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-   -   Winni Weather - winter 2007 (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4188)

trfour 02-16-2007 12:46 AM

Weather Nuts and then some...
 
1 Attachment(s)
Not only is he still around, first of all, I expected to get his answering machine and finding out that he was wintering in Florida! Not Don, he was up to his eyeballs in, like you said, doing what he loves and that is this crazy good O’L <ST1:pNew England</ST1:p weather.<O:p</O:p
The phone only rang once before he answered, and of course I recognized his voice instantly. I was pleasantly surprised during our conversation of his wonderful sense of humor that of course he mostly left out of his broadcasts. I guess we are all more serious when working. Goes without saying, he’s very well educated, chipper, friendly, down to earth and very interesting to talk to. I was thrilled, and he now knows that my family and I love him.<O:p</O:p
<O:p</O:p
Barry Burbank is good friends with my younger brother and sister in-law, in fact went to their wedding. Small world!<O:p</O:p
<O:p</O:p
Don did tell me that he doesn’t do E-mail or many phone calls, understandably because he’d be spending all of his free time answering them.<O:p</O:p
<O:p</O:p
So for now, lets keep our fingers crossed that he will check out this thread, and like you said CLA, he knows he fostered all of us weather nuts, and I’m sure he will be proud of you. :)

PS, On a snowy day, if you look just right you will see the smile of the great spirit high in the Ossipee's!<O:p</O:p

Rose 02-16-2007 08:27 AM

Don't know
 
I'm not sure if I was the first or not, but thanks for your kind words. They're much appreciated.

I think it's awesome that you called Don Kent!!! He always seemed so gracious on air...nice to know he's the same in real life.

SIKSUKR 02-16-2007 09:35 AM

Don Kent was is my all time favorite Weatherman,hands down.I loved watching him draw the lows and highs and wind direction on the weather board.He was paired with Jack Chase on WBZ for what seemed like 25 years.He just made you feel real good listening to him.Glad to hear he's doing well.Does he still have that same accent?

trfour 02-16-2007 01:11 PM

Hi SS,<O:p</O:p
About Don’s accent, no mistaking who your talking to, that one of a kind voice, as is he. He was teamed with, and very apropos I might add, some of the most talented and entertaining people in the world! I’m adding a link for all of those history buffs out there.<O:p</O:p
<O:p></O:p>
http://www.wbz1030.com/pages/3721.php <O:p></O:p>
<O:p</O:p
And my dear Rose, you are so eloquently modest, and a gem!<O:p</O:p
<O:p></O:p>
CLA; It is a God send in having a specifically customized weather station for us here in the Lakes Region, brilliant! <O:p</O:p

CanisLupusArctos 02-16-2007 09:57 PM

Good to see the Great Spirit smiling
 
The lake looks so much better with all that bright white snow on it. All-natural remedy for SAD if you ask me.

For those who were asking earlier (Such as Gatto Nero), the time-lapse Java animation of the Valentine's Day Blizzard of 2007 is now online. It starts with the red sunrise on the 13th, skies cloud up during the day, then follows the storm through the 14th and ends after showing sunrise and lots of blowing snow on the morning of the 15th.

I should warn you, there are 460 images that are programmed to pre-load before the animation starts. Otherwise, Enjoy!

www.blackcatnh.com/blizzard2007

For future reference, major weather events and any other phenomena I deem worthy of a saved animation will be posted on www.blackcatnh.com/archive.html.

CLA

JTA 02-16-2007 11:53 PM

Fabulous! I'm really enjoying your webcam work!!

CanisLupusArctos 02-17-2007 10:21 AM

Thank you
 
Thank you, JTA, trfour, and others for all the encouragement on the weather & webcam stuff. I'm so glad you enjoy it.

Last night I made some cosmetic changes to the weather page and the webcam page. There are probably a few more changes to come, depending on what kind of inspiration I get.

