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Island Girl
03-20-2015, 10:54 AM
This is the official 2015 Ice-Out Thread. If you reply to this thread all of the information about this year's ice-out will be easily accessible to our forum friends.

Today is the first day of Spring (6:45 PM EDT)

Post your observations, concerns, pictures and whatever else comes to mind re: ice-out. Did I say pictures? We love your pictures.

The Ice-Out page is up at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm. There you will find all of the images to watch the ice melt as well as links to special ice out features such as Saunder's Bay daily picture (http://www.nhboat.com/Nhboat/Features/ice/ice-out2014.htm) with information about previous year's ice out. (I will post link when it is available. this link if for 2014 and previous years)

Ice-out has occurred in recent years when the lake temperature is from 39-41 degrees as reported by the Winnipesaukee Dataphoneat the Lakeport Dam. Today the temp is 33 degrees. Previous years include 2014-35 degrees, 2013-37 degrees and in 2012-41 degrees! We have a lot of warming up to do.

Many anticipate a late Ice-out this year, so we need some rain dancers... and some warming up to prove them wrong. :coolsm:

Let's get on with our favorite activity ... Ice-Out!

smith point boater
03-22-2015, 07:05 AM
If we could get some warm temps to go along with todays wind we wouldn't have to worry about a late ice out!!! :D Very windy out there today 3 degrees here with wind chill

trfour
03-22-2015, 10:31 AM
My ice out guess date, since FOREVAH, has been May 5th and it's look'in good so far this year. The last Ice Out Date on May 5th was back in 1956 when Global Warming was just a glimmah in Al G's eye.
Funny how two of my Brother's that live, one in North Carolina, and the other lives in Georgia got snowed in this winter. So who knows, but if I should win I'll be donating my prize to one of the earlier guess contendahs... :)

Terry
________________________________

Paugus bay girl
03-24-2015, 02:45 PM
A lot of rain, wind and warm temps forecasted for Wed night/ Thursday into Friday. This will certainly speed up the ice/snow melt. Bring on summer! I have been ready since November!

Chaos
03-24-2015, 04:17 PM
shows the lake temps rising. Looks to be almost 2 degrees at both depths since last week!

Katy D
03-25-2015, 09:01 AM
I am going with April 22nd

gokart-mozart
03-25-2015, 09:21 AM
If you picked March 25 - you lost!

Rattlesnake Gal
03-26-2015, 11:52 AM
The ice is starting to look different!

Lake Winnipesaukee Weathercam (http://www.blackcatnh.com)

Water Temperature at 2 ft: 34.8°F

Water Temperature at 10 ft: 36.8°F

Chaos
03-26-2015, 12:46 PM
chunks of ice moving around on the Weirs Cam and Anchor Marine Cam Time lapse videos. Even if they are small ones. :)

Accipiter290
03-27-2015, 10:15 AM
Echo Shores time lapse cam shows the edge of the ice slowly but consistently receding! I have high hopes that it won't be a record late ice-out.

Grant
03-27-2015, 12:02 PM
Definitely getting the splotchy, mottled look. Puddles. Clock is ticking. When will the Silver Sands annual cam go live? I keep checking.

DRH
03-27-2015, 12:27 PM
Echo Shores time lapse cam shows the edge of the ice slowly but consistently receding! I have high hopes that it won't be a record late ice-out.The Echo Shores Webcam time-lapse feature allows the user to select the time frame to be displayed. The default setting is "Today", but you can also select "24 hours", "Yesterday", "One Week" or "One Month".

Give the "One Week" and "One Month" settings a try - they are quite interesting!

nhcatrider
03-27-2015, 12:50 PM
The ice on the Merrimuck river in Concord disappeared over the last 24 hours, so it shouldn't be much longer.

LadyJane
03-27-2015, 08:08 PM
my April 27 guess isn't looking too bad

Irish Choppers
03-28-2015, 03:17 PM
April 22nd!

Paugus bay girl
03-31-2015, 03:52 PM
Wow looking at the lake today, looks still solid as a rock. I have a feeling the Mount will have to cancel or postpone its Mothers Day cruise this year.This is outside my house on Paugus Bay at 4:30 today.

GodSmile
03-31-2015, 05:45 PM
Despite the dire comments still hoping for an April ice out. A little global warming wouldn't hurt

PaugusBayFireFighter
03-31-2015, 05:52 PM
All it takes is a few mild days and some rain and wind. Last year proved that.

2DAMTS
03-31-2015, 05:55 PM
Wow looking at the lake today, looks still solid as a rock. I have a feeling the Mount will have to cancel or postpone its Mothers Day cruise this year.This is outside my house on Paugus Bay at 4:30 today.


Sheesh! Still waiting for my pool to have ice out! Still one solid block of ice!

Merrymeeting
03-31-2015, 06:26 PM
Despite the dire comments still hoping for an April ice out. A little global warming wouldn't hurt

Like this? Warmer than New Durham today!

http://www.examiner.com/article/antarctica-hottest-day-ever-recorded-63-5-degrees-for-coldest-place-on-earth

Happy Gourmand
04-01-2015, 07:13 AM
Ice out was declared this morning at 8:13 AM. Let summer begin!!

Island Girl
04-01-2015, 07:32 AM
The last time the lake temp was this low on April 1 was in 2001 (4-2-01 34 degrees)

Ice-Out that year was May 2.

We could use some incredibly warm days. The 10-day forecast is not promising for 03810.

:(

JakeLake
04-01-2015, 07:39 AM
The last time the lake temp was this low on April 1 was in 2001 (4-2-01 34 degrees)

Ice-Out that year was May 2.

We could use some incredibly warm days. The 10-day forecast is not promising for 03810.

:(

Friday Into Saturday holds some promise.. sustained winds around 20MPH for a couple hours in Laconia on Saturday following a warm Friday.. Still a long way to go. (May 5th-10th :cool:)

Steveo
04-01-2015, 04:20 PM
I wish this was an April's Fools joke but it is not...

Pictures taken from scenic view on Rt 11 in Alton and my home in the middle of Alton Bay. This stuff will never melt, at least a month to go:

Chaos
04-02-2015, 03:48 PM
Just checked the BlackCat cam and the water temp is trending nicely upward. I realize the sun has a big effect, but at these temps, the ice has to be melting from below, please someone agree :)

Island Girl
04-02-2015, 03:53 PM
Chaos, I agree that the ice will melt from the bottom as well as the top. The rising temps indicate we are on the way... a slow start for sure. The reading from the Winnipesaukee Data Phone is 34 degrees. That is up a degree from earlier in the week.

:cool::D

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-03-2015, 05:41 AM
Mild and raining last night after a sunny day. Today we come close to 70 with sun and more rain to follow tonight. Lots of wind tomorrow afternoon, 30mph+ and some sun. Temps for next week are in the 40's with the pattern turning milder towards weeks end.
Patriot's Day is looking better and better for ice out.
Lake temp up a couple degrees since last week. Lake level rising too.

Blue Thunder
04-03-2015, 02:14 PM
Great write up by Barry at Silver Sands.
http://nhboat.com/Nhboat/Features/ice/ice-out2015.htm
BT

Paugus bay girl
04-03-2015, 04:44 PM
Was out by Paugus today you could see the heat waves rising off the ice! Sign of serious melting, then rain and wind tonight and early morning tomorrow! :)

Steveo
04-04-2015, 04:15 PM
I look forward to Silver Sands cam shots and Barry's forecast every year and can't wait to follow the evolving cam shots. I really appreciate that they show the previous years so you get excited that it might happen earlier than it is looking.

Thanks Barry and Silver Sands!!!

