! :emb:

I have that shirt, but it starts with "I'm an Engineer....":laugh:

upthesaukee 03-24-2020 09:29 AM

Kinda like..
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Y2K (Post 328966)
I have that shirt, but it starts with "I'm an Engineer....":laugh:

Kinda like "six months ago I couldn't spell enjunear but now I are one. ". 🤔

Dave

Slickcraft 03-24-2020 10:29 AM

Lily Pond: no ice in sight this morning.

Alan


By the way, I are an engineer

WinnisquamZ 03-24-2020 10:51 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 15717


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COW ISL TIME 03-24-2020 02:11 PM

it will be a while on Tuftonboro bay
 
1 Attachment(s)
Looking East towards camp Northwoods

ishoot308 03-24-2020 05:34 PM

3-24-20
 
3 Attachment(s)
Here’s a few pics just taken at 6:30 PM today.... The first one is a panorama of the second two.

Dan

MikeF-NH 03-25-2020 06:42 AM

wow...looks like you could launch out of Ellacoya and make it to the southern shore of Welch with very little ice breaking. Of course HUGE risk of having a sheet of ice crush your boat against the shore line there should a southern wind kick up.

Soon....very soon...

aquabones 03-25-2020 07:11 AM

contest
 
where is the link to the "ice Out" contest?
Thanks!

upthesaukee 03-25-2020 07:55 AM

Here you go
 
Note the contest ended Feb 29th.

https://www.winnipesaukee.com/index.php?pageid=iceout

Dave

smith point boater 03-26-2020 06:50 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Don’t know how thick it is but still plenty of ice out thereAttachment 15728


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Prestige Worldwide 03-26-2020 12:26 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 15732


Long Island looking at gunstock.


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Blue Thunder 03-26-2020 02:57 PM

1 Attachment(s)
The view from the MODIS satellite today

daveschappell 03-26-2020 04:22 PM

Almost all clear on the Broads
 
3 Attachment(s)
These photos are facing Parker Island and Rattlesnake Island (looking south from Wolfeboro Neck)

SAB1 03-26-2020 04:29 PM

Was on the dock today putting my bumpers on and to my surprise a snowmobile flew by then another on 19 mile bay. These two guys rode a rode around a good half hour. Still guys ice fishing too.

ishoot308 03-27-2020 07:14 AM

This Morning!
 
2 Attachment(s)
These pics taken this morning from Lincoln Park!!

Welch Island here I come!!

dt5150 03-27-2020 08:28 AM

woohoo!!! guess i had better get to work on the boat!

upthesaukee 03-27-2020 08:48 AM

Yesterday from Morse Preserve
 
1 Attachment(s)
Yesterday from Morse Preserve looking towards the Ossipees.

Dave

Hillcountry 03-27-2020 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308 (Post 329321)
These pics taken this morning from Lincoln Park!!

Welch Island here I come!!

Plenty of trolling waters right there Dan! Have fun and make up for time missed last season!

ishoot308 03-27-2020 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hillcountry (Post 329362)
Plenty of trolling waters right there Dan! Have fun and make up for time missed last season!

Amen to that Hill!!

Dan

Slickcraft 03-27-2020 10:04 AM

2 Attachment(s)
Glendale and Belknap Point today:

It looks closed from Glendale to FL 26 today but should be open tomorrow.

Quite a bit of ice north of the route out to Welch much of which will get blown south today likely headed for Wolfeboro bay.

Smith cove today is more than half iced in.

Alan

Mink Islander 03-27-2020 01:16 PM

Not long now
 
1 Attachment(s)
The wind is grinding away at the ice.

LakeSnake 03-27-2020 02:18 PM

It’s heading to Wolfbouro
 
1 Attachment(s)
From Alton Mountain- end of Alton Bay out to broads

Mink Islander 03-27-2020 07:25 PM

And by this evening...
 
1 Attachment(s)
Almost gone...

smith point boater 03-28-2020 06:33 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mink Islander (Post 329416)
Almost gone...



Attachment 15751Looks open from Smith Point to Rattlesnake



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betterthanbacon 03-28-2020 04:28 PM

Love seeing all these pictures. With the marinas not staffed by the stay at home order I wonder how many will be getting a later start than usual. Has anyone heard how this may effect those that depend on the Marinas services?

steve-on-mark 03-29-2020 06:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by betterthanbacon (Post 329562)
Love seeing all these pictures. With the marinas not staffed by the stay at home order I wonder how many will be getting a later start than usual. Has anyone heard how this may effect those that depend on the Marinas services?

For those of us who pay for inside storage, it effects us greatly! We typically open the house the weekend after ice out and are there til the first week of November. My wife works from home so once she's there she's all set, while I have to commute to my " essential " job in Dover. I was planning on opening up next weekend, but was told I may not be able to get either boat out of storage til sometime in May. I'm looking into borrowing a friends extra boat to get us through in the meantime. I do understand that the marinas are looking out for their employees, but it's gonna cause me to rethink storage options at the end of the season.

