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-   -   Official 2017 Ice Out Thread (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21729)

8gv 03-24-2017 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chipj29 (Post 276118)
I guess my ice out prediction of March 24 is toast. :(

It could happen, though what is required to make it happen would be pretty bad.
:eek:

SIKSUKR 03-24-2017 01:59 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by 8gv (Post 276122)
It could happen, though what is required to make it happen would be pretty bad.
:eek:

Like this?

rsmlp 03-24-2017 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chipj29 (Post 276118)
I guess my ice out prediction of March 24 is toast. :(

Don't feel too bad, chipj29 I guessed earlier!:confused:

smith point boater 03-25-2017 04:13 PM

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/201...1e864399f4.jpg


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smith point boater 03-25-2017 04:16 PM

I think it's gonna be awhile



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Wiezy 03-25-2017 05:31 PM

Photo from Rattlesnake toward Diamond and Welch
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here's a photo from 380 feet in the air from above Rattlesnake toward Diamond and Welch at 12:30pm today (Saturday March 25th). Sorry for the water on the lens, it started sprinkling once I was out. I see what looks like open water by Welch.

MDoug 03-26-2017 06:00 AM

Open water?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Wiezy (Post 276162)
Here's a photo from 380 feet in the air from above Rattlesnake toward Diamond and Welch at 12:30pm today (Saturday March 25th). Sorry for the water on the lens, it started sprinkling once I was out. I see what looks like open water by Welch.

How did you get to Rattlesnake?

Wiezy 03-26-2017 01:17 PM

DJI Phantom 3 Pro 1.6 mile flight
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by MDoug (Post 276169)
How did you get to Rattlesnake?

Hey Doug, I flew my DJI Phantom 3 Pro (3 mile range) from the Rattlesnake launch (Glidden Cove) over to Rattlesnake and got the photo from there. I wanted to see how the broads were over there, lots of big cracks but not much open water there!

MDoug 03-26-2017 02:14 PM

Rattlesnake flight
 
That's just awesome!

JMR 03-27-2017 09:15 AM

Yesterday
 
I didn't take a photo yesterday, but the Broads were open north of Rattlesnake as of about 1 PM. some cracking around the peninsula on the island. We'll see what today brings.

Pine Island Guy 03-29-2017 11:03 AM

waiting... waiting... waiting...
 
1 Attachment(s)
Unfortunately not much change from our vantage point...

Need Sun, Warm, and Wind -PIG

upthesaukee 03-29-2017 11:22 AM

Tear up your March ice-out guesses; Lily Pond in Gilford is still iced in. 😁

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MDoug 03-29-2017 12:04 PM

Ice Out Guess
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by upthesaukee (Post 276310)
Tear up your March ice-out guesses; Lily Pond in Gilford is still iced in. 😁

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I just changed my reservation with JetBlue to May 13 from April 29. I hope that will give NHEC enough time to restore power to Bear Island and our camp.

flyguy 03-29-2017 12:43 PM

Ice Patrol flight today
 
We flew Ice Patrol again today- no matter what it looks like from the shore, there is still a LOT of ice- and much of it where it re-froze. We'll have a full report as well as many new photos on our Ice-Out.com site by the weekend.

Also had fun doing a Facebook LIVE video broadcast from the plane! Pretty sure that's never been done before. While it did not come out great, it showed that there may be the possibility of a LIVE Ice-Out announcement when it happens!:eek:

http://<a href="https://www.winnipes...t_1367As30.jpg[/IMG]

CAVU 03-29-2017 04:54 PM

watching WGME, forecast is for 10-16" Fri-Sat, that should insulate the snow pack nicely.

upthesaukee 03-29-2017 05:03 PM

NWS shows 6-8 inches for Laconia.

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MDoug 03-30-2017 06:11 AM

Snow on the Ice
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by upthesaukee (Post 276349)
NWS shows 6-8 inches for Laconia.

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Will that hinder ice out more?

codeman671 03-30-2017 07:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDoug (Post 276362)
Will that hinder ice out more?

I doubt it. The next week is going to be in the 40s every day with some rain. As the snow on top melts it's just going to drop more water on top of the ice. The top will get slushy, it probably won't be cold long enough for it to add more frozen surface to the top.

We do have some wind coming with the storm. That will also get stuff moving. We have a few weeks to go with or without the storm.

ishoot308 03-30-2017 07:46 AM

Here's a quick 30 second clip looking from the west side of Welch. As you can see everything still locked up tight all the way to Belknap Point, Lockes Island, Witches, Governors Island, Timber Island, Round Island. There are still people ice fishing Sanders Bay!

Going to be a while yet!

https://video.nest.com/clip/0cb5eb43...f1e62b35c3.mp4

Dan

flyguy 03-30-2017 01:02 PM

Three dozen new aerial photos - taken yesterday- just posted to http://www.ice-out.com. Much of the lake that had thawed refroze over the last two weeks. Coves & harbors are still solid. Looking like the third week in April???