Blue Thunder
04-05-2015, 04:21 PM
Today's MODIS view shows just a hint of darkening on the Big Lake. Sebago, however is looking way ahead at this point with a couple of areas of open water visible in the center of Big Bay.

meredith weekender
04-05-2015, 05:55 PM
we seem to be making progress. the top pick is from today and the bottom pic from the beginning of the week.

Merrymeeting
04-06-2015, 07:58 AM
While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

MAXUM
04-06-2015, 08:29 AM
While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

That's my plan too ;-) It may actually be sooner.

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-06-2015, 09:26 AM
While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

Some rain/wind in the forecast will also help. I noticed the overnight lows are favorable for melting. That's a big factor.
The forecast is much warmer and sunnier starting Saturday through next week.

The lake has risen a few inches over the past few days and Lakeport reports water temp at 36.

These floats were not visible a week ago. The snow atop Paugus is gone and the ice is being eaten both above and below. I still say April 20, Patriot's Day, will be the day.

Water Camper
04-06-2015, 10:18 AM
Was up to the lake yesterday, no ice along shore line. Looking good, I may be too much of an optimist, but I'm sticking with April 15th.

Maybe wishful thinking,
Bill

MDoug
04-06-2015, 11:12 AM
Got our reservation to fly up May 2 on Jet Blue!

Misha888
04-07-2015, 12:04 AM
snowmobiling in and out of Smith Cove, as of yesterday. Brave souls.

Paugus bay girl
04-07-2015, 02:20 PM
http://www.blackcatnh.com/The Weather Cam shows 39 degrees at 10 ft! Ice out happens not long after we reach that point.

Merrymeeting
04-07-2015, 05:12 PM
I was on my waterfront for a short time this afternoon. While on the surface, the ice looks solid, and there is little to no indication of melting along the shoreline, the ice was making noises like I haven't heard since it first formed. Lots of gurgling and expansion noises. Something is changing...

CoastalWx
04-07-2015, 06:34 PM
No way by April 15th. Enjoy the snow tomorrow night too. My guess is close to last year.

Mink Islander
04-08-2015, 07:54 AM
My ip camera caught this group of geniuses passing in front of my place on Mink Island this morning. Yeah yeah, plenty of ice... Well not so much over by Mark Island in the channel they're heading towards. And Cattle Landing is quite sketchy at this point too. And no snow to lube the track or cool the engine. What could possibly go wrong?

Nice view of Mount Washington this morning, however....

Pine Island Guy
04-08-2015, 08:59 AM
Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend!

today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG

Mr Cooke's Crew
04-09-2015, 06:09 AM
My guess is April 29.

Winnisquamguy
04-10-2015, 11:21 AM
Ice out May 1 @ 10:40 am

Merrymeeting
04-10-2015, 03:09 PM
In the FWIW dept. If anyone is interested in following ice-out on a lake other than Winni, you can follow the Merrymeeting one here, www.mmlake.org

At the very bottom of the page are links to two prior years for comparison.

AmericanBoatClub
04-10-2015, 04:29 PM
Rain and warm temps coming are going to do some real damage as you all know. Mix in a little wind.

It is sorta creepy and beautiful out this afternoon

Paugus bay girl
04-11-2015, 01:10 AM
I highly doubt it will happen in May, this week is going to be almost in the 60's, with a couple days close to 70. A lot can happen with just a week of warm temps. Also, the long range looks like the warm temps will stay.Lets hope!

GodSmile
04-11-2015, 03:53 AM
My original guess, and I think with the forecast that's still a good one. Lake seems to be rising nicely as well over the last week or so
.:)

Merrymeeting
04-11-2015, 11:14 AM
Took some pictures while walking the Cotton Valley Rail Trail from Wolfeboro this morning.

The 1st is Back Bay, along the trail toward the end. You can see open water at the top where the Smith River enters the Bay. The river is flowing strongly and the Bay is open on both ends.

The 2nd photo shows Crescent Lake, between Back Bay and Lake Wentworth, beginning to open up. The 3rd photo is also on Crescent, capturing four of everyone's favorite birds. I didn't take pictures, but when we drove by Wentworth, I didn't see any openings.

4th - Back Bay heading to bridge out to Wolfeboro Bay.
5th - other side of bridge
6th - More of the favorite birds off the Wolfeboro docks.
7th - looking down the bay toward Goodhue Hawkins Marina

Chaos
04-11-2015, 12:42 PM
Shows the 2 Ft temp higher than the 10 Ft for the first time that I've seen. The weather is working its magic! The pond I use as a 2 week ice out measuring stick should ice out today. April 25 looks good still :)

Just Sold
04-11-2015, 01:20 PM
Shows the 2 Ft temp higher than the 10 Ft for the first time that I've seen. The weather is working its magic! The pond I use as a 2 week ice out measuring stick should ice out today. April 25 looks good still :)

Which that pond be Long Pond?

Chaos
04-11-2015, 03:58 PM
Just Sold,
Nameless man made pond on 111 in Atkinson.

rrr
04-11-2015, 09:03 PM
Merrymeeting - is the rail trail snow free for walking?

Slickcraft
04-12-2015, 10:11 AM
Belknap Point today, ice is getting darker. We'll see some real changes over the next few days.

Merrymeeting
04-12-2015, 12:22 PM
Merrymeeting - is the rail trail snow free for walking?

Not quite. It is mostly clear, but the places that get little to no sun (eg: the stretch from the WWII museum to Crescent Lake) still have a small layer of ice/snow. But I wouldn't be surprised if it's clear by tomorrow.

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-12-2015, 05:37 PM
Lake temp 38/39 degrees. 70's tomorrow and rain Tuesday. All it takes is a week of favorable weather, and this is the week.

pjard
04-12-2015, 06:39 PM
Very dark ice between Belknap Point and Welch...very dark! Looks like it could open up anytime.

Lakegeezer
04-12-2015, 07:02 PM
Looks like a tilted line of melt on Winnipesaukee. From MODIS (http://ge.ssec.wisc.edu/modis-today/index.php?satellite=t1&product=true_color&date=2015_04_12_102&overlay_sector=false&overlay_state=true&overlay_coastline=true&sector=USA4&resolution=250m)Government web site

Pine Island Guy
04-13-2015, 10:49 AM
here's the image from this morning... good steady progress showing on the melt-o-meter!!

We will be heading out to the island this weekend for sure, maybe earlier :)

According to our totally unscientific historical models... ice-out is declared 4 days and 7 hours after the first time we can get to our dock on Pine Island... hahahaha

-PIG

Accipiter290
04-13-2015, 11:41 AM
Time Lapse view on the Echo Shores cam for today shows the ice darkening up pretty significantly in a matter of just a few hours! Changes are going to start happening very quickly

dippasan
04-13-2015, 12:52 PM
I declare ice out when I bring my first bag of "ice out" to the island and pour a cocktail. Can't wait!!!!

Island Girl
04-13-2015, 01:12 PM
It looks like a lovely warm day at the lake. The lake temp is up to 38 degrees. This is the fun part... it is melting and every hour shows progress. :D

Pine Island Guy
04-13-2015, 01:18 PM
I declare ice out when I bring my first bag of "ice out" to the island and pour a cocktail. Can't wait!!!!

That is an excellent definition!! I'm guessing there will be many island residents that will jump on that as their new mantra :)

Cocktails ready to go, just waiting "ice out" -PIG

Ms Molly McKever
04-13-2015, 03:32 PM
Mr Web Master, Can I change my ice out guess I have may 8. I think we will be swiming by then. Ha Ha

Just Sold
04-13-2015, 03:43 PM
Just saw a Boston Whaler running around in the open water at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club. Also saw a golden jump in from the dock after the Whaler went off camera heading toward where the boat went. There was a boy and a woman on the dock with it before it jumped in. Sorry I did not have enough time to grab the photo.

