I take Think's graph as a way of explaining how covid has grown as an actual killer, not just an expected killer. You may remember (haha) a significant number of our penpals asserting that covid is not a big deal because current deaths were low relative to other causes of death at a particular point. As we can see from the graph, that is no longer the case

I saw today that hospitals in NH are seeing a 40% reduction in cardiac arrest cases and they cannot figure out why.

Yes it was a joke, I don't even get their paper. I thought some of you would get a chuckle out of it. I only know about them because of their stupid adds.

How Can It End?
 

I'm assured by my Primary Care Doctor that WebMD is a trustworthy site.

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/2020...l-for-covid-19

A US stem cell treatment is close to resolution.

WebMD is a reliable site. A drug company received FDA a approval for an initial trial of stem cell therapy. There are hundreds of therapies being tried around the world. No strong reason not to try stem cell therapy but not much reason to expect it to work.

Maxum may know the correct numbers, but the number of Phase I candidates that makes it to FDA approval is less than 10%

I don't have exact numbers on this - even if I did and could disclose them it would be from the context of the trials that are run by my employer which are a fraction of what drugs are currently under development at any time. In fact we specialize in the oncology space as a general rule. There is specific genetic experimentation going on right now in cancer treatments that may prove useful in many other areas including antivirals such as COVID. Those are actively being looked at.

That said, I do know that the entire process from start to finish is extremely long and drawn out, and the number of drugs that actually make it through the entire process is very low - I'd say less than 5% based on my observation. Thing is while so many may fail, coming out of those failures is new treatments that are tweaks or reformulations of a prior study. Most people don't realize that it takes a lot of time and expense to get drugs out there with relative confidence they are safe and behave as expected. We have some trials that are 15+ years in and still not approved. Most average about 10 years.

What does help ALOT is that we conduct trials all over the world and it is really helpful to do this work in countries where the regulations are far less stringent, as that data can be aggregated in and helps with the FDA approval process in the US.

As a general rule the FDA is a pain to deal with and arguably some aspects of approval to move a drug forward through the development process are overly cumbersome and frustrating to deal with at the same time there is a lot at stake considering people could and in some cases have died taking experimental drugs. How do you really weigh being overly cautious with providing a risky treatment that could save a life?

Just as a disclaimer I'm a systems guy not a doctor or scientist. The above information is based off conversations I've been privy to or just being part of the process in setting up or shutting down trial related studies or providing data to the FDA as a drug is tracking through the process. I am by no means an expert on this. I just know the regulations are insane, and not just the US either, the EU is even worse.

Providing News Not Found Here...
 

Harvard involved in virus research.

Obviously THIS lady thinks the worst is over.

https://i.chzbgr.com/full/9470621184/hA23BE9A1

Rapid testing is key
 

Rapid testing is possible today. Here's an example from an apparently more advanced country with a sophisticated effective government:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-before-flight

I'm sorry but Emirates is an airline, not a country. Further, if you are calling any middle eastern country advanced or sophisticated, now your credibility is in question!

OMG! That is too funny...

Hope all is well Vita!

Dan

As it is a blood test, this is looking for antibodies and can identify people who have been infected. It is also the test that many companies are developing but still has some problems technically.

Additionally, if the test shows the person has had Covid-19 antibodies it is still not known for certain if these antibodies actually do protect and if they do, we do not know how long the protection lasts.

BUT it is exactly the kind of test that should be perfected and can be helpful in opening up the country. We are not quite there yet with this antibody test.

Dan My Friend (and Vita),

After our Honeymooners exchange I am surprised my humor is too dry for you. Of course I do not believe that there is an Arab country with a government that is as advanced or effective as our own.

But the 10 minute pre-boarding test is a damn good trick, and it is disappointing/sad that they beat us--American, United, FAA, TSA, CDC, etc--to the punch.

Don't ya think?

Emirates: Modern and Forward-Looking...
 

Emirates is an airline, but the UAE is composed of seven Emirates, and is a country.
The seven Emirates derived their name from their seven rulers, called Emirs.

The UAE, considering that they've pumped all of their oil, is surprisingly modern and built-up. A number of sport-racing events, mostly imported from Europe (boat/car), are conducted there, and if you want to go snow-skiing, there's a venue for that!

Aside from their airline, another familiar "Emirates" image—capable of easily exceeding Lake Winnipesaukee's Speed Limit:
https://img.redbull.com/images/c_fil...am-artemis.jpg

Talking about the Emirates ..... the Emirates Airlines is a big sponsor for tennis

http://www.emirates.com/US/english/a...orship/tennis/

including the U S Tennis Open in NYC ...... that now has two large tennis

stadiums converted into a field hospital and food distribution to support victims

of the coronavirus in New York. So that Emirates Airlines sponsor money is now

going to help with the support effort in NYC.