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SandwichPM 03-29-2020 09:41 AM

Gas docks
 
If Marinas are closed is it correct to assume all gas docks on the lake will be closed?

Slickcraft 03-29-2020 09:51 AM

Alton Bay is open up to about 1/2 mile north of Sandy Point. Then mostly ice up to the top of the bay.

Smith Cove looks ice free.

The north side of Welch still looks iced in.

Looks like still floating ice up in the Timber, Round and 40 Islands area.

Hillcountry 03-29-2020 10:14 AM

After today’s rains and above freezing weather, the ice can’t be long for this world!

thinkxingu 03-29-2020 10:24 AM

Not exactly about ice, but it seemed like the lake was low when I was up yesterday but the chart I found shows it's in the upper average range. Are we really above average and did we have enough precipitation to keep it up?

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WINNI BOB 03-29-2020 10:49 AM

Lily pond
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by WJT2 (Post 328481)
Can someone give an update to Ice Conditions on Lily Pond in Gilford?

Lily Pond has been Wide open for a couple of days

8gv 03-29-2020 10:57 AM

If Lilly Pond has been ice free for two days then Winni should be open in about twelve more days assuming a typical two week spread.

My 4/8 guess is looking mighty good!

Slickcraft 03-29-2020 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WINNI BOB (Post 329726)
Lily Pond has been Wide open for a couple of days

It was open 5 days ago, post #48

daveschappell 03-29-2020 12:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thinkxingu (Post 329711)
Not exactly about ice, but it seemed like the lake was low when I was up yesterday but the chart I found shows it's in the upper average range. Are we really above average and did we have enough precipitation to keep it up?

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Lake level is nice and high. This graph is spot on. I check it regularly because when it’s <3.0 the water can get a little low for the boat lift.

https://www.des.nh.gov/organization/.../graph2020.jpg

thinkxingu 03-29-2020 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by daveschappell (Post 329747)
Lake level is nice and high. This graph is spot on. I check it regularly because when it’s <3.0 the water can get a little low for the boat lift.

https://www.des.nh.gov/organization/.../graph2020.jpg

That's what I was looking at yesterday, but it just seemed low at my association's docks. Maybe the ramp area I was at needs to be dredged or the docks' water stains are from excessive levels.

Thanks!

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hkephart 03-29-2020 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slickcraft (Post 329688)
Alton Bay is open up to about 1/2 mile north of Sandy Point. Then mostly ice up to the top of the bay.

Smith Cove looks ice free.

The north side of Welch still looks iced in.

Looks like still floating ice up in the Timber, Round and 40 Islands area.

Still ice in Smith cove.

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Mink Islander 03-29-2020 02:24 PM

Today’s report from Mink Island
 
1 Attachment(s)
Just slush moving around now.

Slickcraft 03-29-2020 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hkephart (Post 329762)
Still ice in Smith cove.

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Thanks for your 1st post, we drove down by the GYC but did not get out to be able to see the whole cove.

hkephart 03-30-2020 07:53 AM

No ice this morning in Smith cove!
Quote:

Originally Posted by Slickcraft (Post 329776)
Thanks for your 1st post, we drove down by the GYC but did not get out to be able to see the whole cove.

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COW ISL TIME 03-31-2020 05:37 PM

Getting closer
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hopefully it will be gone by the weekend

Mink Islander 04-01-2020 06:26 AM

All clear north of Mink Island!
 
1 Attachment(s)
Beautiful Spring morning

MikeF-NH 04-01-2020 09:04 AM

Does anyone have any visibility to the ice conditions between Shep Browns and Bear island? Can you launch and get out of that area?

I'm looking to travel to Long Island bridge from that area OR to head south past Cattle Landing and down toward the Witches and beyond....anyone know what the ice conditions are on those routes????

Bear Guy 04-01-2020 09:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 330149)
Does anyone have any visibility to the ice conditions between Shep Browns and Bear island? Can you launch and get out of that area?

Oh, so close. The Shep Brown's "24/7-365" live feed is showing as offline:
https://www.shepbrowns.com/live-lake-cam

There are cameras at the tip of Bear, showing passage between Bear and Pine:
http://www.bearchow.com/

steve-on-mark 04-01-2020 09:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 330149)
Does anyone have any visibility to the ice conditions between Shep Browns and Bear island? Can you launch and get out of that area?

I'm looking to travel to Long Island bridge from that area OR to head south past Cattle Landing and down toward the Witches and beyond....anyone know what the ice conditions are on those routes????

looking at the Varney Point cam, I don't see any ice from there to Timber.

Barney Bear 04-01-2020 10:02 AM

From the Crow's Nest Lookout
 
Looks like ice is still ready to welcome anyone headed above Five Mile Island and over to Long Island. Looks like open water below Bear Island. 🐻

fatlazyless 04-01-2020 10:31 AM

Tuesday, March 31: 3-pm
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 330149)
Does anyone have any visibility to the ice conditions between Shep Browns and Bear island? Can you launch and get out of that area?