Chaos
04-13-2015, 03:53 PM
Time lapse. If you look at it you can actually see the ice melt and the surface change, and it's only several hours of coverage.

Just Sold
04-13-2015, 03:55 PM
Just saw a Boston Whaler running around in the open water at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club. Also saw a golden jump in from the dock after the Whaler went off camera heading toward where the boat went. There was a boy and a woman on the dock with it before it jumped in. Sorry I did not have enough time to grab the photo.

Rob M
04-14-2015, 06:57 AM
Yesterday/Last night the ice disappeared on Lake Massabesic in Manchester, this usually occurs one week before the big Lake opens up. The lake was covered yesterday morning with very little open water. With these warm temps it would not surprise me to see the big Lake broken up and navigable by this weekend.

radar4401
04-14-2015, 07:27 AM
While it has been warm down in Manchester area, we have had cool nights before this week. I doubt the big lake will be navigable this weekend. Some of the coves will take more time to open up.

WINNIPESAUKEEBOB
04-14-2015, 09:54 AM
this is the official 2015 ice-out thread. If you reply to this thread all of the information about this year's ice-out will be easily accessible to our forum friends.

Today is the first day of spring (6:45 pm edt)

post your observations, concerns, pictures and whatever else comes to mind re: ice-out. Did i say pictures? We love your pictures.

The ice-out page is up at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm. There you will find all of the images to watch the ice melt as well as links to special ice out features such as saunder's bay daily picture (http://www.nhboat.com/nhboat/features/ice/ice-out2014.htm) with information about previous year's ice out. (i will post link when it is available. This link if for 2014 and previous years)

ice-out has occurred in recent years when the lake temperature is from 39-41 degrees as reported by the winnipesaukee dataphoneat the lakeport dam. Today the temp is 33 degrees. Previous years include 2014-35 degrees, 2013-37 degrees and in 2012-41 degrees! We have a lot of warming up to do.

Many anticipate a late ice-out this year, so we need some rain dancers... And some warming up to prove them wrong. :coolsm:

Let's get on with our favorite activity ... Ice-out!

my condo is at rocky ledge (weirs beach) facing meridith..ice is getting very dark, and moving away from irwins pier and most of the shoreline. I'm guessing another week, and we'll see some major open water.

Island Girl
04-14-2015, 11:08 AM
Please post if you have news on ice-out on Lily Pond.

Chaos
04-14-2015, 12:30 PM
The Echo Shores web cam now has a large ice sheet that broke off and is moving around. Also looks like the Alton Bay runway may go at any time. :)

nicelydunn
04-14-2015, 12:31 PM
Almost time to leave my winter paradise and return to my summer paradise.

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-14-2015, 12:41 PM
Paugus Bay is ready to go. I would be very surprised if there was any ice left on the Bay by weeks end. The ice is black/green. Yesterday and today have steady winds from the south and west. This cam shot is looking south towards Lakeport.
Water temp 39 @1.5 feet. Water level rising fast, typical of previous years.

Just Sold
04-14-2015, 12:41 PM
Melvin Village Marina web cam shows some ice breaking up and moving around.
http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

Rattlesnake Gal
04-14-2015, 01:02 PM
Silver Lake in Hollis is almost always one week ahead of Lake Winnipesaukee. Ice-out happened overnight or early this morning. One more week!!! Winnpiesaukee Data Phone is still reporting 38° at the dam. Black Cat Island is recording 41.8° at 2 feet and 40.2° At 10 feet. :D

MDoug
04-14-2015, 01:28 PM
How's the ice at Cattle? Anyone out that way?

Winni_Bay
04-14-2015, 01:30 PM
Hello paugusbayfirefighter
if possible when paugusbay is clear of ice post it here
what happened to our docs last year was terrible
hope we get through this year without damage
Im located at shipahoy condos 301 weirs blvd
if its ice free for saturday i will head up and get the boat lift in

Thank You
Dave

Tired of Waiting
04-14-2015, 01:48 PM
my condo is at rocky ledge (weirs beach) facing meridith..ice is getting very dark, and moving away from irwins pier and most of the shoreline. I'm guessing another week, and we'll see some major open water.

Welcome to the forum.

Now go get a VERY BIG shaker of salt cause you'll be tossing some over your shoulder around here!:D Cause of folks like me.


Lots of good folks with lots of help and info.


ToW

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-14-2015, 01:55 PM
Hello paugusbayfirefighter
if possible when paugusbay is clear of ice post it here
what happened to our docs last year was terrible
hope we get through this year without damage
Im located at shipahoy condos 301 weirs blvd
if its ice free for saturday i will head up and get the boat lift in

Thank You
Dave

Dave, I'll keep you updated. Hopefully the ice just dissapears. It appears to be rotting into candle ice... Crossing my fingers for both of us.

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-14-2015, 04:34 PM
Please post if you have news on ice-out on Lily Pond.

IG. Lily Pond is BLACK. Much darker than yesterday with open water around the shore line and steel light towers. I wouldn't be surprised if Lily's ice is gone tomorrow. This picture was taken driving down the bypass, not a great shot but you get the picture!

ishoot308
04-14-2015, 05:17 PM
Here's a couple pics from my deck overlooking the broads. That's Welch island in the first pic, the second is looking just east of Welch directly at the broads. No open water, just looks like it but it is very dark in places!!

ishoot308
04-14-2015, 05:20 PM
Come on ice out!!!!!

meredith weekender
04-14-2015, 06:49 PM
15mph winds tomorrow afternoon and night. This could definitely do some damage to the ice, hopefully not the docks. :eek::eek:

rgilfert
04-15-2015, 06:10 AM
FYI, from today's Union Leader .....

Steveo
04-15-2015, 11:25 AM
Is out to the bandstand :banana::banana::banana:

Chaos
04-15-2015, 12:05 PM
We've got an Ice breaker at Black Cat ! :)

PastorT
04-15-2015, 12:09 PM
Wow, I guess someone just can't wait till ice-out... hahahaha

Pine Island Guy
04-15-2015, 12:19 PM
much more exciting than watching grass grow or paint dry :)

AmericanBoatClub
04-15-2015, 12:41 PM
Melt!
Over looking Akwa Marina Yacht Club towards Meredith

jazzman
04-15-2015, 12:55 PM
Not much melting on the Broads side of Big Barndoor Island...

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-15-2015, 01:44 PM
This is Lily Pond about 1/2 an hour ago. Gusty wind out of the NE is ripping it apart. This morning it was all ice, now two thirds of Lily is water!

Winni_Bay. The ice along Weirs Blvd. is starting to break up. The winds are in your favor today although the ice is very close to your posts. The slab that's close is not huge and probably thin, the wind is helping. I'll take another look later.

fatlazyless
04-15-2015, 01:51 PM
Looks like the ice sheet is getting mushy ..... changing from white to grey to black.....watched an eagle land on the ice sheet earlier this morning, about 10' from open shoreline water .... only to see it break through the slushy ice and fall into the water.....weighing maybe five pounds .....did not seem to bother the eagle one little bit....it took it all in stride....it happened again in another nearby spot and this eagle was totally nonchalant about it ..... the eagle was stepping along......slowly walking across the ice and seemed to be scanning the water depths......when all of a sudden it broke through the slushy ice......must have been stalking a fish or something to eat....at the time?


And no, it was not wearing a pfd!

Slickcraft
04-15-2015, 02:06 PM
My wife was kind enough to stop by Lincoln Park today and snap some photos (while I am stuck at home with a cold). Not too long before the 1st trip out to Welch.