Now for all who can't be here to witness winter on Winni, here's a video I recorded yesterday, for your meditation and relaxation. It's not exciting, nor is it meant to be. It's 9 minutes long and is good for unwinding - listen to the wind howl, the birds chirping, see the snow blowing and drifting, and concentrate on breathing deep & slow! You might even cue up some piano solos in your CD player while you watch - I didn't dub it in for reasons of copyright. Enjoy!

http://www.thesilentforest.com/Winni...eWinterDay.wmv

Silver Duck 02-17-2007 10:57 AM

Fabulous! Thanks a million for that!

Silver Duck

Hermit Cover 02-17-2007 12:00 PM

Thanks..
 
Is the Winnie Web the greatest...or what? If I could carry a tune I'd sing more praises for all that goes on on this site. Thanks for the short film....I just sent my son the link so he can appreciate what this winter at Winni is all about....Oh, by the way, he and his family live in Phoenix and he gets to drive two plus hours to Flagstaff to maybe see some snow in the "Winter"....He summered of the big lake in his youth but has yet to experience a winter on Winni. If there is an award for really great websites....this www should win hands down!!!! Thank you, thank you!!

Weirs guy 02-17-2007 04:02 PM

We just came in from a few hours on the lake in beautiful conditions! 32 degrees, light wind, sunny. What a great day out there, and not a lot of people around either.

I did try to get the Sophie C Gauge out to check the ice thickness, but the auger seems to have scared her away.:rolleye2: I bet she leaves my toes alone tonight though...

Grant 02-17-2007 06:15 PM

CLA --

Thanks for the video. I was supposed to be up there this weekend, but events and schedules conspired against me, so this was a nice scratch for my itch. And the time lapse from last evening's sunset was spectacular. Thanks again.

CanisLupusArctos 02-17-2007 11:55 PM

Glad you all enjoy the images!
 
... and I did notice last night's sunset series on the WeatherCam. I saved the best one for the gallery and let the rest get auto-deleted the next day.

Here's a tip for "Winni-WeatherLand:" Use Gatto Nero's Black Cat Island Cam and the Bear Island Cam to watch for storms approaching, and then use mine to watch them leave.

The Black Cat Island Cam faces SW and will show the approach of any winter weather system coming up the coast (the same systems will overtake my cam from the right).

In summertime the most freakishly violent thunderstorms usually come from the SW, in GN's cam view. All "normal" squalls come from the NW, in the Bear Island Cam's view (which is right nearby). Once the weather is upon us, you can watch it in any of the cams, and when it starts to move out my cam will show it leaving and let you know when the coast is clear again.

Of note today: The temperature on Black Cat hit 33 degrees, thus ending 34 consecutive days below freezing.

Now wasn't today's weather spectacular or what?? Who went skiing today? How are the conditions now? Anyone playing hookie this week to ski some more? :D Looks like the extreme cold pattern may be trying to change for the end of the week and become more normal for late February. Should make for some great ski days.

SIKSUKR 02-19-2007 01:04 PM

Thanks CLA for your hard work on the weather station cam.I was at Cannon skiing and the snow was good.The crowds were awfull though.Went thurs after the big snow and had a ball.Sat.was a nice mostly sunny day at Cannon but sunday brought kind of a freakish snowfall.We were forcast to get a little snow Sunday afternoon\night but it snowed like crazy Late Sunday morning/midday and we ended up with 6-7 inches!Nice surprize.Huge crowds again though.I would never take time off to ski this week (Mass school vaca)unless you like lots of company.At least the Mt is making some money.

CanisLupusArctos 02-19-2007 02:41 PM

Crowds... crowds...
 
That's right, thank you for reminding me it is Mass. School vacation week - not a good time to be on the slopes! Maybe I will stay home this week! That's OK, looks like each day this week will bring a few more inches of snow to the slopes and by later this week the arctic-cold pattern will be changing to something more comfy for skiing.

I did see someone XC-skiing on the lake ice today, as winds gusted over 50 and temps were around 10. My station's readings of wind can usually be multiplied x2 for an "out on the lake" estimate, at least when winds blow from the NW like they are today. They have to come across a good portion of the island before they reach my instruments, meanwhile I look out beyond the protected shoreline zone (extends out about 100 feet) and see clouds of snow tearing along at about the same speeds as sport fishing boats on a calm summer dawn.

moose tracks 02-20-2007 03:59 PM

Great Idea!
I check the Weirs Beach Weather web site almost every day. I like to track the weather conditions in the lakes region. Now I can check your thread also! Thanks,

CanisLupusArctos 02-26-2007 01:19 PM

Quiet, normal week until Friday
 
After five weeks of temps far below normal preceded by five weeks of temps far above normal, the Lakes Region is finally having normal wintertime temperatures.

The island reached a stunningly warm 38 degrees yesterday with almost 100% of possible sunshine... clouds from today's national-headline storm began to move in late in the day.

No snow has fallen here, though snow advisories remain in effect for Cape Cod. With such strong sunshine (the spring equinox is just over 3 weeks away) the snowpack from the Valentine's Day storm is taking quite a hit each day. The snow atop the lake ice has become wind-packed by recent winds over 40 mph, and is now almost ice itself. As a result it will last longer than the fluffy stuff on shore.

Will one snowstorm be it for the 2007 season? Not if Friday predictions hold true. The models are showing a storm coming out of the Rockies and moving to the Great Lakes, a track that would normally spell rain for New England and early death for the great ski conditions we had to wait so long for this year... but the storm is expected to transfer its energy to a new center off the coast. The counterclockwise flow around the new storm would suck down some more cold air and overtake the southerly component of the counterclockwise flow around its parent system to our west. This would result in snow for most of the area, though there will be warm air available just to the south, so mixed precip is possible too. Stay tuned.

Lake Winnipesaukee at 1 p.m. EST - Broken clouds, 31 F.

Godthaab, Greenland at 6 a.m. EST - Moderate rain, 37 F.

**Early reminder to set clocks AHEAD on Sunday, March 11. The new Federal energy bill goes into effect this year with early Daylight Saving Time... lasting into early November instead of late October. The energy bill was passed in 2005 and aims to reduce power consumption during the evening hours, when most power is typically used. Late sunsets tend to keep more people outside, allowing many household power-consuming appliances to take a break. On the flip-side, it will become harder to get up for work if you're someone who needs sunlight to get going in the morning. This has the potential to have health effects as well, since 7 pm sunsets in March may lure many outside for regular exercise they might not otherwise pursue until later in the spring. I wonder how our ski areas may react to the new daylight schedule. Will they open later in the morning since ski patrols need a chance to check the trails for hazards (in daylight) first? Will they stay open until an hour or so before sunset (which would be 6 pm) like they usually do?

Gatto Nero 02-26-2007 01:34 PM

Welcome back CLA, I've missed your reports over the past week. You certainly are correct about the recent winds. I have no way to measure the wind speed but it was nuts on my side of the island this weekend. I don't think the wind ever stopped from Thursday night through Saturday night. I now have a 6' snow drift in front of my place on the south side of a peninsula. The wind carries the snow over the peninsula and drops it just on the other side. I made the mistake of leaving the sled on the ice overnight on Friday. By Saturday morning it wouldn't start so I opened the hood and found the entire engine compartment hard packed with snow. It even got through the air filter and into the air box.

CanisLupusArctos 02-26-2007 08:12 PM

Crazy winds and drifting snow
 
Ah yes, the winds on your side of the island would be great to measure! I measured a peak of 33 mph from the NW. The previous day was 31 mph, also NW. Winds from that direction have to come over a quarter-mile of island space (trees, etc.) before reaching my sensors, so I would guess that adding 10 mph would be accurate.

My readings were in the ballbark of Laconia's, but the airfield offers a lot more friction to wind than our water/ice does (hence the reason hurricanes lose windspeed when over land.) The most accurate way to measure might've been to use a radar gun on the blowing snow out on the lake. It looked like it was doing 40-50.

To see daily records that are automatically updated by the weather station, go to http://www.blackcatnh.com/weather/noaamo.txt

That's interesting how the wind packed snow into your sled's openings. I haven't seen that kind of drifting behavior in too many other places other than Mount Washington where I've volunteered a few times in winter. The slightest little draft in a window or a door up there allows snow to come through and form a drift on the inside. It also beats the summit's snowpack into a hard, dense, "wind-pack" that looks rippled and swirly like whipped cream when you take the cover off for the first time. We're seeing that on the lake this year.

Mmmmmm, whipped cream... donuts... D'oH!

Rose 02-26-2007 08:47 PM

Another annoying storm from a forecasting viewpoint
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by CanisLupusArctos
Will one snowstorm be it for the 2007 season? Not if Friday predictions hold true. The models are showing a storm coming out of the Rockies and moving to the Great Lakes, a track that would normally spell rain for New England and early death for the great ski conditions we had to wait so long for this year... but the storm is expected to transfer its energy to a new center off the coast. The counterclockwise flow around the new storm would suck down some more cold air and overtake the southerly component of the counterclockwise flow around its parent system to our west. This would result in snow for most of the area, though there will be warm air available just to the south, so mixed precip is possible too. Stay tuned.

Oh for the days when we got snowstorms that were all snow. I just took a peek at the 12 UTC (0700 EST) run of the medium/long-range Canadian model. The redevelopment occurs inland (central PA) and the warm air makes it north of the US/Canadian border...mostly rain after a start of wet, sloppy snow. The US medium/long-range model shows the low developing on the Jersey coast, running over southeastern Mass to the coast of Maine. This would bring conditions similar to the Valentine's Day storm.

Stay tuned. I should be bald by the end of the winter. :eek: I'm glad I don't forecast for a living.

Resident 2B 02-26-2007 09:44 PM

Looks like a wet one to me.........
 
After looking at the models, I agree completely with Rose.

We look to be on the warm side of the first significant low. There are hints at a second low either redeveloping off the coast or following behind the first low that could pass near the benchmark. If so, that will pull in some cold air and be more white than wet either at the end of the first storm or later in the weekend. Still need to see some more model runs to verify this. :confused:

As with all forecasts, time will tell. This is (or these are) still several days away.

R2B

CanisLupusArctos 02-26-2007 11:03 PM

Model links?
 
Just curious, where are you looking at the non-US models? I'd like to include a link in my model links page (and have a look at them.)

Here's tonight's discussion out of Gray:

WED NIGHT AND THU WILL FEATURE WEAK
RIDGING...AND GENERALLY DRY WX...WITH SEASONABLE TEMPS. NEXT
SYSTEM ARRIVES THU NIGHT...AS 500 MB CLOSE LOW CROSSES THE GREAT
LAKES...ANS STRONG MID-LVL WAA DEVELOPS...WHICH SHOULD AT LEAST
GIVE ME/NH A SHOT OF SNOW THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. MANY QUESTIONS REGARDING DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK OF COASTAL LOW STILL REMAIN...FOR FRI/FRI NIGHT...SO HAVE KEPT THINGS SIMPLE WITH A MIX NEAR THE COAST....AND ALL SN ELSEWHERE. ONCE SYSTEM PASSES...LOOKS LIKE
BELOW NORMAL TEMPS THRU THE WEEKEND.

Resident 2B 02-27-2007 12:04 AM

Non-US Models
 
CLA,

I see them on the Accuweather Professional site. There is a subscription fee involved, so I do not think you can link to them.

R2B

Rose 02-27-2007 07:50 AM

A couple of sites
 
I like Penn States e-wall (oh, for the days of ripping weather maps and hanging them on the wall):

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ewall.html

If there are issues with the e-wall site, then I go directly to the Canadians:

http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/charts/index_e.html

Resident 2B 02-27-2007 11:41 AM

Thanks!
 
Rose,

Two great weather sites!

Best Regards,

R2B

CanisLupusArctos 02-27-2007 03:51 PM

Model links
 
Rose and R2B, thanks for the great links to the model sites. I'll check those out. Now if I could find a model of the 2-footed variety... :D

In the meantime, I just feasted my eyes on this:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
338 PM EST TUE FEB 27 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...
A POWERFUL STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OUT OF THE GREAT PLAINS
THURSDAY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES THU NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL THEN
BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY
MORNING...AND MOVE NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS
COMBINATION OF STORMS COULD BRING A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO THE
REGION THU NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THE PRECIPITATION WILL START AS SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT ENOUGH WARM AIR WILL WORK IN ALONG OR NEAR THE COAST
TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO SLEET OR RAIN DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY.
STILL...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF SIX INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE
BEFORE ANY CHANGEOVER OCCURS. FURTHER INLAND...WHERE THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN AS SNOW...HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END FRIDAY NIGHT.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO
TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRAY FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.
$$

Where's SteveA? Might be good to give his Persian cat an early heads-up! Run, Yuki, run! Go behind the couch, Yuki!

Resident 2B 02-28-2007 02:00 PM

Looking like the Lakes Region is on the line...
 
With the storm coming on Thursday night and Friday, there will be a significant snowfall in the ski areas north of the lake. We are on the line of where mixing will occur and that line is too difficult to pin point right now. There is over an ince of liquid with this storm and with a mix ration of 12:1 an ince of liquid equals a foot of snow.

I am sure the mountains will have the 12:1 or maybe 15:1 ratio, but I think it might avarage closer to 10:1 or a bit less around the lakes. There just is not enough real cold air around to push the ratio up.

It will start as snow, and it will snow fairly hard Thursday night. Any mixing will be in the Friday morning time frame with colder temps changing any mix back to snow and increasing the snow to liquid ratio at the end of the storm.

Bottom line is winter is still here and it looks like our friend the groundhog was wrong this year.

This is the last day for the Ice Out Contest. Think hard before submitting your guess. Many variables to consider.

What a great time of the year! Enjoy!

R2B

CanisLupusArctos 02-28-2007 03:24 PM

Winter Storm Watch
 
Winter Storm Watch just issued by National Weather Service-Gray ME for Thursday night through Friday night. From public and NWS forecasts/discussions it appears the all-snow/some-mix line will run through the lakes region. I'm about to take a look at the models.

One thing is for sure at this point- with March upon us, snow isn't sticking around very long on the ground. The sun sure is strong. I don't even need house heat during the day - thermostats off, fire is dead, room is still warm with sun shining in.

More to come....

CLA

CanisLupusArctos 02-28-2007 06:40 PM

Get the flashlight batteries ready
 
A foot of heavy wet snow is possible Thursday night and most of the day on Friday.

Discussion: The storm heading for us is currently sucking vast amounts of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, causing a severe weather outbreak in the southern plains. It will move to the Great Lakes tomorrow and will touch off a new storm near the mid-Atlantic coast tomorrow PM.

Model consensus develops the storm around Cape May NJ and takes it between Falmouth and Chatham MA Friday afternoon, then into the Gulf of Maine and on to Nova Scotia by Friday night and Saturday morning. There isn't as much cold air over NH as there was with the Valentines Blizzard but the dominant southerly wind direction we've had at the lake for the last 2 days shifted into the NW around noontime and has been steady 5-15 mph ever since. As a result we were a couple degrees cooler than yesterday's high of 40 F. There is just enough cold air at the surface and available to the northwest of here to support snow for the first several hours of the event before the upper level low to our west brings in warm air aloft... resulting in sleet and freezing rain during the very late morning/early afternoon hours of Friday. As the coastal storm gains strength and moves to the northeast of us on Friday afternoon, cold air will return and change the precip back to snow for 3-4 hours before it ends as snow showers through the night.

As is always the case in New England, the track of the storm is critical and a shift of 50 miles farther inland or out to sea will have a dramatic effect on this forecast in the lakes region.

Looks like around a foot... perhaps as much as 15 inches of snow in the northwestern part of the lakes region and foothills of the White Mountains. Amounts will depend on how much mixing takes place. In any case, the snow will not be the light and fluffy kind we saw on Feb. 14... but the sticky kind known for breaking tree limbs and bringing down power lines. DPW crews can also expect trouble with this kind of snow as it often causes equipment breakdowns. Any mix of sleet or freezing rain will make the snow even more likely to be damaging. With more water content also comes more slippery roads. Anyone traveling to the lakes region on Friday should consider making the trip Thursday instead, or waiting until late Friday night when plow crews have had a chance to clean up. Some secondary roads may remain messy into Saturday morning if crews experience equipment breakdowns or where downed tree limbs or power lines prevent plowing.

Tonight: Clear. Low around 15. Wind NW at 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow: Clear with high clouds moving in from the SW late in the day. High 30-35. Calm wind in the morning becoming east at 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tomorrow night: Cloudy with light snow possible west of Plymouth after 10 pm... after midnight to the east. Snow becoming heavy at times with 4-6 inches by morning. Low near 25.

Friday: Snow, heavy at times. Mixing with sleet and freezing rain after 10 am near Alton and after noontime near Plymouth. Changing back to all snow after 4 pm in Plymouth and after 6 pm in Alton. Additional accumulation 5 to 7 inches. Wind shifting to SE after noontime and into the NE by late afternoon.

Friday Night: Light snow tapering off to snow showers after 8 pm. Wind becoming NW at 10-15 mph. Total snow accumulation 11 to 16 inches with the higher amounts near Plymouth and lower amounts near Alton.

CLA

SteveA 03-01-2007 08:41 AM

Yuki is keeping an eye on the forecasts
 
2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by CanisLupusArctos
Where's SteveA? Might be good to give his Persian cat an early heads-up! Run, Yuki, run! Go behind the couch, Yuki!

CL

Fear not.. Yuki pays close attention.. and has all his hiding spots picked out.:laugh:

Attachment 1230 Attachment 1231

Resident 2B 03-01-2007 01:34 PM

The Storm of the Winter!
 
Just checked the latest models and conditions and things look a bit colder than they did yesterday, so mixing in the lakes region is now only a slight possibility. The storm is also a bit wetter than I thought yesterday, so with it a bit colder and a bit wetter, the snow will be deeper.

I expect 18" in Laconia, with a bit more in the mountains by Saturday morning. This is based upon a liquid estimate of 1.3" with a mix ratio of 15:1 for Laconia. The mountains could see more than 2' with lifting and a higher ratio enhancing the snowfall. Steve A, this will be too much for Yuki!

This looks like the biggest storm in the last two years for the area, based upon with I am seeing right now.

This is likely to keep the rather think ice in place longer into the spring. The snow reflects a lot of the sun's heat, and as CLA points out, the sun is getting much stronger. Considering everything, I expect a late April ice out.

Time will tell!

R2B

CanisLupusArctos 03-01-2007 01:48 PM

The second Y2- Y3 storm of the season?
 
1 Attachment(s)
R2B is in the ballpark with what the public forecasts are now saying. I haven't had time for more than a quick look at the models this morning but I did see that they were trending colder with more snow/less mix. That definitely would be too much for Yuki but that's why we have the Yuki scale!

What's INCREDIBLE is how much water and wind this storm is dropping all over the country. It's already one of the top stories on MSNBC News. Also I haven't seen the SPC (storm prediction center - www.spc.noaa.gov) issue such a large "HIGH RISK" area in a LOnnnnnng time - but they're doing it now across the south. For those who don't know, a "slight risk" generates the spotty severe weather we usually get here in New Hampshire. A "moderate risk" generates a round of tornadoes that makes the national nightly news headlines. A "High risk" scenario is something that meteorology grad students write their thesis on, several years from now.

If you know anyone living down in the high-risk area, it's a good time to give them a call.

Here, have a look....

The large blue box is a severe thunderstorm watch, and the red boxes are tornado watches. Red and blue dots are reports already received of tornadoes (red) and severe thunderstorms (blue). The other warnings are listed on the map, by county.

Rose 03-01-2007 10:23 PM

More conservative
 
My gut is telling me there's going to be too much warm air with this storm to garner huge snowfall totals. Not that this will be a minor storm, but I think 8-12" will cover most of the Lakes Region.

If I'm wrong, I'll blame that feeling in my gut on the enchiladas and margarita grande that I had for lunch at the Border Cafe. :D

Blue Thunder 03-02-2007 05:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rose
My gut is telling me there's going to be too much warm air with this storm to garner huge snowfall totals. Not that this will be a minor storm, but I think 8-12" will cover most of the Lakes Region.

If I'm wrong, I'll blame that feeling in my gut on the enchiladas and margarita grande that I had for lunch at the Border Cafe. :D

That darned warm air advection was too extreme....

moose tracks 03-02-2007 08:38 AM

Got Snow?
 
