Go Back   Winnipesaukee Forum > Winnipesaukee Forums > Weather
Home Forums Gallery Webcams Blogs YouTube Channel Classifieds Calendar Register FAQDonate Members List Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-26-2009, 10:33 AM   #1
chipj29
Senior Member
 
chipj29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Bow
Posts: 1,874
Thanks: 521
Thanked 308 Times in 162 Posts
Default Hurricane Danny?

Well, looks like Tropical Storm Danny has formed, and it looks like it will become Hurricane Danny in the next day or 2. Keep your eye on the storm track though. As of this morning, the NHC has New Hampshire inside the "cone". It looks as though the center could pass right over Cape Cod. Being on the western side of a cane or even tropical storm could bring us some decent wind gusts and certainly some rain. Nothing we haven't seen before...but definately something to keep an eye on.
__________________
Getting ready for winter!
chipj29 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-27-2009, 01:12 PM   #2
meteotrade
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Moultonboro
Posts: 95
Thanks: 0
Thanked 16 Times in 6 Posts
Default

Wind won't be a factor for the Lakes Region but rain will be. Be prepared for 1-3" of ran and the potential for some minor flooding, especially during the day Saturday. Sunday will turn warmer and drier- at least we'll salvage one day this weekend.
meteotrade is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-27-2009, 05:33 PM   #3
LIforrelaxin
Senior Member
 
LIforrelaxin's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Long Island, not that one, the one on Winnipesaukee
Posts: 2,813
Thanks: 1,011
Thanked 878 Times in 513 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by meteotrade View Post
Wind won't be a factor for the Lakes Region but rain will be. Be prepared for 1-3" of ran and the potential for some minor flooding, especially during the day Saturday. Sunday will turn warmer and drier- at least we'll salvage one day this weekend.
What makes you think wind will not be a factor? Sure we may not get the full force of the winds, but if there are sustained winds it is always a danger, with boats rocking around and the possibility of ropes breaking.......
__________________
Life is about how much time you can spend relaxing... I do it on an island that isn't really an island.....
LIforrelaxin is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-27-2009, 07:17 PM   #4
Rose
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 498
Thanks: 62
Thanked 71 Times in 32 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by LIforrelaxin View Post
What makes you think wind will not be a factor? Sure we may not get the full force of the winds, but if there are sustained winds it is always a danger, with boats rocking around and the possibility of ropes breaking.......
One reason could be that's what one model is indicating. The line in blue is the wind speed in knots. The forecast period is from Thursday night at 8:00 to Saturday afternoon at 2:00. Nothing amazing.

LACONIA
KLCI GFS MOS GUIDANCE 8/27/2009 1800 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
HR 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 12 18
N/X 45 65 55 62 57
TMP 64 53 50 47 53 61 63 64 57 56 56 57 57 58 60 60 60 60 59 61 76
DPT 38 41 41 40 42 42 43 45 48 50 52 53 54 57 60 60 60 60 59 61 60
CLD CL CL FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
WDR 27 00 00 00 09 06 08 16 12 10 09 08 08 07 08 07 08 09 22 24 24
WSP 02 00 00 00 02 04 05 05 04 03 06 07 07 07 08 06 07 06 05 04 07
P06 0 5 5 32 49 83 93 76 50 15 22
P12 5 32 89 97 50
Q06 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 4 1 0 0
Q12 0 0 4 5 1
T06 1/ 0 1/ 0 0/ 0 6/ 0 3/ 1 11/ 0 13/ 1 15/ 0 7/ 2 3/ 2
T12 1/ 0 6/ 1 13/ 1 18/ 2 4/ 2
CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 6
VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 3 4 5 4 5 6 7 7
OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N BR BR BR BR BR BR BR N N
Rose is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to Rose For This Useful Post:
gioia7 (08-28-2009)
Old 08-28-2009, 09:20 AM   #5
meteotrade
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Moultonboro
Posts: 95
Thanks: 0
Thanked 16 Times in 6 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by LIforrelaxin View Post
What makes you think wind will not be a factor? Sure we may not get the full force of the winds, but if there are sustained winds it is always a danger, with boats rocking around and the possibility of ropes breaking.......
Llforrelaxin,

Winds are rarely an issue on the west side of a tropical storm over interior New England for a couple of reasons. First, the storm's trajectory and speed will typically have a negating effect on the wind on the western flank of the low; If the storm is tracking north at a high rate of speed (which it almost always does at this latitude) then the winds on the left side of the storm will be significantly lighter than those on the right side. Second, inland areas will typically have an atmospheric "inversion" when the storm tracks along the coast with cold air trapped at the surface and warmer air overrunning aloft. This inhibits the strongest winds from mixing down to the ground level.

In my experience, most forecasters overestimate inland wind during coastal storms like this (including wintertime noreasters) as they typically underestimate how powerful an inversion is at keeping strong wind away. I would be very surprised if the Lakes region had any wind stronger than 20mph- it will basically feel like your run of the mill, cool, rainy day on Saturday.

Bottom line: Don't take your boat out of the water- Sunday will be a great day on the lake.
meteotrade is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to meteotrade For This Useful Post:
gioia7 (08-28-2009)
Sponsored Links
Old 08-28-2009, 03:33 PM   #6
LIforrelaxin
Senior Member
 
LIforrelaxin's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Long Island, not that one, the one on Winnipesaukee
Posts: 2,813
Thanks: 1,011
Thanked 878 Times in 513 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by meteotrade View Post
Bottom line: Don't take your boat out of the water- Sunday will be a great day on the lake.
Don't worry my boat stays in the water..... I just try and keep an eye on it durring events like this....

The issue I have is that to say "wind will not be a factor" has to be taken with a grain of salt..... The wind itself may not be a factor from a strength perspective. However if the wind blow at 15-20 mph for an extended period of time it begins to cause strain on mornings, and docks..... all it takes is for a mooring line to break and then havoc ensues..........
__________________
Life is about how much time you can spend relaxing... I do it on an island that isn't really an island.....
LIforrelaxin is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-28-2009, 04:14 PM   #7
Resident 2B
Senior Member
 
Resident 2B's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: North Shore, MA
Posts: 1,352
Thanks: 987
Thanked 310 Times in 161 Posts
Default Rain

The biggest impact will be rain for the lakes region. As pointed out, at our latitudes, there is not much wind at all on the left side of the storm. However, the left side is usually very wet.

R2B
Resident 2B is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-30-2009, 06:40 PM   #8
DRH
Senior Member
 
DRH's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Meredith
Posts: 1,667
Thanks: 1,173
Thanked 655 Times in 173 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Resident 2B View Post
The biggest impact will be rain for the lakes region. As pointed out, at our latitudes, there is not much wind at all on the left side of the storm. However, the left side is usually very wet.

R2B
We got almost 2.5" of rain here in West Alton between Friday evening and Saturday evening.
__________________
DRH
DRH is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:07 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

This page was generated in 0.23203 seconds