Quote:
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Originally Posted by Paugus Bay Resident
how do you know how the voters want their (my) senators to vote? How do you know what my wishes are?
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by GWC...
How many people were polled?
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You are both right, this poll did have a margin of error. 600 were polled. The state's population is estimated at about 1.3M. One can go to
http://americanresearchgroup.com/moe.html, or any statistical science resource, and type in that population size and that sample number and see that this results in a margin of error of +/- 4%.
So if we then reprint the results to include that margin of error, we find that the poll would look exactly like the following, if
every last citizen of NH had been personally polled...including your "opposed" votes.
Question; "Do you favor or oppose a law that would impose speed limits for boats on large lakes in New Hampshire?"
Boat Speed Limits...........Favor..........Oppose.........Und ecided
All adults......................60-
68%........
18-26%..........10-18%
Voters..........................62-
70%........
18-26%...........8-16%
Republicans...................64-
72%.........
25-33%...........0-7%
Democrats....................79-
87%..........
4-12%............5-13%
Undeclared...................50-58%..........22-30%..........16-24%
But of course, Skip probably knows polling science better than ARG, from his days in the CG, and can probably tell us why this well-established statistical science is erroneous.