Ice Out
 

Me, too! Nonetheless, I just changed my air res from May 3 to May 10 and am hoping that will be sufficient.

There were lots of snowmobilers on the bay today, even F&G came in and back out again. I think if find a good solid access point you should still be on atleast 2 feet of ice.

From atop Tower St. at the Weirs you can see there's a strip of open water going from Governors Island to Eagle Island then half-way to Spindle Point.
It's nice seeing some blue amongst the white.
Today's sun and wind helped. Tomorrow's warm sun followed by heavy rain Tuesday will help even more. I think by Thursday-Friday some of us will feel a lot better about a late ice out.

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I'm not as brave as PBF. I had three layers on top plus Uggs and mittens!
http://i35.photobucket.com/albums/d1...psfde6b031.jpg

Darker Ice
 

It looks like the rain may have done some damage. Rattlesnake cam shows some significantly darker ice then 2 days ago. There is hope :)

Ice out voyeur
 

Just joining the thread

Starting to change in the Broads.
 

I talked to a F&G officer in Alton yesterday, and he said that he was in the broads on a snowmobile earlier in the day, and that there was some evidence of honeycombing out there. Don't know exactly where he was at, just in the broads. I would suspect he was on the eastern end of the lake, maybe just out from Alton Bay. He did have his snowmobile in the back of the truck and was in the parking lot at the F&G in Alton bay.

Maybe there is hope:rolleye1:

Point of Reference..
 

This was taken exactly 1 year ago today (4-9-13) from Ellacoya State Beach. I have another picture in the series that shows the fisherman watching as a Loon glides by their boat.

I don't recall the actual ice out date for last year, but we don't look too close as of yet!

Attachment 9146

Snake Eyes starting to show signs of open water
 

Around the docks, looks like a small amount of open water. Ice looks darker by the day.

The strip of open water I mentioned off Governor's Island has widened with the wind. The lake is up over 3" in the last couple of days. Today was chilly but it warms up tomorrow and we may be close to 80 degrees by Monday.
Smile...;)

Not so promising yet, there are some signs of the shoreline receding, but still looks like a lot of white ice out there. My guess is 3 weeks from today the dock will be going back in.

Good Guess!
 

Based on what I am seeing on Welch, I think your guess is spot on!!

My two week indicator (Massabesic Lake) has not given in yet but it won't be long...she's just about ready to go!

Dan

It it is anything like any of the lakes/ponds I have been watching this year, once it starts to go, it will go quick. Most have gone from full white snowy ice, to nothing in about a week.
IMO the May 12 record is not in jeopardy. I think it will be right around May 1.

Web Cams
 

I have been watching a lot of the lakes web cams paitiently for Ice Out.
I did notice that Island Radio's Rattlesnake Island cam (http://rattlesnakeisland.net/cam.htm) and Bear Islander's main web cam (http://www.bearcam1.com/) are not sending any updates. The Paugus Bay Cam (http://www.overlooker.tzo.com/) is not connecting and may be down too.
Power or internet issues? I miss these cams as they are good for tracking ice out along with all the other ones. Any ideas as to why they are down?

Here's a pic from my web cam showing some shoreline finally giving way on right side of the pic. The rest is just water sitting on top of the ice around the breakwater with a lot of solid white ice everywhere else...

Dan

for your entertainment while we wait for ICE-OUT...
 

while official ICE-OUT is defined by the Mount being able to make it to all ports-of-call... I declare a mini-ice-out which is when the Alumacraft aka ice-breaker can make it to our ports-of-call (Y-Landing and the east side of Pine Island).

Unfortunately the PI webcam is down (again), so I'm flying a little blind, but based on the other lake webcams it looks like we should be good to go next weekend!

Bear Islander put together a great time-lapse video from our webcam in 2008 and you can see us land about the 7 second mark on the 19th of April and then leave the next day...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hUC2tbOjfyM

melt melt melt -PIG

This is the current view from my webcam. I'm not sure if those dark spots are standing water on top of the ice or what, but they are directly next to or over the rocks we have out there.

But that's definitely floating ice, so there's that, and today is the first day I've seen the beach since October. It's slow, but it's happening. :)

(this is channel between moultonborough bay and green's basin if you don't remember my post from a few weeks ago)


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http://img.tapatalk.com/d/14/04/11/y8yqatu6.jpg

Might help if I attach the picture. Oops.


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Looks to be pulling away from the shore. Still a while to go, but any hope, is still hope!

4/7/3014 - Varney Point Rd Left Looking at the Pres Range
 

The wind is working its magic. The temps dipping down in the 20's is working against them, though.

Stevens Pond in Manchester was officially iced out yesterday and that is typically a two week indicator for Winni. Here's to hoping for some warm sunshine and strong winds.

I was talking to friend who was out on the lake snowmobiling yesterday afternoon and while the edges are giving way, he said he cut a couple holes in Sanders bay and there is still 18"- 20" of ice...

Near 80 degrees on Monday followed up by a day of rain should do a number on it...

Dan

A lot darker today, or wishful thinking?

I use Stevens Pond as my indicator as well. I have seen it be as much as 3 weeks apart from Winni.

Yup...because it's cloudy.

Hasn't one of the indicators for ice out for Winni been Lily Pond in Gilford?

Stevens pond is almost always about the same day as the pond across the street from my house which was almost out today.I usually add about 2 weeks for Winni.I'll add a little for the excess ice and say.......April 29.

Very nice panorama shot.

Willand Pond in Dover is typically a 2 week indicator. It will be clear most likely tomorrow. I don't see this holding true this year with 2 feet still on the lake.

Very encouraging....
 

Today's High-Res Satellite photo....the process is underway for sure.

Yes it is usually two weeks after Lily goes out. My guess is it will be longer this year.

My pool has been a good two week indicator. Since 1999, I have always had the cover off by this date. Today, I went to check, it is at least 10 days out, maybe longer. It will be a May Ice-Out this year.

Ice-Out
 

I have been keeping track of Silver Lake in Hollis for the last ten years now in relation to the the big lake's ice-out. Silver Lake's ice was out this morning. If the last ten years hold true, Winnipesaukee will be next Friday. :D I hope! Snake Eyes is looking very promising!

I just went by Lilly pond and it's still locked up solid...

Dan

It's going to be a different ice-out from what we've been used to in the last few years. Most of the melting has been from the bottom up, and rather than receding from the edges, it seems to be going all at once, all over.

I sense that we will have ice pack one day, then it will soften/get porous, and disappear all at once when we least expect it.

I'm with RG...sometime in the next 7-8 days.

Let's just settle on another 10 days and ice out will be my Birthday present this year. Lol.

Sitting around, watching the ice melt
 

The "three week till iceout" indicator that I've used for over 20 years started showing last Monday, which would put iceout on April 28'th. The ice changed a lot this past week, and is starting to look gray. However, where it pulled away from the shore, there is a foot or more of clear ice showing. The lake level rose over a foot in the past week, and moving the ice around will accelerate melting. I wouldn't be surprised if it holds out till May 1'st, but don't think it will be setting records. If a new iceout contest opened today, I'd go with Monday, April 28'th.

LIFO and Candles
 

The ice between Ellacoya and South Welch appears to be on the Last In First Out track.

Looking out from Belknap Point, the ice in general is getting darker in color, evidence that the ice candles are forming. I expect a lot of color change in the next few warm days.

meredith weekender
 

If my math is correct, the 21st would be your birthday and mine. that was my official pick, let's see if it happens :)