Live Tracking of the failing UARS satellite

[SteveA]

Live Tracking (Pretty cool site!)

http://www.n2yo.com/?s=21701

Table of tracks that intersect NH and the Lakes Region.

http://www.n2yo.com/passes/?s=21701

Odds of someone being hit by UARS 1 in 3500

http://www.theweatherspace.com/news/TWS-09_12_2011_uarsnasaspacedebris.html

Odds of winning Powerball

1 in 195,249,054 :laugh::laugh::laugh:

Go Figure, much better chance to get hit by a satellite! :rolleye1:

[Pineedles]

Thanks for the link SteveA! One note though, I couldn't help from thinking about it when I heard the odds on the news report about someone being hit by the debris vs. winning Powerball which is not a fair comparison. It should be odds of someone winning powerball for a given week, which is about 1 in 5. :D

[Slickcraft]

Thanks for the link SteveA! One note though, I couldn't help from thinking about it when I heard the odds on the news report about someone being hit by the debris vs. winning Powerball which is not a fair comparison. It should be odds of someone winning powerball for a given week, which is about 1 in 5. :D

Right you are, so far every announcer we have heard has got it wrong, even the NASA spokesperson.

The one in 3500 is the chance that someone somewhere on earth will be hit. With the earth population about 6.9 billion, 6.900,000,000 +/-, that puts the odds that I personally will be hit at about one in 24.15 trillion or one in 24,150,000,000,000.

[SteveA]

I stand corrected. I hate being wrong. ;)

"there are lies damned lies and statistics" :rolleye2:

[Rattlesnake Guy]

The odds of being hit by the satellite 10 minutes after winning power ball about 1 in 2. :D

[Pineedles]

Slickcraft your computations are pretty accurate! NASA put out another release today.

Nicholas Johnson, the head of NASA's Orbital Debris Program Office, has estimated that the chances that any of the UARS debris would hit anybody were 1 in 3,200 — which translates into a 1-in-20 trillion risk for any particular person (you, for example, unless you're living in, say, Finland ... in that case there's zero risk).

Don't worry SteveA, you can't believe everything that you read on the internet. :laugh:

RG, It would be 100% if it were I.:laugh:

[SteveA]

Don't worry SteveA, you can't believe everything that you read on the internet. :laugh:

Especially some of the stuff that SteveA guy posts! ;)

[dayvsea]

Well if it lands on our camp, maybe I can soak Uncle Sam for taking down the Hurricane battered pines.. (save $1200 a piece!):laugh:

[Gearhead]

The odds have come down quite a bit since Plymouth stopped making them. My mother's car was hit by one in 1978 in Sandwich. It was too bad because it was only about two weeks old.

[webmaster]

It might be helpful to review this report from when Skylab was about to come crashing down :laugh: :

<iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/NAr2HkQr1YM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

[SteveA]

Well if John Belushi thinks it's a problem, I guess I can relax! :rolleye1:

I really miss the "old" SNL.

[SteveA]

Check out the "views" of this thread, over 5,300 and climbing. I think the Title must have been very close to what lot's of folks typed in as a search!

Well, welcome folks! Stick around and learn all about Lake Winnipesaukee!

I just checked and it does come up #3 on Google with the search "Live Tracking the UARS".

The Live Tracking site in Post #1 has been down all day. Over loaded is my quess.

[riverat]

It is down, somewhere.