Winni_Bay
04-15-2015, 05:27 PM
thanks for the update Paugusbayfirefighter
hope to get through this week without damage

on another note where is Lincoln Park how do you get there looks like great view from that park thanks for any info

pjard
04-15-2015, 05:47 PM
thanks for the update Paugusbayfirefighter
hope to get through this week without damage

on another note where is Lincoln Park how do you get there looks like great view from that park thanks for any info

It's in Gilford, Belknap Point Road.

ishoot308
04-15-2015, 06:02 PM
Lily pond was 90% open when I went by just a little while ago. Should be clear by morning.

So is Lily pond a one or two week indicator of ice out?? Hopefully one! :D

Dan

upthesaukee
04-15-2015, 06:23 PM
Lily pond was 90% open when I went by just a little while ago. Should be clear by morning.

So is Lily pond a one or two week indicator of ice out?? Hopefully one! :D

Dan


Week to 10 days.

Mink Islander
04-15-2015, 06:44 PM
View from Mink looking north this A.M.

depasseg
04-15-2015, 07:49 PM
Almost open in front of Trexler's by the Long Island Bridge.

AmericanBoatClub
04-16-2015, 08:07 AM
Lots of melt even over night

Old Sarge
04-16-2015, 09:26 AM
According to the lakeport line the lake has reached 39 Degrees---Won't be long now! :)

Tired of Waiting
04-16-2015, 09:53 AM
My wife was kind enough to stop by Lincoln Park today and snap some photos (while I am stuck at home with a cold). Not too long before the 1st trip out to Welch.

Not looking good at all. Come on ice hang in there!! I know you can make it!! Just a week and two days to go and I could win the contest. So hang in there for just a little longer.











ToW ducks and slinks out of the room hoping no one will notice.

Pineedles
04-16-2015, 12:13 PM
Can someone tell me or post a link to the ice-out contest. I can't find it anywhere.:)

Tired of Waiting
04-16-2015, 12:21 PM
Can someone tell me or post a link to the ice-out contest. I can't find it anywhere.:)

Here you go Pins


http://www.winnipesaukee.com/contests/2015/


ToW

webmaster
04-16-2015, 12:24 PM
Can someone tell me or post a link to the ice-out contest. I can't find it anywhere.:)On the homepage of the site there is a link to the Ice-Out page on the left side under "Articles - Information".

AC2717
04-16-2015, 12:58 PM
well I'm out
my guess was April 15th 9:52am

AmericanBoatClub
04-16-2015, 02:44 PM
Lily Pond is ice free. Start the one week clock

Dad sold the C * C
04-16-2015, 03:27 PM
As noted there has been a big change since Sunday. I had to come up today as the Roofers were here (that's another post). We are on the west side, south of Pot island; the shoreline is almost free and the middle of the lake is very dark.

Inside the cabin was mid 40's, up 10 degrees from Sunday, can almost turn the water on. Most of the snow is gone. Guess I better go to Killington this weekend :cool:

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-16-2015, 04:43 PM
This video was recorded April 12th. Lots of changes since then but a great video showing our frozen lake!

Credit Bill Hemmel for the great shots.

https://vimeo.com/125089988

Winni_Bay
04-16-2015, 06:08 PM
thanks paugusbay firefighter nice video

how's progress on Paugus bay think it will be ice free for Saturday

Thanks

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-16-2015, 06:28 PM
thanks paugusbay firefighter nice video

how's progress on Paugus bay think it will be ice free for Saturday

Thanks

Paugus is black. The coves are clear. There are open water cracks across the ice. It's now a few very large slabs that have not drifted too much. Some wind out of the SW tomorrow will have my attention. Not sure about ice free. 24 hours will tell a lot. I have 40 degree water temp @1.5'.

I sent you a PM with some info on your docks.

Winni_Bay
04-16-2015, 06:36 PM
yeah southwest wind could do damage to
I sent you a PM reply
thanks for your help highly appreciated

TiltonBB
04-16-2015, 06:54 PM
Paugus is black. The coves are clear. There are open water cracks across the ice. It's now a few very large slabs that have not drifted too much. Some wind out of the SW tomorrow will have my attention. Not sure about ice free. 24 hours will tell a lot. I have 40 degree water temp @1.5'.

I sent you a PM with some info on your docks.

My recollection from many years of watching the water temperature is this: It seemed like every year that I put my boat in within a few days of ice out the first temperature reading on the depth finder was 42 degrees and that was very consistent, year after year.

If you have 40 degrees now then it is very close! Bring on summer!

party.of.five
04-16-2015, 07:56 PM
My web cam showed significant change today in the channel between moultonborough bay and Ambrose. The ice much darker just since yesterday. I'llcheck again in the morning and post a picture.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Pine Island Guy
04-17-2015, 07:22 AM
it won't be long now, if we get a good breeze, it should disappear in a heartbeat!!

Out to the island!! -PIG

Merrymeeting
04-17-2015, 07:41 AM
Looking at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club cam, it appears that the whole ice pack has shifted toward the docks (not a good thing for any structures if the pack is moving fast and still has all that mass). So things are shifting.

Interestingly, other views are very different. Snake Eyes view still looks very locked in. The view there is similar to what I see out my windows on Merrymeeting. Still fairly solid looking and not quite dark enough yet.

I hope all of this softens and breaks up more before the predicted winds over the weekend or else there could be a lot of damage.

riverat
04-17-2015, 07:48 AM
http://i130.photobucket.com/albums/p277/riverat2000/10151927_10201869771214915_8014936671573819085_n.j pg (http://s130.photobucket.com/user/riverat2000/media/10151927_10201869771214915_8014936671573819085_n.j pg.html)

Island Girl
04-17-2015, 09:38 AM
A view of Rattlesnake Island this morning, April 17, 2015. You are seeing all ice.

http://69.21.83.38:1031/axis-cgi/jpg/image.cgi?resolution=640x480

Island Girl
04-17-2015, 09:50 AM
Sometimes people change the address of their webcams and it takes me a while to find them again. Today the Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm (http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm) has three cams restored, Cow Cam, Winnipesaukee.net cam (middle of Alton Bay), and the Channel Cam at the Wiers channel.

I am still looking for Overlook Cam in Paugus Bay and the Welch Island Cam. If you know the addresses of any Winnipesaukee Cams please let me know on this thread.

Some of us just can't get enough!

For those of you with private cams, please take a shot of your view from time to time and post here so we can see the state of ice-out.

Thanks
IG (and the rest of the anxious ice-out watchers. :D

Blue Thunder
04-17-2015, 10:33 AM
As an aside I always marvel at how fast the "views" of this thread escalate as we near ice out. It's well over 1,000 views per day at this point.

BT

Just Sold
04-17-2015, 10:34 AM
Sometimes people change the address of their webcams and it takes me a while to find them again. Today the Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm (http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm) has three cams restored, Cow Cam, Winnipesaukee.net cam (middle of Alton Bay), and the Channel Cam at the Wiers channel.

I am still looking for Overlook Cam in Paugus Bay and the Welch Island Cam. If you know the addresses of any Winnipesaukee Cams please let me know on this thread.

Some of us just can't get enough!

For those of you with private cams, please take a shot of your view from time to time and post here so we can see the state of ice-out.

Thanks
IG (and the rest of the anxious ice-out watchers. :D

IG you should ad the Melvin Village Marina Web Cam - http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

Broken Glass
04-17-2015, 10:47 AM
Sometimes people change the address of their webcams and it takes me a while to find them again. Today the Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm (http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm) has three cams restored, Cow Cam, Winnipesaukee.net cam (middle of Alton Bay), and the Channel Cam at the Wiers channel.