They look pretty advanced to me.
If they can do why can't our "advanced" country do it?

??
 

I have to ask...who is "they"??

Easy to say
 

Please see response #93 above.

Testing and vaccines will be a part of our foreseeable lives but when and how are almost 7,000,000,000 people going to be tested or inoculated?

Advanced? No, they have lots of money and can buy technology and people.

NH just went to remote learning for the rest of the school year. I'm guessing MA will announce tomorrow or in the next week.

I'm hoping we see that the reason for this is purely numbers/proximity and that we start to move towards opening up with clear distancing/demographic guidelines.

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Must add, by keeping the schools closed many small businesses have lost their employees till fall. One more kick to the groin for the small business owners in NH. Now I must tell you I agree with his decision. Many logical headaches for 6 weeks if opened


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I'm not following you—almost all of my seniors are working because they're "essential": grocery stores, elderly homes, takeout restaurants. Wouldn't there be an influx of available local kids?

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..... obesity & coronavirus
 

Obesity Linked to Severe Coronavirus Disease, Especially for Younger Patients by Roni Caryn Rabin, NY Times, Friday, April 17, 2020

No subscription needed ..... just google first six words in title ..... talks about over weight body and the virus, especially for men. ..... :eek:

Tri-Corder" Comeback?
 

The U.S. Army is using a device that looks like a "Tricorder" with an antenna. No PPE in sight.

So Just What are They Saying?
 

Editors of The Epoch Times read Chinese Communist Party newspapers, and listen to CCP propaganda. These are skills for which Americans aren't ready.

The latest data suggests that NH is already past peak but that MA still has time (image attached).

I've seen a lot of references to how opening up too quickly would be like "cutting the parachute cord early because it's slowed us down."

As I've mentioned elsewhere, I think there's a balance to be struck—Dan Crenshaw, Texas representative, discussed how this doesn't have to be a bipolar approach, it can have nuance.

https://www.nbcboston.com/news/coron...e/2108705/?amp

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First mistake. The Times and Post have gone overboard to report anything they can spin as negative.

Roadblock time on the NH Mass border? I guess it's not constitutional, but it hasn't stopped other states from doing it. It might save some of the NH based hotels and restaurants. I don't think it was an accident that NH restaurants were closed the day before St Patrick's Day with all the bars already closed in Mass.

I haven't got a clue what the summer will bring. Will everyone just want to escape from Mass, Conn, NY, NJ or will everyone be afraid to go on vacation? Maybe the number of cases will significantly decline when it gets warm.

I'm certainly having 2nd thoughts about my summer job entertaining vacationers at this point.

I’m ok with that as long as MA can put roadblocks to stop NH people from coming in to work or use our hospital facilities🤨


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Stopped by HD in Tilton this afternoon, parking lot was full. Less then half of the people wearing masks, that includes employees! It appears the gig is up. Weather is looking better and the revolution has begun.


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Just great...
 

A legion of idiots spreading random disease & death lotto tickets into the community. "Live Free and Die"?

I assert my right to be deadly irresponsible cus "FREEDOM"?

Your ignorance is on display for all to read. Your assumption is they are sick. What if they are not and tested as much? What if the others are at low risk. What if those at high risk are protecting themselves and understand the others have a constitutional right to go about their day as they wish.


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It's amazing how some people can watch the same movie again and again, and still expect a different ending. Low risk people expressed their constitutional rights magnificently at Mardi Gras, Florida Spring Break, and Liberty University.

Maybe next time Darth won't be Luke's father...

My assumption is that less than 1% of your full parking lot at HD in Tilton have tested negative. I know of no one that has had a test. But I don't get out much lately

Neither do I. Or know of someone that has been sick. I do know many that have lost their job or have had hours cut. Those that are still collecting a weekly paycheck seem to want to continue this isolation. Some have started to refer to this event as a “white collar” isolation. It’s the blue collar workers that are risking sickness and health keeping them feed. Terrible


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Me thinks...
 

Me thinks the ignorance is all yours.

Check the message on the sign held by the flag festooned guy in the center of the photo.

"Give me liberty, or give me covid-19."

Actually, it should read "Give me liberty AND give me covid-19."

Liberty helps to cause it; sheltering helps to prevent it.

Just sayin.'

https://s.abcnews.com/images/US/prot...n_16x9_992.jpg

In time..
 

You may not today, but without appropriate precautions, you most likely will know several within the coming month. The biggest risks to the population are those who do not take it seriously.

The biggest risk to the population has passed. Curves have began to flatten for a week. Time to begin repairing the damage


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'Following Dr. Wittkowski for a Week--Now on YouTube...
 

Dr. Knut Wittkowski agrees:

https://youtu.be/lGC5sGdz4kg

Note within a few minutes, he states, "I don't receive government checks".
:look: