Today has been a day of watching the storm track, to see exactly when it would make its turn back out to sea. The question of where it would go after Hatteras was hard to answer because it wasn't clear whether or not it would hit Hatteras. Had it done so, a more coast-hugging track would have been likely thereafter.
That turn has now happened. The 11 pm NHC advisory on Earl shows the storm's track now toward the north-northeast at 18 mph. It's cruising right along and will continue to speed up.
Models now keep it entirely offshore, or perhaps clipping Nantucket on its way to Nova Scotia. Looks like it is also weakening as the weather system to our west starts to mess around with it (shear.) It's losing strength.
If the current NHC 'official' track holds true, we'll get very little from Earl here at the lake, while the seacoast of NH gets a typical nor'easter.
As R2B mentioned, this system will be much faster moving than a typical nor'easter, too. To Earl we'll be saying "Hello-Goodbye."
I'm not as excited about this storm as I was earlier today. It has made the turn, without hitting Hatteras first.
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