I am still looking for Overlook Cam in Paugus Bay and the Welch Island Cam. If you know the addresses of any Winnipesaukee Cams please let me know on this thread.

Some of us just can't get enough!

For those of you with private cams, please take a shot of your view from time to time and post here so we can see the state of ice-out.

Thanks
IG (and the rest of the anxious ice-out watchers. :D

Hi Island Girl
The Paugus Bay camera was mine when I had a place at Overlook in Paugus Bay. We now have a place on Rattlesnake so the Paugus Bay Camera is no longer active.
Thank you for all the work you do with Ice Out. It is addictive but in a good way!!
Dan

Island Girl
04-17-2015, 10:53 AM
IG you should ad the Melvin Village Marina Web Cam - http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

Scroll down the page. Since this cam is a live view and not an image, I don't display on the page as it would take too long to load and mobile users don't like that. I link to the cams that are video bases below the images. Corinthian is another live cam you will find there. Just click on the image for those cams and the video will begin.

Some live cams also display an image to which I can link. I cannot find that for the Melvin Village Cam.

Thanks for taking the time to post

IG

depasseg
04-17-2015, 10:56 AM
Can you add this to the iceout page? It's a view of the Long Island Bridge. It's temporarily public to watch iceout.
http://dropc.am/p/vdYmGT

depasseg
04-17-2015, 11:23 AM
Here's a timelapse in front of the Long Island Bridge from yesterday (4/16). There's a lot of changes.
https://youtu.be/Owg5CAl9Xps

SteveA
04-17-2015, 11:25 AM
I have April 19th 2.15PM.. I think I'm a little too early with that quess!

Island Girl
04-17-2015, 11:30 AM
Can you add this to the iceout page? It's a view of the Long Island Bridge. It's temporarily public to watch iceout.
http://dropc.am/p/vdYmGT

You can now view this cam from the Snake Eyes Ice-Out page at www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm (http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm). Scroll down under the section labeled Live Video Cams

Island Girl
04-17-2015, 11:44 AM
Hi Island Girl
The Paugus Bay camera was mine when I had a place at Overlook in Paugus Bay. We now have a place on Rattlesnake so the Paugus Bay Camera is no longer active.
Thank you for all the work you do with Ice Out. It is addictive but in a good way!!
Dan

Thanks, Dan and welcome to Rattlesnake Island, drop by and say hello!

IG

riverat
04-17-2015, 12:35 PM
I have April 19th 2.15PM.. I think I'm a little too early with that quess!

Same here Steve, I have April 19th at 3:05pm

JerseyGuy
04-17-2015, 01:40 PM
Here's a Skype shot from our camp taken across Wentworth Cove just now. That's Governor's Island across the way. The GI bridge is to the left and Saunder's Bay would be to the right.

AkwaMarina
04-17-2015, 02:01 PM
Just activated our webcam for the season.

http://akwamarina.com/Home/WebCam

May 15th can't get here fast enough!

Misha888
04-17-2015, 02:32 PM
is out there trying to break up the ice out towards the broads in Gilford.

MGWillia
04-17-2015, 03:15 PM
Looks like Bay ice will be past Sandy Point by the end of the weekend... Lots of fisherman in small craft

Merrymeeting
04-17-2015, 03:48 PM
Drove by Sunset Lake this afternoon, a man-made lake in Middleton. Yesterday it was still totally ice covered. Today almost ice free.

It's usually a week or so ahead of the bigger lakes.

party.of.five
04-17-2015, 06:27 PM
http://images.tapatalk-cdn.com/15/04/17/800d83e93aa7f2680bfe50499e6da2c8.jpg

I'm a little later with this than I'd planned but it was super foggy this morning and you couldn't see anything from the webcam. Those rocks beyond the dock were surrounded by ice yesterday. It's getting there!

(This is the channel between Ambrose Cove and Moultonborough Bay)


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

rscalzo
04-17-2015, 10:19 PM
Right here.

http://www.winnipesaukee.com/index.php?pageid=iceout

ishoot308
04-18-2015, 05:28 AM
Saunders bay was still locked in solid last night.

Fay's boatyard had a few boats in the water but they weren't going anywhere as there was still ice 25 yards out from the docks.

Here's a few more shots taken this morning off my deck. Everything south of Welch is very black and ready to break up with some help from the wind. Everything North of Welch still looks white and more solid.

ishoot308
04-18-2015, 05:31 AM
Looking at broads...

ishoot308
04-18-2015, 05:33 AM
Southern broads....

Mink Islander
04-18-2015, 08:23 AM
Any day now....

Pine Island Guy
04-18-2015, 01:01 PM
Came out to the island this morning and it was pretty clear all the way around... however now a pretty good breeze from the south has brought the ice back in... We'll see what it is like Monday morning when we try to leave for work... "I'm sorry, can't get off island until the ice melts"

-PIG

Winni_Bay
04-18-2015, 02:40 PM
Paugus bay firefighter
how's the ice doing on paugusbay
didn't have time to get up there today looks like ligh winds

pjard
04-18-2015, 04:06 PM
It was hard to tell for sure because the ice is the same color as the water but it looked totally clear from Ames Farm all the way to Diamond Island!

Merrymeeting
04-18-2015, 04:08 PM
Looking at WeirsCam and Wolfeboro cams, there are significant change going on. The ice pack in those areas seems to be breaking up and disintegrating, while places on the northern side of the lake still seem more solid.

upthesaukee
04-18-2015, 04:27 PM
Alton bay out to the markers at Sandy Point and beyond.

Sent from my GT-P5210 using Tapatalk

Mink Islander
04-18-2015, 05:07 PM
Latest from the north side of Mink Island

DRH
04-18-2015, 05:26 PM
The ice in our cove is receding quickly now, and the remaining ice is getting darker each day. Here's an image from the Echo Shores Webcam taken just before 6 PM this afternoon:

http://echoshores.com/Webcam%20Images/webcam_04182015.jpg

(The islands are Sleepers (on left), Cub, and Treasure, with Rattlesnake in the background.)

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-18-2015, 05:28 PM
Paugus ice is drifting with the wind. I can see ice piling on shores both east, west and south of me. I don't think its damaging anything. It appears to be breaking up on contact. Every shift of wind breaks the floe into smaller pieces.

Winni_Bay
04-18-2015, 05:44 PM
that's good news
hopefully within a couple days it will all be gone with no damage
thanks for the report

Irish Choppers
04-18-2015, 05:52 PM
The ice has pretty much moved out of the inner harbor past Meredith Marina. I was working on my balcony today(right next to the Meredith Yacht Club) and was pleasantly surprised to see the Loons are back!

jeffatsquam
04-18-2015, 05:57 PM
The ice in our cove is receding quickly now, and the remaining ice is getting darker each day. Here's an image from the Echo Shores Webcam taken just before 6 PM this afternoon:

http://echoshores.com/Webcam%20Images/webcam_04182015.jpg

(The islands are Sleepers (on left), Cub, and Treasure, with Rattlesnake in the background.)

That is a very interesting image I don't think I recall seeing one quite like that before, the reflection so perfect on the calm water and then none on the ice.

Island Girl
04-18-2015, 06:54 PM
Minge Cove Marina is out to nearly the mouth. I will post more pics tonight of our trip to the lake today.

Misha888
04-18-2015, 08:01 PM
by the time the sun went down there was about 200' of more blue. It is still solid between VP and Lockes. There is still a patch of ice between Fay's and the first channel marker. I'm feeling confident about my guess.

Island Girl
04-18-2015, 08:31 PM
Ice-water line at Sandy Point in Alton Bay.

Island Girl
04-18-2015, 08:41 PM
Minge Cove was completely iced in on Thursday. Today, Saturday, the marina is clear and the ice line is nearly to the blinking light\marker.

LadyJane
04-18-2015, 08:51 PM
I just want to thank all of you who are posting pictures. They make my day !!

Eagle's Nest
04-19-2015, 06:11 AM
It's really great to get back on the Forum and see so many posts on Ice-Out. Thanks to all for the pictures!

SteveA
04-19-2015, 06:13 AM
This was taken at dawn 4-19 from Big Pier at LSP lookihng toward Diamond and Rattlesnake. Last night this view was open water for about 3 football fields.

Looks like the ice is moving around alot with the wind.

Yesterday AM there were guys in small boats and one guy with waders on fishing off Ellacoya, that area is now full of pack ice.

10568

smith point boater
04-19-2015, 07:14 AM
View from Smith Point a little after 7am. Still plenty of ice between here and Rattlesnake and Sleepers and Wolfeboro. Lots of ice moved late yesterday and last nite in the Ames Farm area

Mink Islander
04-19-2015, 07:31 AM
Won't be long now.

Merrymeeting
04-19-2015, 07:53 AM
Let's hope there is a LOT of melting today. This from the National Weather Service..

* From Monday evening through Wednesday morning

* low pressure will develop off the mid Atlantic coast on Monday
and move northeastward into the Gulf of Maine Tuesday. At this
time it looks as though this low will produce anywhere between 1
to 2.5 inches of rain across much of the area... with locally
higher amounts possible. The heaviest rainfall should occur
Monday night into early Tuesday... but runoff and additional
snowmelt will keep the threat for flooding going through at
least Tuesday night. The heaviest rainfall is expected on the
coastal plain as well as the east slopes of the White Mountains
northeastward into the Maine foothills.

* Rivers are already gradually on the rise from snowmelt over the
past few weeks. 1 to 2.5 inches of rainfall will allow some
rivers to rise to bankfull and even overflow their banks.
Additional ice movement is likely as well. Urban and poor
drainage flooding is also expected... especially Monday night and
the morning hours on Tuesday.

Along with prediction for high winds tomorrow, there could be a lot of damage if large ice packs start moving around.

JerseyGuy
04-19-2015, 08:17 AM
I checked our Skype cam this morning and Wentworth cove is ice free.

ishoot308
04-19-2015, 09:27 AM
Lots and lots of open water!!

What a difference a day makes! I'll be on the island and fishing next weekend!!

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-19-2015, 09:28 AM
What Merrymeeting said...East facing shorelines are in the crosshairs for ice damage. Hopefully today's sun and breeze helps.

Greene's Basin Girl
04-19-2015, 11:16 AM
The ice went out in Green's Basin (the northwest tip of the lake) today and thus far we have seen one loon. It is almost time to call the marina for our boats.

Slickcraft
04-19-2015, 11:51 AM
From Lincoln Park on Belknap Point today. A small amphibious plane landed and took a short ride on the water.

Still ice to the north and in the Broads. Clear from Glendale out past FL26, still some slush in the main boat launch ramp. Smith come mostly clear, some ice at the neck.

boat_guy64
04-19-2015, 01:48 PM
Meredith Bay view from Grouse Point. Big changes since Saturday afternoon and some big mobile pieces of ice out there.

MGWillia
04-19-2015, 03:22 PM
Ice is out of Alton Bay, all the way to Sandy Point!

party.of.five
04-19-2015, 03:51 PM
The ice is out in the channel. Just some floating bits left.

http://images.tapatalk-cdn.com/15/04/19/68e959dddab5dc71aed65fa39621302d.jpg


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Merrymeeting
04-19-2015, 05:18 PM
First loon seen and photographed on Merrymeeting today. Pretty amazing given how little open water we have right now.

gokart-mozart
04-19-2015, 05:29 PM
Ice-out should be tomorrow, or Tuesday at the latest.

About 50% of the ice there this morning is gone now, and it's flat calm.

phoenix
04-19-2015, 05:42 PM
Just week by center harbor and there is a
Lot of ice looks like a while before they are free and mount is sitting there

PaugusBayFireFighter
04-19-2015, 05:47 PM
Paugus Bay has a lot of slabs of rotting ice. The wind broke it up pretty good today, should be ice free with tomorrow's rain and wind.

I made this video today showing the candle ice on Paugus.

<iframe width="853" height="480" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/X5u3nGRCDe4?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
http://youtu.be/X5u3nGRCDe4

MAXUM
04-19-2015, 07:02 PM
Went out to BI today, left from Sheps, there was a nice open swath of water out to the Post Office in the morning, by afternoon that open area had shifted several hundred yards south replaced with packed in ice sheets. Had to do a little "ice breaking" to get back to open water when I left. What ice is out there is either candle ice or quickly loosing it's integrity. I broke through with a wooden paddle where I needed to with little effort. I won't last long I have no doubt it'll be gone this week.

smith point boater
04-20-2015, 05:51 AM
At 5pm yesterday a light breeze picked up and the ice just opened up from Smith Point to Rattlesnake in a matter of minutes. More water than ice now!!

Phantom
04-20-2015, 06:11 AM
Here's a few more from Mountain View Yacht Club ... looking out ( taken late Sunday afternoon)

Take note of Snowcapped Mt Washington in the first two picture (this iPhone camera didn't do it justice)


.

Billy Bob
04-20-2015, 06:22 AM
The recent photos are starting to have a late impact on wildlife here in Florida !
Until yesterday our population of Snow Birds had stayed in place and delayed the spring migration north to the summer nesting grounds. Yesterday there was talk around the Florida pools , where the birds gather , about starting the flight north ( lt was also about 90 and the birds are overheating )
They follow rt 95 and 93 north so be on the lookout for the overloaded flock
( they actually drive grand marqueis ) others will return soon but with a Southwest route

Mink Islander
04-20-2015, 07:56 AM
Even the deer are monitoring the situation.

Pineedles
04-20-2015, 08:00 AM
The recent photos are starting to have a late impact on wildlife here in Florida !
Until yesterday our population of Snow Birds had stayed in place and delayed the spring migration north to the summer nesting grounds. Yesterday there was talk around the Florida pools , where the birds gather , about starting the flight north ( lt was also about 90 and the birds are overheating )
They follow rt 95 and 93 north so be on the lookout for the overloaded flock
( they actually drive grand marqueis ) others will return soon but with a Southwest route

Two weeks ago we observed a huge migration on 95 N. in Virginia. They were as thick as molasses. Glad we were headed in the opposite direction, as we were headed for Myrtle Beach. There was a large concentration of the Winnebago species in the flock.

Old Sarge
04-20-2015, 08:18 AM
The data phone at lakeport reports the lake temperature at 41 Degrees!:)

MAXUM
04-20-2015, 09:02 AM
From yesterday....

From the top, BI post office Sunday morning, open water looking back to the mainland.

Ice flow that came in later on in the afternoon, and making may way very slowly out of the ice flow and into open water.

Final shot is from the N/E side of Bear looking across. While that may look pretty solid, by afternoon there was a major crack that opened up about 15 feet wide from Bear all the way to the mainland. Further more sitting along shore I could hear the ice grinding along with major cracking and buckling along the shore.

Fish finder was reporting a surface water temp of 39.1 degrees

Slickcraft
04-20-2015, 09:26 AM
Still a lot of ice out there. The wind shift to the NE brought ice in toward Belknap Point this morning spanning the width of the photo. An hour after this photo, the ice sheet was against Belknap Point extending north to Locke's blocking access to Glendale via FL26. Tomorrow afternoon's wind shift to W will bring who knows what.

Island Girl
04-20-2015, 09:59 AM
Someone should move that little boat on the beach at Akwa Marina. If the wind continues to pile ice on the shore, it will get schmushed.
;)

JerseyGuy
04-20-2015, 10:43 AM
It appears that the ice from Saunders Bay has been blown into Wentworth cove which was ice free on Saturday.:(

Island Girl
04-20-2015, 11:37 AM
Someone should move that little boat on the beach at Akwa Marina. If the wind continues to pile ice on the shore, it will get schmushed.
;)

Either someone moved it or it is already schmushed. I hope someone moved it. :rolleye2:

Rattlesnake Gal
04-20-2015, 12:03 PM
It's pretty cool to see the ice move around on the WeirsCam time-lapse (http://www.winnipesaukee.com/index.php?pageid=weirscamtimelapse) video!

Lake temperature is at 41°!

AkwaMarina
04-20-2015, 01:50 PM
Someone should move that little boat on the beach at Akwa Marina. If the wind continues to pile ice on the shore, it will get schmushed.
;)

Some one must have moved it ☺

Here is a video of the ice shifting, and make a lot of noise, like a big wind chime

http://youtu.be/s-hb--Cr9HE

Webbsatwinni
04-20-2015, 02:18 PM
And the northern side of Rattlesnake is clear in the broads.

Island Girl
04-20-2015, 02:41 PM
Thanks for the images. I was getting discouraged looking at my dock which shows no progress for a few days. Now I know it is really happening. There should be some big changes overnight. (my dock is about a mile south east of webssatwinni's dock.

IG

pontoonbarge
04-20-2015, 02:45 PM
I just followed the link from Rattlesnakecam.com for time lapse video, and the last few frames showed some motion!!

www.rattlesnakecam.com

party.of.five
04-20-2015, 03:42 PM
Keeping an eye on my dock...not liking the looks of this. I should stop looking, shouldn't I? [emoji15]

Good news? The ice is still out of the channel lol.



http://images.tapatalk-cdn.com/15/04/20/482a4fcca103ee9013bfa3cdc1df5ebe.jpg


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Misha888
04-20-2015, 05:16 PM
ice is moving back into Smith cove. What a difference a day makes. This was yesterday from VPR looking at Belknap Point. I'd go take pics now, but I refuse to get pelted with sleet.

pjard
04-20-2015, 05:53 PM
Yesterday afternoon was wide open from Belknap Point to Welch. I just drove by it now and it looks you could drive a tractor trailer across the ice...amazing what a shift in wind can do.

Accipiter290
04-21-2015, 07:07 AM
looks you could drive a tractor trailer across the ice...

Gonna have to advise against that :laugh:

SteveA
04-21-2015, 07:15 AM
Took this early this morning from Lincoln Park. Smith Cove is also completely locked up with ice. I'm looking like a loser with my 2.15PM today pick! :rolleye1:

10601

depasseg
04-21-2015, 07:26 AM
Took this early this morning from Lincoln Park. Smith Cove is also completely locked up with ice. I'm looking like a loser with my 2.15PM today pick! :rolleye1:

Don't beat yourself up. I had yesterday! :laugh:

Merrymeeting
04-21-2015, 07:38 AM
Took this one about an hour ago. Wolfeboro Bay is mostly open except for ice over by Goodhue Hawkins. However, once the wind shifts to the west, as predicted for later this morning, I expect much of the ice out on the lake will move back in.

depasseg
04-21-2015, 07:39 AM
I love watching the ice move around.

https://youtu.be/VfmDE8hI6pE

depasseg
04-21-2015, 07:41 AM
Anyone up for for some tubing?

Misha888
04-21-2015, 07:50 AM
that my Sat. or Sun. 11 a.m. prediction is good.

I can't remember which day guessed. Does anyone have the link to where the predictions are?

FOUND It: http://www.winnipesaukee.com/contests/2015/

I'd be more confident if my guess was Sat. @ 11:37 a.m.

Don't beat yourself up. I had yesterday! :laugh:

Rich
04-21-2015, 08:15 AM
My guess may be close (this Thursday)! If it was only a bit warmer (I wonder if they will check for ice-out on a rainy day?):

April 23rd at 2:15 pm
http://www.winnipesaukee.com/contests/2015/index.cgi?read=609

gokart-mozart
04-21-2015, 10:15 AM
Lake Wentworth is ice-free at sunrise today, 4-21-15.

Ice-in 2015 guesses start now.

Fargo
04-21-2015, 12:11 PM
Lilly Pond went out last Thursday so Winni goes a week later. Should be this Thursday.

Paugus bay girl
04-21-2015, 12:31 PM
Paugus went out late Sunday night, early Monday morning. I left for work at 11:30 AM yesterday and it was all gone. I want to get the boats and kayaks in!

Pine Island Guy
04-21-2015, 12:52 PM
Sunday morning was wide open... today, not so much! -PIG

pjard
04-21-2015, 01:12 PM
Just drove from Smith Cove down to Ames Farm....some ice near Smith Cove but as you head south it is totally open. The broads looks completely clear.

Island Girl
04-21-2015, 02:10 PM
We put the boat in Saturday... all dressed up and nowhere to go!

Chaos
04-21-2015, 02:32 PM
A lot of the web cams are showing open water. I wonder if the ice will make it to Saturday (my ice out guess).

Paugus bay girl
04-21-2015, 02:56 PM
Sunday morning was wide open... today, not so much! -PIG

all of that will melt pretty quick though.The same thing happened on Paugus, all the ice floated to the shore then it was gone by the next day.

JerseyGuy
04-21-2015, 03:22 PM
Wentworth Cove was jammed up this morning and ice free this afternoon. It looks quite clear in front of the Weirs cam too. I'm thinking maybe even tomorrow.:)

Patofnaud
04-21-2015, 03:29 PM
Ice Out isn't going to happen until Thursday at 3:33 in the afternoon, exactly. :coolsm:

Ryan
04-21-2015, 03:34 PM
I'd be surprised if it isn't within 24 hours. Ice that filled the cove this morning is completely gone.

Island Girl
04-21-2015, 04:43 PM
My unscientific calculation is that there are 45 guesses for the 22nd, 41 for the 23rd and 31 for the 24th.

My guess was today about an hour ago, April 21st. There is still ice in front of my camp, so I lose...again.. All day I thought my guess was the 23rd. Must do something about my memory!


Happy Spring, Happy Ice-Out to all

:D :coolsm: :D :coolsm: :D :coolsm:

Island Girl
04-21-2015, 04:59 PM
From Emerson Aviation. Click on one of the pictures then you can go forward or backward for all of them.

https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=847977808571356&id=131847876851023


IG

2DAMTS
04-21-2015, 09:03 PM
Thursday 4/23/15 at noon ice out!

Blue Thunder
04-22-2015, 05:46 AM
Ice out on Sebago was yesterday. If history is any indication, Sebago and Winnipesaukee are always within 3-4 days of each other.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Island Girl
04-22-2015, 06:31 AM
A beautiful morning captured on a webcam.

SIKSUKR
04-22-2015, 06:49 AM
Ice out on Sebago was yesterday. If history is any indication, Sebago and Winnipesaukee are always within 3-4 days of each other.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I thought Sebago only froze about 1/4 of the time?

ishoot308
04-22-2015, 07:10 AM
A beautiful morning captured on a webcam.

That is just an awesome pic Island Girl!!

Thanks for sharing!!!

Dan

jazzman
04-22-2015, 11:34 AM
Looks like the ice is all flowing down the Broads... There is plenty down near BarnDoor Island still.