Blue Thunder 03-30-2017 02:15 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Today's MODIS view...

Hillcountry 03-30-2017 02:53 PM

Wow! My guess would be sometime in early May!
Ever been that late?

RUGMAN 04-02-2017 08:25 AM

1 Attachment(s)
This time last year Boat was in the Water?
https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums...1&d=1491139471

Slickcraft 04-02-2017 09:29 AM

1 Attachment(s)
I did see a boat in the water today; between Ellacoya and Welch. Also saw two kayaks off of Ellacolya. Still a lot of ice just out of the photo to the left; NW.

ishoot308 04-02-2017 09:42 AM

Fishermen
 
Most likely fishermen as fishing opened yesterday.

A lot of icebergs going through that area also.

Dan

Pine Island Guy 04-02-2017 03:04 PM

progress!
 
1 Attachment(s)
with the temps today and warmer this coming week... couple that with some rain and wind on Tuesday and Thursday... things should be looking pretty good by the weekend or early next week!

Today looking down the Pine/Bear channel... PIG

MDoug 04-02-2017 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pine Island Guy (Post 276577)
with the temps today and warmer this coming week... couple that with some rain and wind on Tuesday and Thursday... things should be looking pretty good by the weekend or early next week!

Today looking down the Pine/Bear channel... PIG

Report from Y Landing is that they have ice in their cove but that NHEC crew and tree cutters have managed to get to Bear. NHEC restored power a few days ago

welch-time 04-02-2017 03:31 PM

Ice behind dock melting nicely today. Lots of open water on North side of Welch. Water temp must be rising or maybe the onshore wind pushing warmer surface water into Welch. Yesterday's snow melting quickly too. We need some 40-50 degree days.

http://i646.photobucket.com/albums/u...psvzwwzxdv.jpg

bclaker 04-02-2017 04:02 PM

Warm Sun
 
I am reading 72 on my thermometer in the sun at 5:00. That should speed up the melt.

Merrymeeting 04-02-2017 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by welch-time (Post 276580)
Water temp must be rising.

Anyone have a recent water temp reading?

kawishiwi 04-02-2017 05:55 PM

Up to the minute...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting (Post 276585)
Anyone have a recent water temp reading?

Scroll down in this link:
http://www.trexlers.com/lake-winnipe...live-feed.html

mattmass 04-03-2017 07:24 AM

Nice to see the fishing boat
 
It was nice to see the fishing boat out near Welch. Where could one launch a boat currently to get out to that large piece of fishable open water??? I am coming up next weekend with a group of guys to try and fish, how do we get in that open water???

ishoot308 04-03-2017 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mattmass (Post 276599)
It was nice to see the fishing boat out near Welch. Where could one launch a boat currently to get out to that large piece of fishable open water??? I am coming up next weekend with a group of guys to try and fish, how do we get in that open water???

Possibly, as long as recent snowstorm did not block access, Ellacoya State Park...small boats only, very shallow launch. Could get iced in quickly from moving ice from the West so be aware and careful!!....

Dan

Mink Islander 04-03-2017 07:53 AM

Mink Cam update - still lots of ice....
 
1 Attachment(s)
Ice Ice Go Away, I want my boat in before Memorial Day!

Slickcraft 04-03-2017 08:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308 (Post 276601)
Possibly, as long as recent snowstorm did not block access, Ellacoya State Park...small boats only, very shallow launch. Could get iced in quickly from moving ice from the West so be aware and careful!!....

Dan

Yes it looked like the 2 fishermen launched the small boat at Ellacoya. There were a few pickups parked down at the end of the lane.

Pine Island Guy 04-03-2017 08:22 AM

view from Y-Landing...
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by MDoug (Post 276579)
Report from Y Landing is that they have ice in their cove but that NHEC crew and tree cutters have managed to get to Bear. NHEC restored power a few days ago

Here's a shot from Y-Landing yesterday looking across the channel to Pine Island... it is going quickly, today should help a lot!

To quote the Wicked Witch of the West... "I'm melting, I'm melting..." -PIG

Flyfishnh 04-03-2017 10:32 AM

Alton Bay
 
Does anyone have pics of Alton?

Pine Island Guy 04-03-2017 11:12 AM

no pics, but...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Flyfishnh (Post 276612)
Does anyone have pics of Alton?

Drove down Route 11 the length of Alton Bay yesterday and it is still frozen up pretty solid, although in many spots the ice was turning a nice shade of gray... The only open water was around the docks...

Hoping melting progresses nicely this week! -PIG

webmaster 04-03-2017 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flyfishnh (Post 276612)
Does anyone have pics of Alton?

There are some aerial shots from 3/29 here:

http://www.ice-out.com/BONUS-PHOTOS-2017/

Flyfishnh 04-03-2017 01:59 PM

Thank you
 
Thank you, hopefully in the next few weeks the bay will be open!:eek: Getting anxious to get the boat in the water!


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