Looking at the web cams, looks about 6" of snow on the ground. Any actual snow fall reports this morning?

CanisLupusArctos 03-02-2007 01:12 PM

Hard to tell...
 
It's hard to tell how much snow has actually fallen. On Black Cat it's been snowing heavily since about 2:30 this morning but there's barely any on the porch or in the yard.

This is due to the wind that has been increasing out of the east all morning, and is now averaging 22 from the ESE, gusting to 31. Some parts of the yard are blown clear, down to bare earth, while a 2-foot snowdrift lies adjacent. Needless to say the snow is getting abnormally deep wherever it can get out of the wind.

The melted precip for this morning is a scant 0.13 inches. I need to check that for validity because I've been having problems with my rain gauge heater and may need to install a better one. An inspection of the guage will tell me if it's a problem with the heater or if the wind is preventing the snow from resting in the gauge.

It's a much more powerful storm than what hit on Feb. 14 at this location. There is a much steadier wind. That storm produced a very gusty wind with many lulls and one peak at 39 mph... but this one has been a steady wind that's already hit 30+ several times... peaking at 33.

Color-coded radar and surface observations both confirm rain south of Concord. In the last hour heavy sleet has been hitting the east windows here, but at 1 pm there is still plenty of snow coming down. It is blowing and drifting heavily and creating a havoc on the roads.

At last check Belmont was the only town in the Lakes Region above freezing... and the NHDOT stations along I-93 are showing temps actually warmer in Woodstock than in Ashland.

The reason the snow held on as long as it did in the Lakes Region was most likely evaporative cooling... for several hours last night there was snow aloft and the weak moonlight showed it, but there was none in the floodlights down at this level. A Medical helicopter flew over at an extremely low altitude (about 500 feet AGL, 1000 feet alt.) around midnight, serving as an indicator of the level the snow was reaching since they usually fly only when or where they can see. For several hours the snow was evaporating into the air, cooling it the same way your skin feels chilly when water is evaporating off of it. When the air finally became saturated with humidity around 2:30 am, it stopped accepting any more evaporation and the snow was able to reach the ground... but the temperature had fallen well into the 20s.

Still a few more hours left on this storm.

Here's a weather demo you can do in a storm like this: Find a bottle with a screw-cap that becomes air-tight. (Empty Coke bottle should work fine.) Wait for the barometer to bottom out, (or sometime this afternoon) and close it up. Wait for the barometer to rise back up again (tomorrow, or better yet Tuesday when we'll see some arctic high pressure come back in here) and it should hiss when you open it.

CLA

SteveA 03-03-2007 08:44 AM

Storm Total Gilford
 
2 Attachment(s)
We ended up with about 16" of new snow. Lot of drifting. Total on the ground now is just about 24"'.

Attachment 1234

The garden is now patiently waiting for the March Sun to go to work on Mother Natures latest masterpiece.

Attachment 1235

moose tracks 03-03-2007 02:32 PM

Nice!
 
Great shots of the new snow! Thanks.

Resident 2B 03-05-2007 11:13 AM

Cold, Cold, Cold
 
Wow! It is going to get COLD! VERY COLD for this time of the year.

This week will feel more like mid-winter than most, if not all, weeks in January. Low temps should get down below zero two or three nights in a row starting Tuesday night, with wind chills tonight in the -20 or lower range. Big winds starting late this afternoon and continuing for a few days that could impact safety out at the bob houses. :eek:

Warm-up for Friday, which will be very welcomed. Not sure how long it will last. No big storms in sight.

Even though we are now well into March, with the strong sun that comes with March, I believe the ice will build this week, not melt. This could be setting us up for a very late Ice-Out. :(

Stay Warm!!

R2B

fatlazyless 03-06-2007 09:50 AM

Ten below with blustery gusts, here in Waterville Valley, and the Varney Point Cam says four below. Pretty cold for 9:45am. Got to be cold on that chairlift, today.

No matter what the weather, there's always the Weather Channel!

mg2107 03-06-2007 11:00 AM

Guess March is pay back month.


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