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-   -   2018 Ice Out Progress (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23069)

Hillcountry 04-02-2018 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308 (Post 292917)
Going by Lily Pond tonight I couldn’t believe how much melting had occurred! Half of Lily Pond is now open water and should be ice free in a day or two!

Wont be long!

Dan

April 15th was my guess...hope it’s sooner though...

Descant 04-02-2018 09:01 PM

What about CrystlLake in Gilmanon? That is supposed to be a 10 day warning.
We really need a list of lakes and ice out dates for the last 50(?) years. Of course, if it gets too scientific, it loses the magic. No surprise that the Old Farmer's Almanac can predict weather but not ice out.
My grandfather used to race horses on Lake Champlain ice. Do they go through this agony every spring too?

ishoot308 04-04-2018 06:56 AM

Lily Update
 
Went by Lily Pond this morning and about 1/3rd of the pond still has ice on the north side. Should be all gone by Friday...

Dan

MikeF-NH 04-04-2018 08:36 AM

the rain has ice in many cams looking very dark gray. I am certain many areas still have over a foot of ice but the color is similar to what it looks like when we begin to see cracks or openings in the ice. Shoreline ice also appears to be receding very nicely at Weirs and West Alton.

Has anyone been by Alton Bay recently? Is the ice receded to past the gazebo yet? How far is it out at that location?

Eyeboat 04-04-2018 08:46 AM

Cattle Landing
 
1 Attachment(s)
I believe my guess was the 16th. Gonna be close.

Chaos 04-04-2018 04:02 PM

Alton Bay
 
1 Attachment(s)
is clear from the bandstand to the bridge. I drove by this AM.

Hillcountry 04-04-2018 04:12 PM

Some brisk winds predicted which will help break up things!

Top-Water 04-04-2018 06:24 PM

:liplick: Thanks everyone for the reports and photos.

Looks like it won't be that much longer.

As mentioned previously, the wind might put a big dent in it tonight.

8gv 04-04-2018 07:46 PM

I have been searching for the link to all the ice out guesses with no luck.

Can somebody please post it?

Thanks!

Senter Cove Guy 04-04-2018 08:27 PM

Ice Out Page
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 8gv (Post 293014)
I have been searching for the link to all the ice out guesses with no luck.

Can somebody please post it?

Thanks!

Check it out here: https://www.winnipesaukee.com/index.php?pageid=iceout

8gv 04-04-2018 09:25 PM

Thanks!

My guess is still looking good!

I got my ice out training as a youth guessing the pond at J.B.Williams Park. ;)

Senter Cove Guy 04-04-2018 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 8gv (Post 293016)
Thanks!

My guess is still looking good!

I got my ice out training as a youth guessing the pond at J.B.Williams Park. ;)

You've got the right hour, just not the right date. :)

Slickcraft 04-05-2018 08:01 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Lily Pond: There is just a small amount of ice left today in the north corner. Less than one sixth of the pond.

Last year the ice on Winnie went real fast after Lily was clear. However as I recall it was quite a bit warmer then.

Today's view from Belknap point shows mostly ice. There looks to be open water extending south a ways from Welch.

Shrimpbrain 04-06-2018 02:05 PM

Ice out will be April 13th at 11:47 am.

Hillcountry 04-07-2018 07:41 AM

I didn’t catch the entire bit, but Lily Pond was on the WMUR news this morning.
Must have been related to Winni ice out...anyone catch that?

Chaos 04-07-2018 08:53 AM

Wmur
 
The story was about Ice Out and Emerson Aviation. Showed Lily pond ice from Emerson's photos yesterday.

8gv 04-07-2018 01:02 PM

So what is the prize this year?

Another new F250 like last year?

Descant 04-07-2018 03:56 PM

Did an F250 go through the ice again this year? That is where the prize comes from, right?

Outdoorsman 04-07-2018 04:52 PM

I am guessing ice will not be out by 11:10 an tomorrow :(

SAB1 04-07-2018 06:41 PM

Typically ten days after lily pond but last Saturday we fished on twenty inches of ice so that will take a bit longer than the thirteenth

MAXUM 04-07-2018 08:00 PM

Not to depress anyone but Emerson Aviation did a fly over yesterday and it's still looking real solid out there.

https://www.facebook.com/13184787685...9287399773722/

Grady223 04-07-2018 10:31 PM

[emoji22]


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joey2665 04-08-2018 06:12 AM

Forecast doesn’t look to promising to accelerate the process either. Temps many nights still below freezing. The only hope is the rain they are predicting for Tuesday and Thursday


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8gv 04-08-2018 07:09 AM

https://youtu.be/F2bgZ4PTGhYThese guys may be able to help.