Slickcraft
04-22-2015, 12:32 PM
Clear of ice from Fay's to Welch today. It was great to be able to look across to Belknap Point from Welch.

No ice damage at our camp nor did we see any damage walking two camps north and south.

Island Girl
04-22-2015, 01:00 PM
View from Brookwoods Conference Center in Alton. This was full of ice a couple of hours ago. Though not quite clear.... it is gettin' there!

Merrymeeting
04-22-2015, 01:55 PM
I think we could have ice-out on Merrymeeting sometime around sunset today. The few remaining ice packs are being gently pushed by the wind into the northern coves, breaking up, and disappearing quickly.

We seem to have had an almost perfect ice-out this year. With a few exceptions (like picture post in "Ice monster awakens" thread), the ice has receded/melted in place, and what little movement there was has been relatively gentle with no large ice masses slamming into things.

Despite the bitterly cold winter, and some with doubts, Mother Nature has once again delivered an average time ice-out.

Island Girl
04-22-2015, 02:09 PM
These images are four minutes apart starting at 2:13 PM (bottom image) until 2:53 PM (top left image). It is going fast!

Jersey Ed
04-22-2015, 02:26 PM
Yep, going fast, I've been watching the Wolfboro cam and that seems to be where it is going.

Dad sold the C * C
04-22-2015, 02:33 PM
I have not seen any ice on the big part of Winnisquam since early yesterday morning. My camera looks south east towards Laconia.
Sorry can't do pics from work.

AC2717
04-22-2015, 02:47 PM
Send the Plane UP!!!!!!!!

Merrymeeting
04-22-2015, 03:19 PM
Send the Plane UP!!!!!!!!

See Emerson Aviation Facebook page.

NewHaHagirl
04-22-2015, 05:19 PM
Ok, newbie question. Who actually makes the decision on when it's "ice-out"? And does the Mount actually make the trip once ice out is declared?

Thanks!

Fargo
04-22-2015, 05:36 PM
Wind has been gusting at the lake this evening. I'll be amazed if any ice left will last through the night.

Rattlesnake Gal
04-22-2015, 05:48 PM
Ok, newbie question. Who actually makes the decision on when it's "ice-out"? And does the Mount actually make the trip once ice out is declared?

Thanks!

Emerson Aviaion declares ice-out.

No, the Mount does not leave her Center Harbor winter dock until the Shakedown Cruise.

Welcome to the Forum, NewHaHagirl!

NewHaHagirl
04-22-2015, 05:56 PM
Thank you Rattlesnake Girl! Shakedown Cruise???

Merrymeeting
04-22-2015, 06:09 PM
Thank you Rattlesnake Girl! Shakedown Cruise???

The first cruise of the season. By invite only (and a very coveted invite it is!). Usually some time in early May, in preparation for the first big cruise of the year...Mother's Day!

pjard
04-22-2015, 06:29 PM
If you look at the Emerson footage and all the web cams it looks like the east side of Rattlesnake and Wolfeboro bay have ice. I didn't see any other ice except in the Captain 'n Diet I just poured. This wind could do the trick overnight. Tomorrow may be the day!

Rattlesnake Gal
04-22-2015, 06:34 PM
Thank you Rattlesnake Girl! Shakedown Cruise???

This first cruise of the year actually serves as a state inspection. As Merrymeeting stated, it is a big media event that occurs before the first public cruise of the year on Mother's Day. Very often state and local official are invited as well as many members of the tourism industry.

Here is the link for the Shakedown Cruise from 2012 (http://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13969)

MikeF-NH
04-22-2015, 06:41 PM
one of the areas of the lake that does not get good visibility from webcams and that Emerson seems to skip is the water from Moultonboro Bay out to Hole in the Wall past Chases Island and Chase Point.

Does anyone have any visibility in that area of the lake? If so, how close is it to being able to take a boat ride from say 19 Mile Bay to Hole in the Wall or Long Island Bridge area???

Rattlesnake Gal
04-22-2015, 06:50 PM
Does this help?

Lakegeezer
04-22-2015, 06:59 PM
All of Moultonborough Bay, from Melvin Bay north, is free of ice.

pontoonbarge
04-22-2015, 07:02 PM
Well, as I obsessively watch the melting -- eagerly waiting for the official beginning of summertime..... I'm psyched to see so much motion in the ice today!!

I note that I'm not alone in this obsession... 36000+ views on this thread.

Maybe a big "Hooray for Melting Ice" will help it dissipate!

Looking forward to seeing everyone out having fun on the __melted__ ice quite soon!

Best Wishes!!

-PB

Rich
04-22-2015, 07:25 PM
Let's just get everyone that lives near the lake to take drive down to their local shore line in their car, then turn the heat up high in their car and open the windows!

For those of you on any islands or waterfront homes, please do the same, crank up any thermostats on your heat, and/or light any wood-stoves and fireplaces, then open your windows on the lake side of your home.

This should put us over the edge and give us ice out tomorrow! :D

chasedawg
04-22-2015, 09:17 PM
one of the areas of the lake that does not get good visibility from webcams and that Emerson seems to skip is the water from Moultonboro Bay out to Hole in the Wall past Chases Island and Chase Point.

Does anyone have any visibility in that area of the lake? If so, how close is it to being able to take a boat ride from say 19 Mile Bay to Hole in the Wall or Long Island Bridge area???

I was out today past Chase Island and took a ride out to chase Point. Did not see any ice on water even towards hole In wall. I would say ice is definite out in that area

smith point boater
04-23-2015, 05:49 AM
Most of the cams (esp Rattlesnake) that showed ice yesterday look clear this AM. Maybe today is the day - or wishful thinking :laugh:

MikeF-NH
04-23-2015, 05:54 AM
Does this help?

Thanks RSG....I've been watching that shot on the ice out page but unfortunately it doesn't help. Historically, the ice can be stubborn from Chase Point out to Hole in the Wall/Six Pack/Barbers Pole which prevents travel through to the Broads from Melvin. That particular area seems to be a blind spot for webcams and because it is irrelevant to the Ice Out call by Emerson, it doesn't get any pictures when he makes his flights this time of year. I think this requires "boots on the ground".

pjard
04-23-2015, 06:16 AM
Most of the cams (esp Rattlesnake) that showed ice yesterday look clear this AM. Maybe today is the day - or wishful thinking :laugh:

Agree the change off Rattlesnake is amazing. However, Wolfeboro Bay still looks jammed. Can't be very strong or thick...maybe today.

CrownRay
04-23-2015, 07:04 AM
Here you go...

Rich
04-23-2015, 09:01 AM
I didn't think to ask those with long hair to get out some electrical extension cords and bring your hair dryers down to the edge of the lake, set them on high, an point them at the water!

Let's get this baby warmed up! :)

Rich
04-23-2015, 09:05 AM
Perhaps it's the wind pushing all the ice to this corner of the lake, but the last traces of ice I can see on the various webcams at 10:00 AM is in Wolfeboro:

http://www.wolfeborocam.com/images/camera0.jpg
(this image is live from the webcam and will change every time you view this thread)

Perhaps everyone should head to the Wofeboro docks and pour in a few cups of hot water!?!?!

Broken Glass
04-23-2015, 09:32 AM
Yesterday I completed a shakedown cruise on my new motor that was installed this winter by Dave's Motorboat. Minge cove to Paugus Bay and back without any major ice. there were a few ice flows by Welch and quite a bit of big ice east northeast of Rattlesnake. I am back out to Rattlesnake this morning and the run out from Minge had no ice is sight. Motor is awesome! If you are looking for a new four stroke Dave and Kate will take good care of you.
Now I have to get to work and stop staring at the webcam........