WOW! That time lapse you posted on YouTube is awesome! Guess we'll have to do a flyover- don't see it refreezing soon.

Thanks again!

3/10/17 @5:10p. Ice as far as the eye can see.

It's only +1 deg. here this morning but we have very strong, gusty wind out of the northwest. We're beginning to see some small areas of open water between the mainland (between Minge Cove and Smalls Cove) and Sleepers Island. Even those small areas of open water have whitecaps today, which eat away at the ice. Today's wind is no doubt putting intense pressure on the ice in this area. If that results in some major stress cracks, the wind could push it all to the southeast as we saw in Island Girl's excellent video of the ice going out on the Broads a few days ago.

You can watch this area of the lake change on the Echo Shores Webcam: http://echoshorescam.com/

Still looks like winter from Mink Island
 

My lake cam took an unplanned vacation at the end of the year. But yesterday it surprised me by waking up and sending pics again.

Looks a long way from ice out from this view....

19 mile bay ice out
 

Agreed. Ice out is a long way off for the coves. Even the coves are not in Mt Washington's cruise there are important to those who would like to get to there properties in a early ice out.

For example, it was reported by local neighbors in 19 Mile Bay that there is still 18" of ice. And what happens with the ice when a major Northeaster dumps 2' of snow. I would expect it would be very difficult to snowmobile or even walk on the ice with water and slush below the snow. Our prediction for Ice out at 19 mile bay will be later than April 5th Reporting from Sarasota Florida.

Refreeze
 

Broads and all around Welch are actually starting to refreeze over the past couple cold days. I think at this point a March ice out probably will not happen...

Dan

New Ice-Out Aerials
 

We shot a bunch yesterday (3/13/17) that will surprise you! Ice-Out.com

http://photos.smugmug.com/BONUS-PHOT..._1335s30-M.jpg

New Ice
 

Thanks, Bill for the aerials. Definitely confirms what I saw happening yesterday. I have a time lapse that I need to upload which shows lots of icebergs float by my house, then it all jammed up.

Pretty cool! :liplick:

IG

The ice is locked in between Welch and Fish (NW side). Open water farther North.
My lakeside camera is working again after being "reset" by the power outage yesterday.
It's been AWOL since December. Really nice having it back (camera date and time is wrong).
http://i646.photobucket.com/albums/u...psljlya3av.jpg

Dock
 

That looks like Stan's dock.

Here is a timelapse on Monday the 13th of the ice going back in. Compare with flyguy's aerial and you will see how that happened. If you go to flyguys site for more pictures you will find one that shows more of the lake and the ice all piled up in a line past Rattlesnake Island.

http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/IceBackIn3-13-2017.mp4

www.rattlesnakecam.com/3-13-2017-IceBackIn.mp4 (faster version)

It is. We I bought this camp last year (my wifes family owns the camp 4 houses down).
Sadly Stan passed a couple months ago.

Stan
 

I am so sorry to hear about Stan. My late husband and I stayed at that camp in 1999 and 2000 before buying the place on Rattlesnake Island. Stan introduced us to the island in 1998. I met Stan in 1986. Great guy.

IG

Yes he was. I always enjoyed his sense of humor. My wife introduced me to the island back in the 80's. She shared many a summer with Stan's daughters.

will likely move ice out into April

Sent from my iPad using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app

my view from Methodist cihttps://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=12813&stc=1&d=14898381 76rcle.

Revised Opinions?
 

Anyone hazard a new guess at ice-out ?

The last cold snap seems to have locked up the lake again.

East side of Cow Island
 

No changes this week

The Broads have skimmed over again.


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Based on the current forecast, it's looking to me like it will be a fairly "normal" ice-out. I.e., early to mid-April, slow and steady.

Solar gain at this time of year is strong, and temps during the days are usually above freezing. But the nights still drop into the 20's. So you get some melting during the day, and some cool down at night. But the water temp continues to slowly rise, and when it reaches 38-39, the melting from below takes over and it all breaks up.

Baring a drastic change in the weather pattern, about 3 more weeks.

I've noticed we no longer have any cams in Alton Bay (one of the first areas to break up) and the Pine Island cams (which showed ice breaking up a few weeks back) all seem to be either off line, redirected or no longer on this site. Does anybody have any cams or recent pictures from these areas?

We had so much open water on the Broads and that seemed to slip back into winter with another ice coating. Hoping for warmer weather, rain and wind....

Power is out on the north end of Bear so the bear cam is not working at the moment. That was a good vantage point that won't be back till power is restored. NHEC won't send guys out over the ice in it's current condition. I'm sure they will be out there soon as the ice is out.

This is the view from space as of Saturday. Quite a bit of difference from 2 weeks ago...in the wrong direction!

One thing about that photo...the area in the broads that looks like open water is actually black ice which formed after the big snowstorm. The lake is almost completely frozen over at the moment....

Dan

Pic from Mink Island
 

From Yesterday. Mount Washington very white in the distance.

reporting from Pine Island...
 

Unfortunately my webcam that posts to the website every minute slipped off the perch I put it on to watch ice-out... but here's a shot looking down the Bear/Pine channel from this morning... what was water a week ago is now ice...

Happy first day of spring, let the melting proceed! -PIG

Awh man that's depressing to look at!

Ice Ridge
 

This is one scary ice ridge. I have never seen anything quite like this. Melt please!

Help fund more Ice-Out aerial photos this year!

Thanks

ice-out photo funding assistance
 

Happy to help flyguy! Thanks for your time and all the great ice-out photos.

Thanks Mike! :) We never even break even on this series of photos, so any little bit helps to pay for fuel, insurance, web site,etc.! I sincerely appreciate your donation. Stay tuned!

Strong wind pushing ice out from between Welch and Fish this morning, getting swept out into the Broads.
I expect it to be clear up to the breakwater by noon.

http://i646.photobucket.com/albums/u...psydmvoiki.jpg

some video here:
https://youtu.be/NBxBFCNGqS4

View from Mink Island
 

This is looking north with the tip of Bear on the left. The wind hasn't had any impact on the ice here.

Wind
 

The wind opened up the broads quite a bit today. That's Welch island on the left....

And just like that...

http://i646.photobucket.com/albums/u...psnjufhpe3.jpg

Yesterday
 

I took this shot last yesterday afternoon from the top of Gunstock. Broads re-opening and, although I didn't take a picture of it, there appears to be a hole opening south end of Rattlesnake Island.

Keep an eye on Lilly Pond
 

Lily Pond usually goes out about a week ahead of Winnie. Anyone know the status there? Great pictures and video's. Keep them coming.
Thanks
WJT2

Just went by Lily Pond. Still ice covered.

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I guess my ice out prediction of March 24 is toast. :(