The action starts around 2:00.

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/F2bgZ4PTGhY?start=140" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen></iframe>

https://youtu.be/F2bgZ4PTGhY

Paugus bay girl 04-08-2018 05:55 PM

maybe time to give up on it every being spring.
 
Maybe time to just take up a winter sport, as winter seems to have prevalence over summer weather the last few years.

ishoot308 04-09-2018 07:19 AM

Cold!!
 
These cold nights (low 20's) have really really put a damper on any ice melt. Very little if any progress in the last few days...so much for fishing this upcoming weekend!!:emb::emb::emb:

Dan

Biggd 04-09-2018 07:42 AM

I want to do some yard work and I still have huge piles of snow.:(

Top-Water 04-09-2018 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Biggd (Post 293232)
I want to do some yard work and I still have huge piles of snow.:(

Me too ...... all the more reason to go fishing.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308 (Post 293231)
These cold nights (low 20's) have really really put a damper on any ice melt. Very little if any progress in the last few days...so much for fishing this upcoming weekend!!:emb::emb::emb:

Dan

I was also thinking a few weeks back that "maybe" Ice-Out would come a little eary this year.

Out of curiosity. Anyone know When squam usually gives up all or most of its ice to get some fishing in.

Is it a few days ahead or behind of winnie?

Beauport 04-09-2018 12:43 PM

Squam
 
I drove around much of Squam yesterday and it looked totally socked in. No idea what the ice thickness is, but to my eye, it looked like it was behind Winni.

Jim

Top-Water 04-09-2018 01:16 PM

@ Beauport

Thanks for the squam lake ice information ;)

Slickcraft 04-09-2018 03:21 PM

The view today from Belknap Point is essentially the same as 5 days ago. All ice except for a small area off south Welch.

Our Eastern is in the water at Fay’s and Smith Cove is mostly open so I suppose we could do laps around the cove ☹️


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Paugus bay girl 04-09-2018 06:17 PM

Lily Pond
 
Lily Pond is ICE FREE. 10 days. I'm thinking April 19th. Typical 3rd week of April Ice out.

MikeF-NH 04-09-2018 06:42 PM

Chaos, any updated pictures from Alton Bay? I'm hoping for ice to pull back to Sandy Point and I will be on the water Friday. I think it would take a small miracle. A nice start would be rain and no snow from tomorrows front. We get 50s and 60s the rest of the week around my neck of the woods but nighttime temps just aren't low enough to sustain rapid melting. Only hope is those warming waters coming into the Bay.

Chaos 04-10-2018 07:11 AM

MikeF-NH
 
Sorry, nothing new. I won't be up again until my boat is unwrapped and I start the multi-day polish and wax before launch. My guess, with the weather we've had, it's not much past the bandstand since I took that picture last week. Ugggh!

upthesaukee 04-10-2018 08:34 AM

Only just barely past the bandstand
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 293266)
Chaos, any updated pictures from Alton Bay? I'm hoping for ice to pull back to Sandy Point and I will be on the water Friday. I think it would take a small miracle. A nice start would be rain and no snow from tomorrows front. We get 50s and 60s the rest of the week around my neck of the woods but nighttime temps just aren't low enough to sustain rapid melting. Only hope is those warming waters coming into the Bay.

There are narrow openings along the shoreline, and from the bridge it is still open only just barely post the bandstand.

Dave

Taz 04-10-2018 01:23 PM

Ice out
 
Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

ishoot308 04-10-2018 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taz (Post 293300)
Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!:cool::cool:

Paugus bay girl 04-10-2018 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308 (Post 293302)
Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!:cool::cool:

I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

ishoot308 04-10-2018 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paugus bay girl (Post 293317)
I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

That sounds like an awesome plan to me! Count me in! Maybe Mother Nature will get the hint!:):)

Dan

8gv 04-10-2018 08:26 PM

As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!


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