I'm looking to travel to Long Island bridge from that area OR to head south past Cattle Landing and down toward the Witches and beyond....anyone know what the ice conditions are on those routes????

I drove up to the Lovejoy Sand's-Shep's town and private docks yesterday at about 3-pm and took a good look around.

Going south from Shep's to Bear Island looked very blocked by a lot of ice.

Going north from Shep's to the post office dock looked probably doable by going out north just a little past Pine Island and then coming back to the Bear Island dock .... in case you want to pick up your mail.

From the Cattle Landing town dock, it was totally ice free going south to Dolly, Mark, Timber, and Governor's.

From the Cattle Landing town dock, going north, it was all solid ice from the main land across to Rock Island area, and not doable.

Bear Islander 04-01-2020 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 330149)
Does anyone have any visibility to the ice conditions between Shep Browns and Bear island? Can you launch and get out of that area?

I'm looking to travel to Long Island bridge from that area OR to head south past Cattle Landing and down toward the Witches and beyond....anyone know what the ice conditions are on those routes????

My cameras on north Bear show open water. However the Pine Island CAM shows ice over near Moultonborough Neck.

http://www.charlesyoung.com/pineislandeast.jpg

There is a live Cam on Bear facing Shep's that shows ice but I am told you can get around it by staying to the north near shore. That Cam has time lapse.

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboa...slanders2002/1

Mink Islander 04-01-2020 01:18 PM

Lake Cams
 
Rattlesnakecam.com is a great resource for seeing different areas of the lake. It includes the Islanders2002 webcam on Bear that looks south towards Shep Browns that Bear Islander references.

MikeF-NH 04-01-2020 02:14 PM

thanks everyone...I use the RattleSnake webcams several times per day but the ones in the areas I am asking about don't have time stamps on them and frequently when cams go out they keep the last picture posted. The poor ice out progress in Sheps had me thinking it was stuck at last week.

Strange ice out for me. Usually when I see Rattlesnake cams showing open water, the cams in Sheps and off Pine are either already open or open within a day or two. The Shep cam shows what looks like another weeks worth of ice.

Lol...like everyone, I get pretty antsy to get out on the water as i get closer to first launch day of the season (which for me is Saturday).

Be careful and be safe out there...this is the time of year that dangerous debris is floating (sometimes just under the waterline) and hoping to sink an vessel that doesn't see it.

panjumbie 04-01-2020 03:02 PM

Look at them at night. If you see a daylight picture, then it is frozen.

AFlast 04-02-2020 05:51 AM

Clear by Melvin Village
 
We live near Geneva Point. All visible ice between Geneva Point and Melvin Village is gone. Saw our first boater this past Saturday and a couple of more out yesterday. The loons are back nd we’ve seen the eagles as well

Prestige Worldwide 04-02-2020 08:55 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 15784

Yesterday, Long Island looking at Gunstock.


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Grant 04-02-2020 10:15 AM

Ice-Out Guesses
 
Where are this year's ice-out guesses posted?

Can't find them to save my life.

Hillcountry 04-02-2020 10:43 AM

An ice out declaration must be imminent with these fierce winds!

granitebox 04-02-2020 10:50 AM

2020 Guesses
 
https://www.winnipesaukee.com/contests/2020/

upthesaukee 04-02-2020 11:25 AM

Winni.com home page
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Grant (Post 330367)
Where are this year's ice-out guesses posted?

Can't find them to save my life.

Go to this site's home page. There's a link, I think, on the left side.

Dave

WINNI BOB 04-02-2020 03:25 PM

Ice out ?
 
I can't find any ice on the lake . except the southern end of Paugus Bay

Winni Bob

WINNI BOB 04-02-2020 03:40 PM

Hi;

Is there any ice in Alton Bay ????

My guess for ICE OUT WAS 4/2/2020 @ 9:30 am. I'm In the running....I can only find 4 other guesses for this date.

I guess it's all up to the guy who has to do the "FLY-OVER", and I can't see anyone that would want to fly a plane in this weather ???

Winni Bob

Lil' Barndoor Guy 04-02-2020 03:43 PM

There's a big slab in front of Springfield Point, Worcester Island, Melody Island and Clark Point in Wolfeboro.

Bear Islander 04-02-2020 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WINNI BOB (Post 330417)
I can't find any ice on the lake . except the southern end of Paugus Bay

Winni Bob

Ice west of Bear Island on the Mounts route.

jeffk 04-03-2020 10:31 AM

Center Harbor is ice free. The wind cleared it out overnight.

Fishinfergy 04-03-2020 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WINNI BOB (Post 330417)
I can't find any ice on the lake . except the southern end of Paugus Bay

Winni Bob

Looks to be pretty much gone now.

winterh 04-03-2020 01:04 PM

I think I had tomorrow at noon. If all you folks would be kind enough to turn off your dock bubblers maybe the ice can last till then.


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